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Wanderers vs Progreso prediction

Uruguay – Primera DivisiónUruguay – Primera División · Clausura – 12
WanderersWanderers
0:1 (0:0)
ProgresoProgreso
45%126%X29%2
Our tipWanderers to win45%@2.20✗
  • Under/Over 2.5Under 2.5 · 52%
  • BTTSYes · 52%
  • Expected goals2.58
· Estadio Alfredo Victor Viera, Montevideo

Probabilities

1 · 45%X · 26%2 · 29%
Pred.: Wanderers to winExpected goals: 2.58 (Wanderers 1.46 · Progreso 1.12)

Correct score

  1. 1:112%
  2. 1:011%
  3. 2:19%
  4. 0:18%Final score
  5. 2:08%
  6. 0:08%

The chance of each exact score, most likely first.

Predictions by market

1X2✗ wrongWanderers to win1 45%X 26%2 29%Odds 2.20 · Dafabet
Under/Over 2.5✓ correctUnder 2.5 goalsUnder 52%Over 48%Odds 1.83 · Pinnacle
BTTS✗ wrongBoth teams to scoreNo 48%Yes 52%Odds 1.80 · Betfair
Double chance✓ correctNo draw1X 71%12 74%X2 55%Odds 1.33 · William Hill
First half✓ correctFirst half: Draw1 33%X 43%2 24%Odds 2.22 · Pinnacle
Under/Over 1.5✗ wrongOver 1.5 goalsUnder 27%Over 73%Odds 1.33 · Betfair
Under/Over 3.5✓ correctUnder 3.5 goalsUnder 74%Over 26%Odds 1.31 · Pinnacle
HT/FT✗ wrongWanderers / Wanderers1/1 26%X/1 16%X/X 16%Odds 3.50 · Bet365
Correct score✗ wrong1:01:0 11%

Match preview

Wanderers are favourites here with a 45% chance to win, against 29% for Progreso and 26% for a draw. At home Wanderers score 1.3 goals per game on average, while Progreso score 0.8 away. The model expects about 2.6 goals in total. In their last five league games Wanderers have won 2 and Progreso 3. Our pick: Wanderers to win, likely score 1:0. Over 2.5 goals: 48%, both teams to score: 52%.

Match events

  • 6′⇄ S. Bruschi
  • 25′⇄ F. Formiliano
  • 40′🟨 Mario Garcia
  • 46′⇄ D. J. Mencia Hernandez
  • 46′⇄ F. Labandeira
  • 46′⇄ G. Trasante
  • 46′⇄ M. Juambeltz
  • 48′🟨 Joaquin Nicolas·Cabral
  • 59′⚽ N. Lopez
  • 65′🟨 Renzo Bacchia
  • 69′🟨 Emiliano Alvarez
  • 69′⇄
  • 79′⇄ J. Alberti
  • 81′🟨 Leandro Zazpe
  • 90+6′⇄ A. Ocampo
  • 90+1′⇄ N. Lopez

Line-ups

Wanderers4-3-3
Progreso4-2-3-1

Substitutes

  • 12J. Rio
  • 6L. Zazpe46′
  • 14M. Acosta
  • 17A. Garcia25′
  • 11J. Luna79′
  • 25G. Freitas
  • 7R. Rivero
  • 26R. Sanchez46′
  • 80J. Urretaviscaya69′
  • J. Blanco

CoachMathias Corujo

Substitutes

  • 12L. FernandezGK
  • 2S. Cardozo CoitinhoDF
  • 22J. Pablo Oliva
  • 27G. SilvaDF96′
  • 4L. CoutureMF6′
  • 17F. De LeonFW46′
  • 30A. CodagnoneMF91′
  • 14L. VianaFW
  • 23M. CopelottiFW46′
  • 93G. Silva

CoachTabare Silva

Form (last 5)

Wanderers
DWWLL
Goals +Goals −
Home1.30.9
Away1.21.8
Total1.21.4
Progreso
WWLDW
Goals +Goals −
Home1.01.5
Away0.81.4
Total0.91.4

Comparison

WanderersProgreso
41%
Form
59%
40%
Attack
60%
43%
Defence
57%
64%
Poisson
36%
38%
Head to head
62%
44%
Goals
56%
45%
Total
55%

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

4WinsWanderers
2Draws
4WinsProgreso

In the last 10 meetings, Wanderers won 4, Progreso won 4 and 2 ended in a draw.

