Inter vs Fiorentina prediction
Italy – Serie A · Regular Season – 872%116%X12%2
Our tipInter to win72%@1.40✓
- Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 · 71%
- BTTSYes · 59%
- Expected goals3.66
Probabilities
Pred.: Inter to winExpected goals: 3.66 (Inter 2.64 · Fiorentina 1.02)
Correct score
- 2:19%Final score
- 2:09%
- 3:18%
- 3:08%
- 1:17%
- 1:07%
The chance of each exact score, most likely first.
Predictions by market
1X2✓ correctInter to win1 72%X 16%2 12%Odds 1.40 · Betano
Under/Over 2.5✓ correctOver 2.5 goalsUnder 29%Over 71%Odds 1.42 · 1xBet · Value · Our chance 74% · +5%
BTTS✓ correctBoth teams to scoreNo 41%Yes 59%Odds 1.67 · Bet365
Double chance✓ correctInter not to lose1X 88%12 84%X2 28%Odds 1.11 · Betano
First half✗ wrongFirst half: Inter1 54%X 32%2 14%Odds 1.82 · Betano
Under/Over 1.5✓ correctOver 1.5 goalsUnder 12%Over 88%Odds 1.13 · Betano
Under/Over 3.5✓ correctUnder 3.5 goalsUnder 50%Over 50%Odds 1.85 · 1xBet
HT/FT✗ wrongInter / Inter1/1 49%X/1 19%X/X 8%Odds 1.98 · Betano
Correct score✓ correct2:12:1 9%
Match preview
Inter are favourites here with a 72% chance to win, against 12% for Fiorentina and 16% for a draw. At home Inter score 3.8 goals per game on average, while Fiorentina score 1.7 away. The model expects about 3.7 goals in total. In their last five league games Inter have won 4 and Fiorentina 1. Our pick: Inter to win, likely score 2:1. Over 2.5 goals: 71%, both teams to score: 59%.
Match events
- 51′⇄ M. Pongracic
- 64′⇄ F. Esposito
- 65′⚽ A. Jimenez (N. Fagioli)
- 70′🟨 Viery
- 75′⇄ A. Jimenez
- 75′⇄ F. Mastantuono
- 77′⇄ A. Bastoni
- 78′⇄ H. Calhanoglu
- 78′⇄ H. Mkhitaryan
- 82′⇄ A. Njie
- 83′⇄ M. Pellegrino
- 85′⇄ N. Barella
- 90+11′🟨 Dodô
- 90+5′🟨 Víctor Valdepeñas
- 90′⚽ M. Thuram (A. Diouf)
- 90′⚽ P. Zielinski
Line-ups
Inter3-5-2
Fiorentina4-3-3Substitutes
- 12R. Di GennaroGK
- 1J. MartinezGK
- 46L. BovioDF
- 32F. DimarcoDF77′7.0
- 99D. SpenceDF
- 51L. JakirovicDF
- 7P. ZielinskiMF78′7.5
- 5A. StankovicMF
- 8P. SucicMF78′7.2
- 48M. MosconiFW
- 53M. LavelliFW85′6.6
- 14A. BonnyFW64′7.0
CoachCristian Chivu
Substitutes
- 19L. LezzeriniGK
- 53O. ChristensenGK
- 33VieryDF51′6.5
- 2DodoDF75′6.0
- 17Joao MarioDF82′6.5
- 74A. AdemiDF
- 73A. PirroMF
- 42C. Inao OulaiMF
- 23BetoFW83′6.7
- 28PoteMF
- 29W. GnontoFW75′6.5
- 72B. MazzeoFW
CoachPaolo Vanoli
Player ratings from our data provider, out of 10.
Form (last 5)
InterWWDWW
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.8 | 1.5 |
| Away | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| Total | 3.0 | 1.3 |
FiorentinaLWDLL
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.8 | 2.3 |
| Away | 1.7 | 2.7 |
| Total | 1.1 | 2.4 |
Comparison
InterFiorentina76%Form24%
67%Attack33%
56%Defence44%
78%Poisson22%
71%Head to head29%
58%Goals42%
67%Total32%
Head to head
Last 10 meetings
6WinsInter2Draws
2WinsFiorentinaIn the last 10 meetings, Inter won 6, Fiorentina won 2 and 2 ended in a draw.
- 2.9Goals per match
- 6 of 10Over 2.5
- 5 of 10Both teams scored
- 22.03.2026Serie AFiorentina1:1Inter
- 29.10.2025Serie AInter3:0Fiorentina
- 10.02.2025Serie AInter2:1Fiorentina
- 06.02.2025Serie AFiorentina3:0Inter
- 28.01.2024Serie AFiorentina0:1Inter
- 03.09.2023Serie AInter4:0Fiorentina
- 24.05.2023Coppa ItaliaFiorentina1:2Inter
- 01.04.2023Serie AInter0:1Fiorentina
- 22.10.2022Serie AFiorentina3:4Inter
- 19.03.2022Serie AInter1:1Fiorentina
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | +15 | 25 |
| 2 | Inter | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | +13 | 22 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +15 | 21 |
| 4 |  Como | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +9 | 18 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 14 |
| 8 |  Torino | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 |  Cagliari | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 13 |
| 10 |  Napoli | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 11 |
| 11 |  Atalanta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |  Lecce | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 9 |
| 13 |  Bologna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 |  Sassuolo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 8 |
| 15 |  Monza | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 |  Genoa | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 7 |
| 17 |  Udinese | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 4 |
| 19 |  Parma | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 4 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -11 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly.
