Real Unión vs Lugo prediction
Spain – Primera División RFEF – Group 1 · Group 1 – 936%126%X38%2
Our tipLugo not to lose64%@1.50✗
- Under/Over 2.5Under 2.5 · 51%
- BTTSYes · 54%
- Expected goals2.64
Probabilities
Pred.: Lugo to winExpected goals: 2.64 (Real Unión 1.30 · Lugo 1.34)
Correct score
- 1:112%
- 0:110%
- 1:09%
- 1:28%
- 2:18%
- 0:07%
The chance of each exact score, most likely first.
Predictions by market
1X2✗ wrongLugo to win1 36%X 26%2 38%Odds 2.65 · Dafabet · Value · Our chance 41% · +8%
Under/Over 2.5✗ wrongUnder 2.5 goalsUnder 51%Over 49%Odds 1.87 · Betfair
BTTS✓ correctBoth teams to scoreNo 46%Yes 54%Odds 1.80 · Bet365
Double chance✓ correctNo draw1X 62%12 74%X2 64%Odds 1.35 · William Hill
First half✗ wrongFirst half: Draw1 28%X 43%2 29%Odds 2.15 · William Hill
Under/Over 1.5✓ correctOver 1.5 goalsUnder 26%Over 74%Odds –
Under/Over 3.5✗ wrongUnder 3.5 goalsUnder 73%Over 27%Odds –
HT/FT✗ wrongLugo / Lugo2/2 22%1/1 21%X/X 16%
Correct score✗ wrong0:10:1 10%
Match preview
Lugo are favourites away from home with a 38% chance to win, against 36% for Real Unión and 26% for a draw. At home Real Unión score 2.3 goals per game on average, while Lugo score 1.8 away. The model expects about 2.6 goals in total. In their last five league games Real Unión have won 0 and Lugo 5. Our pick: Lugo to win, likely score 0:1. Over 2.5 goals: 49%, both teams to score: 54%.
Match events
- 13′⚽ E. Azkune (J. Pola)
- 20′🟨 L. Sangalli
- 32′🟨 E. Azkune
- 46′⇄ G. Berzal
- 54′🟨 R. Lucero
- 60′⇄ P. Parrilla
- 63′⚽ A. Godoy (P. Haro)
- 70′⚽ J. Pola (A. Martin)
- 72′⇄ U. Albizua
- 72′⇄ M. Mancisidor
- 74′⇄ P. Haro
- 74′⇄ A. Palma
- 79′🟨 K. Presa
- 81′⇄ P. Moreno
- 82′⚽ U. Garcia (A. Martin)
- 85′⇄ A. Martin
- 85′⇄ A. Galarza
- 90+3′⇄ E. Azkune
- 90′⚽ L. Sangalli (A. Mateo)
Form (last 5)
Real UniónDLDDD
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| Away | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| Total | 1.9 | 1.6 |
LugoWWWWW
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.0 | 0.3 |
| Away | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| Total | 1.9 | 0.5 |
Comparison
Real UniónLugo21%Form79%
31%Attack69%
30%Defence70%
37%Poisson63%
36%Head to head64%
44%Goals56%
33%Total66%
Head to head
Last 4 meetings
1WinsReal Unión1Draws
2WinsLugoIn the last 4 meetings, Lugo won 2, Real Unión won 1 and one ended in a draw.
- 2.3Goals per match
- 2 of 4Over 2.5
- 1 of 4Both teams scored
- 13.04.2025Primera División RFEF – Group 1Real Unión3:0Lugo
- 01.12.2024Primera División RFEF – Group 1Lugo3:1Real Unión
- 03.02.2024Primera División RFEF – Group 1Real Unión0:0Lugo
- 29.10.2023Primera División RFEF – Group 1Lugo2:0Real Unión
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugo | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 22 |
| 2 |  UD Logroñés | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 20 |
| 3 |  Racing Ferrol | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 16 |
| 4 |  Cacereño | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 15 |
| 5 |  Mirandes | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 |  Pontevedra | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 |  Extremadura 1924 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +6 | 13 |
| 8 | Real Unión | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +5 | 13 |
| 9 |  Mérida AD | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
| 10 |  Ponferradina | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 |  Athletic Club II | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 12 |  Zamora | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 13 |  Cultural Leonesa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 14 |  Real Avilés | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 11 |
| 15 |  Barakaldo | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |  Unionistas de Salamanca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 10 |
| 17 |  CD Coria | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 18 |  Deportivo La Coruña II | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 8 |
| 19 |  UD Ourense | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 5 |
| 20 |  Arenas Getxo | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -15 | 5 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly.