  • 2.7Goals per match
  • 4 of 10Over 2.5
  • 5 of 10Both teams scored
  1. 11.07.2026Primera DivisiónWanderers2:0Progreso
  2. 18.04.2026Primera DivisiónProgreso2:1Wanderers
  3. 21.09.2025Primera División – ClausuraProgreso2:0Wanderers
  4. 27.03.2025Primera División – AperturaWanderers1:1Progreso
  5. 10.11.2024Primera División – ClausuraProgreso0:0Wanderers
  6. 14.07.2024Primera División – AperturaWanderers4:2Progreso
  7. 04.05.2024Primera División – AperturaWanderers2:0Progreso
  8. 15.11.2021Primera División – ClausuraProgreso3:1Wanderers
  9. 31.07.2021Primera División – AperturaWanderers2:0Progreso
  10. 21.03.2021Primera División – ClausuraWanderers1:3Progreso

Standings

Primera: Tabla Anual

#TeamPWDLGoals+/-PtsForm
1 Penarol34198751:27+2464
2 Deportivo Maldonado34188854:32+2262
3 Atletico Torque341861057:40+1760
4 Club Nacional341841251:41+1058
5 Racing Montevideo341512742:30+1257
6 Liverpool Montevideo341511845:31+1456
7 Wanderers341481241:43-250
8 Albion FC341371447:44+346
9 Juventud3410111337:41-441
10 Central Espanol341081633:47-1438
11 Cerro Largo349101532:38-637
12 Boston River341071733:45-1237
13 Cerro341071728:51-2337
14 Defensor Sporting348121433:43-1036
15 Progreso341051931:47-1635
16 Danubio346141428:43-1532

Primera: Promedios

#TeamPWDLGoals+/-PtsForm
1 Penarol71431414117:61+56143
2 Club Nacional71421415127:74+53137
3 Deportivo Maldonado34188854:32+2262
4 Liverpool Montevideo7133221696:68+28121
5 Racing Montevideo7129231981:68+13110
6 Atletico Torque71311624111:91+20109
7 Juventud7128182582:80+2102
8 Defensor Sporting7126192675:81-697
9 Albion FC341371447:44+346
10 Boston River7124202783:84-192
11 Cerro Largo7121232773:79-686
12 Cerro7122183161:93-3283
13 Wanderers7120213066:90-2481
14 Central Espanol341081633:47-1438
15 Danubio7116272869:84-1575
16 Progreso7120143769:107-3874

Primera: Torneo Intermedio

#TeamPWDLGoals+/-PtsForm
1 Penarol751112:3+916
2 Cerro Largo73227:5+211
3 Racing Montevideo72414:3+110
4 Liverpool Montevideo72325:509
5 Central Espanol72324:409
6 Cerro73046:10-49
7 Defensor Sporting71336:9-36
8 Boston River71245:10-55
1 Wanderers743012:4+815
2 Club Nacional74128:8013
3 Deportivo Maldonado733112:6+612
4 Atletico Torque740311:11012
5 Juventud72238:11-38
6 Albion FC71336:8-26
7 Progreso72056:11-56
8 Danubio70435:9-44

Primera: Apertura

#TeamPWDLGoals+/-PtsForm
1 Racing Montevideo1594223:14+931
2 Deportivo Maldonado1592424:16+829
3 Albion FC1584326:16+1028
4 Penarol1583423:16+727
5 Central Espanol1573523:22+124
6 Atletico Torque1565422:16+623
7 Club Nacional1571726:21+522
8 Defensor Sporting1556413:11+221
9 Liverpool Montevideo1555520:18+220
10 Wanderers1562716:21-520
11 Danubio1546517:21-418
12 Cerro Largo1552816:19-317
13 Boston River1552814:20-617
14 Juventud1543817:22-515
15 Progreso1524912:23-1110
16 Cerro152498:24-1610

Primera: Clausura

#TeamPWDLGoals+/-PtsForm
1 Liverpool Montevideo1283120:8+1227
2 Atletico Torque1281324:13+1125
3 Club Nacional1272317:12+523
4 Deportivo Maldonado1263318:10+821
5 Penarol1264216:8+821
6 Progreso1261513:13019
7 Juventud1246212:8+418
8 Cerro1253414:17-318
9 Racing Montevideo1244415:13+216
10 Boston River1243514:15-115
11 Wanderers1243513:18-515
12 Albion FC1240815:20-512
13 Danubio122466:13-710
14 Cerro Largo121659:14-59
15 Defensor Sporting1223714:23-99
16 Central Espanol121296:21-155

Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly.