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Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon prediction

France – Ligue 1France – Ligue 1 · Regular Season – 8
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
LyonLyon
66%118%X16%2
Our tipParis Saint Germain to win66%@1.46
  • Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 · 69%
  • BTTSYes · 61%
  • Expected goals3.54
· Parc des Princes, Paris

Probabilities

1 · 66%X · 18%2 · 16%
Pred.: Paris Saint Germain to winExpected goals: 3.54 (Paris Saint Germain 2.42 · Lyon 1.11)

Correct score

  1. 2:110%
  2. 2:09%
  3. 1:18%
  4. 3:18%
  5. 1:07%
  6. 3:07%

The chance of each exact score, most likely first.

Predictions by market

1X2Paris Saint Germain to win1 66%X 18%2 16%Odds 1.46 · 1xBet
Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 goalsUnder 31%Over 69%Odds 1.40 · 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to scoreNo 39%Yes 61%Odds 1.55 · Betano
Double chanceParis Saint Germain not to lose1X 84%12 82%X2 34%Odds 1.14 · 1xBet
First halfFirst half: Paris Saint Germain1 50%X 33%2 17%Odds 1.85 · Pinnacle
Under/Over 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUnder 13%Over 87%Odds 1.12 · Betano
Under/Over 3.5Under 3.5 goalsUnder 53%Over 47%Odds 1.91 · Bet365
HT/FTParis Saint Germain / Paris Saint Germain1/1 44%X/1 18%X/X 9%Odds 2.05 · Bet365
Correct score2:12:1 10%

Match preview

Paris Saint Germain are favourites here with a 66% chance to win, against 16% for Lyon and 18% for a draw. The model expects about 3.5 goals in total. In their last five league games Paris Saint Germain have won 4 and Lyon 3. Our pick: Paris Saint Germain to win, likely score 2:1. Over 2.5 goals: 69%, both teams to score: 61%.

Form (last 5)

Paris Saint Germain
LWWWW
Goals +Goals −
Home2.01.5
Away2.01.2
Total2.01.3
Lyon
WDWLW
Goals +Goals −
Home2.50.8
Away1.00.7
Total1.90.7

Comparison

Paris Saint GermainLyon
55%
Form
45%
50%
Attack
50%
44%
Defence
56%
44%
Poisson
56%
80%
Head to head
20%
60%
Goals
40%
55%
Total
44%

Trends

  • 7Paris Saint Germain have won their last 7 matches

  • 10Paris Saint Germain have scored in 10 matches in a row

  • 5Both teams scored in 5 matches in a row of Paris Saint Germain

  • 5Over 2.5 goals in 5 matches in a row of Paris Saint Germain

  • 6Over 2.5 goals in 6 matches in a row of Lyon

  • 5Over 2.5 goals in 5 matches in a row of Lyon

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

7WinsParis Saint Germain
1Draws
2WinsLyon

In the last 10 meetings, Paris Saint Germain won 7, Lyon won 2 and one ended in a draw.

  • 3.4Goals per match
  • 7 of 10Over 2.5
  • 8 of 10Both teams scored
  1. 19.04.2026Ligue 1Paris Saint Germain1:2Lyon
  2. 09.11.2025Ligue 1Lyon2:3Paris Saint Germain
  3. 23.02.2025Ligue 1Lyon2:3Paris Saint Germain
  4. 15.12.2024Ligue 1Paris Saint Germain3:1Lyon
  5. 25.05.2024Coupe de FranceLyon1:2Paris Saint Germain
  6. 21.04.2024Ligue 1Paris Saint Germain4:1Lyon
  7. 03.09.2023Ligue 1Lyon1:4Paris Saint Germain
  8. 02.04.2023Ligue 1Paris Saint Germain0:1Lyon
  9. 18.09.2022Ligue 1Lyon0:1Paris Saint Germain
  10. 09.01.2022Ligue 1Lyon1:1Paris Saint Germain

Injuries and suspensions

  • Paris Saint Germain
  • O. Dembele Missing · Thigh Injury
  • K. Kvaratskhelia Missing · Knee Injury
  • Marquinhos Missing · Thigh Injury
  • N. Mendes Missing · Muscle Injury
  • A. Longoni Doubtful · Injury
  • Lyon
  • L. Openda Missing · Leg Injury
  • M. Ouedraogo Missing · Knee Injury
  • N. Tagliafico Missing · Muscle Injury
  • A. Hamdani Doubtful · Inactive
  • P. Sulc Doubtful · Knee Injury

Standings

#TeamPWDLGoals+/-PtsForm
1 Lyon742113:5+814
2 Paris Saint Germain742114:9+514
3 Lille742110:5+514
4 Paris FC842213:9+414
5 Monaco742110:6+414
6 Lens841316:12+413
7 Rennes741215:14+113
8 Lorient73227:6+111
9 Nice83238:10-211
10 Marseille730414:10+49
11 Stade Brestois 29823314:12+29
12 Toulouse723212:11+19
13 Auxerre730411:17-69
14 Strasbourg721412:15-37
15 Angers72149:15-67
16 Le Mans713310:15-56
17 Estac Troyes71155:16-114
18 Le Havre70255:11-62

Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly.