Lens vs Paris FC prediction

France – Ligue 1 · Regular Season – 8

Lens

2:1 (0:1)

Paris FC

39%124%X37%2

Our tipLens not to lose63%@1.55✓

Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 · 59%
BTTSYes · 62%
Expected goals3.08

24.10.2026 19:45 · Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens

Probabilities

1 · 39%X · 24%2 · 37%

Pred.: Lens to winExpected goals: 3.08 (Lens 1.57 · Paris FC 1.50)

Correct score

1:111%
2:19%Final score
1:28%
1:07%
0:17%
2:26%

The chance of each exact score, most likely first.

Predictions by market

1X2✓ correctLens to win1 39%X 24%2 37%Odds 2.71 · Pinnacle · Value · Our chance 42% · +15%

Under/Over 2.5✓ correctOver 2.5 goalsUnder 41%Over 59%Odds 1.68 · 1xBet

BTTS✓ correctBoth teams to scoreNo 38%Yes 62%Odds 1.53 · William Hill

Double chance✓ correctNo draw1X 63%12 76%X2 61%Odds 1.32 · 1xBet

First half✗ wrongFirst half: Draw1 31%X 39%2 30%Odds 2.49 · Pinnacle

Under/Over 1.5✓ correctOver 1.5 goalsUnder 19%Over 81%Odds 1.20 · Bet365

Under/Over 3.5✓ correctUnder 3.5 goalsUnder 63%Over 37%Odds 1.56 · Pinnacle

HT/FT✗ wrongLens / Lens1/1 23%2/2 22%X/1 13%Odds 4.25 · Betano

Correct score✓ correct2:12:1 9%

Match preview

Lens are favourites here with a 39% chance to win, against 37% for Paris FC and 24% for a draw. At home Lens score 2.3 goals per game on average, while Paris FC score 1.0 away. The model expects about 3.1 goals in total. In their last five league games Lens have won 2 and Paris FC 3. Our pick: Lens to win, likely score 2:1. Over 2.5 goals: 59%, both teams to score: 62%.

Match events

19′• Matthieu Udol
28′🟨 Moustapha Mbow
29′🟨 Pierre Lees Melou
45+2′⚽ Luca Koleosho (Lassine Sinayoko)
45′⇄ Luca Koleosho
51′• Jean-Clair Todibo
51′🟨 Florian Thauvin
61′⇄ Jean-Clair Todibo
61′⇄ Franjo Ivanovic
63′⚽ Florian Thauvin (Thorgan Hazard)
67′⇄ Adama Camara
67′⇄ Pablo Pagis
71′⇄ Amadou Haidara
74′🟨 Samson Baidoo
76′⇄ Ilan Kebbal
81′⇄ Rudy Matondo
83′⚽ Thorgan Hazard (Florian Thauvin)
85′⇄ Saud Abdulhamid
85′⇄ Florian Sotoca
89′🟨 Michał Skóraś
90+2′🟨 Otavio
90+5′🟨 Y. Cahuzac

Line-ups

Lens3-4-2-1

Paris FC4-2-3-1

Substitutes

9T. HazardMF61′7.5
16M. GorgelinGK
38M. SoaresMF
8Y. TitraouiMF71′6.5
4N. ÄelikDF
28J. KadileFW85′6.6
32K. AntonioDF61′6.1
5A. BulatovićMF
22M. SkóraśFW85′6.3

CoachYannick Cahuzac

Substitutes

8E. ZabiMF76′6.1
28T. De SmetDF81′6.3
11J. KrassoFW
3E. MbembaDF45′6.3
50Ibrahim MeïtéGK
23R. MatondoMF67′6.0
27M. SimonFW67′6.2
18O. SissokoFW
25Y. KoréDF

CoachL. Rosenior

Player ratings from our data provider, out of 10.

Form (last 5)

Lens

LDLWW

	Goals +	Goals −
Home	2.3	1.3
Away	1.8	1.8
Total	2.0	1.6

Paris FC

WDWLW

	Goals +	Goals −
Home	2.3	1.0
Away	1.0	1.0
Total	1.7	1.0

Comparison

LensParis FC

41%

Form

59%

47%

Attack

53%

50%

Defence

50%

60%

Poisson

40%

71%

Head to head

29%

77%

Goals

23%

57%

Total

42%

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

5WinsLens

3Draws

2WinsParis FC

In the last 10 meetings, Lens won 5, Paris FC won 2 and 3 ended in a draw.

2.3Goals per match
5 of 10Over 2.5
4 of 10Both teams scored

14.02.2026Ligue 1Paris FC0:5Lens
19.10.2025Ligue 1Lens2:1Paris FC
02.07.2022Friendlies ClubsLens0:0Paris FC
05.08.2020Friendlies ClubsLens1:2Paris FC
02.03.2020Ligue 2Paris FC0:2Lens
28.09.2019Ligue 2Lens2:1Paris FC
03.03.2019Ligue 2Paris FC2:0Lens
28.09.2018Ligue 2Lens0:0Paris FC
30.04.2018Ligue 2Lens1:0Paris FC
08.12.2017Ligue 2Paris FC2:2Lens

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	8	5	2	1	16:9	+7	17
2	Rennes	8	5	1	2	18:14	+4	16
3	Lille	8	4	3	1	11:6	+5	15
4	Monaco	8	4	3	1	11:7	+4	15
5	Lyon	8	4	2	2	13:7	+6	14
6	Paris FC	8	4	2	2	13:9	+4	14
7	Lens	8	4	1	3	16:12	+4	13
8	Marseille	8	4	0	4	18:13	+5	12
9	Lorient	8	3	3	2	7:6	+1	12
10	Nice	8	3	2	3	8:10	-2	11
11	Toulouse	8	2	4	2	12:11	+1	10
12	Auxerre	8	3	1	4	12:18	-6	10
13	Stade Brestois 29	8	2	3	3	14:12	+2	9
14	Angers	8	2	2	4	9:15	-6	8
15	Le Mans	8	1	4	3	11:16	-5	7
16	Strasbourg	8	2	1	5	12:18	-6	7
17	Estac Troyes	8	1	2	5	5:16	-11	5
18	Le Havre	8	0	2	6	8:15	-7	2

Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly.