Valencia vs Villarreal prediction
Spain – La Liga · Regular Season – 1029%124%X47%2
Our tipVillarreal to win47%@2.17✓
- Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 · 55%
- BTTSYes · 58%
- Expected goals2.90
Probabilities
Pred.: Villarreal to winExpected goals: 2.90 (Valencia 1.25 · Villarreal 1.65)
Correct score
- 1:111%
- 1:29%Final score
- 0:19%
- 0:28%
- 2:17%
- 1:07%
The chance of each exact score, most likely first.
Predictions by market
1X2✓ correctVillarreal to win1 29%X 24%2 47%Odds 2.17 · 1xBet
Under/Over 2.5✓ correctOver 2.5 goalsUnder 45%Over 55%Odds 1.79 · 1xBet
BTTS✓ correctBoth teams to scoreNo 42%Yes 58%Odds 1.62 · Bet365
Double chance✓ correctNo draw1X 53%12 76%X2 71%Odds 1.32 · 1xBet
First half✗ wrongFirst half: Draw1 25%X 40%2 35%Odds 2.43 · Pinnacle
Under/Over 1.5✓ correctOver 1.5 goalsUnder 21%Over 79%Odds –
Under/Over 3.5✓ correctUnder 3.5 goalsUnder 67%Over 33%Odds –
HT/FT✗ wrongVillarreal / Villarreal2/2 28%1/1 17%X/2 16%
Correct score✓ correct1:21:2 9%
Match preview
Villarreal are favourites away from home with a 47% chance to win, against 29% for Valencia and 24% for a draw. At home Valencia score 0.4 goals per game on average, while Villarreal score 1.4 away. The model expects about 2.9 goals in total. In their last five league games Valencia have won 1 and Villarreal 2. Our pick: Villarreal to win, likely score 1:2. Over 2.5 goals: 55%, both teams to score: 58%.
Match events
- 14′⇄ D. Otorbi
- 34′🟨 Dani Raba
- 36′• Dani Raba
- 37′🟨 Renato Veiga
- 38′⚽ Pepelu
- 43′🟨 Ayoze Pérez
- 59′🟨 Tajon Buchanan
- 60′🟨 Pablo Maffeo
- 62′🟨 Guido Rodríguez
- 66′⇄ J. Foyth
- 66′⇄ I. Akhomach
- 66′⇄ A. Perez
- 69′⚽ A. Freeman (S. Cardona)
- 70′⇄
- 70′⇄ J. Guerra
- 77′⇄ P. Maffeo
- 77′⇄ J. De Haas
- 78′• Pape Gueye
- 79′🟥 Pape Gueye
- 82′⇄ G. Moreno
- 87′⇄ T. Buchanan
- 89′🟨 Harvey Elliott
- 89′🟨 Harvey Elliott
- 89′🟥 Harvey Elliott
- 90′⚽ G. Mikautadze (A. Moleiro)
Line-ups
Valencia4-4-2
Villarreal4-4-2Substitutes
- 25K. van OevelenGK
- 4M. DiakhabyDF
- 21J. VazquezDF
- 22A. MartinezDF70′6.3
- 33A. MayolMF
- 15A. DiengMF
- 23F. UgrinicMF77′6.3
- 10H. ElliottMF70′6.3
- 39R. SatoMF
- 19D. RabaFW14′6.6
- 9H. DuroFW77′6.3
- 37A. BlazquezFW
CoachJavier Aguirre
Substitutes
- 1Luiz JuniorGK
- 13R. GomezGK
- 2L. CostaDF
- 23S. CardonaDF66′7.7
- 6P. NavarroDF87′6.9
- 14S. ComesanaMF82′6.6
- 10A. MoleiroMF66′7.0
- 5A. DiattaMF
- 9G. MikautadzeFW66′7.7
- 27N. El JmiliFW
- 21T. OluwaseyiFW
- 28J. GaitanFW
CoachInigo Perez
Player ratings from our data provider, out of 10.
Form (last 5)
ValenciaLWLDD
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| Total | 0.7 | 1.7 |
VillarrealLWWLD
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Away | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Total | 1.4 | 1.4 |
Comparison
ValenciaVillarreal42%Form58%
42%Attack58%
45%Defence55%
15%Poisson85%
15%Head to head85%
30%Goals70%
31%Total68%
Head to head
Last 10 meetings
2WinsValencia3Draws
5WinsVillarrealIn the last 10 meetings, Villarreal won 5, Valencia won 2 and 3 ended in a draw.
- 2.3Goals per match
- 3 of 10Over 2.5
- 6 of 10Both teams scored
- 22.02.2026La LigaVillarreal2:1Valencia
- 25.10.2025La LigaValencia0:2Villarreal
- 15.02.2025La LigaVillarreal1:1Valencia
- 31.08.2024La LigaValencia1:1Villarreal
- 17.03.2024La LigaVillarreal1:0Valencia
- 02.01.2024La LigaValencia3:1Villarreal
- 03.05.2023La LigaValencia1:1Villarreal
- 31.12.2022La LigaVillarreal2:1Valencia
- 19.04.2022La LigaVillarreal2:0Valencia
- 30.10.2021La LigaValencia2:0Villarreal
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +29 | 27 |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +12 | 25 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | +15 | 24 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 20 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 17 |
| 7 |  Alaves | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 12 |
| 8 |  Athletic Club | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 12 |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 10 | Villarreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 12 |
| 11 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Osasuna | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 11 |
| 13 |  Racing Santander | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 11 |
| 14 |  Levante | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 |  Elche | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 |  Rayo Vallecano | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 9 |
| 17 |  Getafe | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 9 |
| 18 |  Espanyol | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -2 | 8 |
| 19 | Valencia | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -12 | 5 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly.
