Rathfriland vs Moyola Park prediction
Northern Ireland – Championship · Regular Season – 13Probabilities
Pred.: Rathfriland not to loseCorrect score: 2:1Expected goals: 2.94 (Rathfriland 1.58 · Moyola Park 1.36)
Other likely scores: 1:1 11% · 1:0 9% · 1:2 8%
Predictions by market
1X2Rathfriland not to lose1 42%X 25%2 33%Odds –
Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 goalsUnder 44%Over 56%Odds –
BTTSBoth teams to scoreNo 41%Yes 59%Odds –
Double chanceNo draw1X 67%12 75%X2 58%Odds –
First halfFirst half: Draw1 33%X 40%2 27%Odds –
Match preview
Rathfriland are favourites here with a 42% chance to win, against 33% for Moyola Park and 25% for a draw. At home Rathfriland score 0.8 goals per game on average, while Moyola Park score 1.4 away. The model expects about 2.9 goals in total. In their last five league games Rathfriland have won 4 and Moyola Park 2. Our pick: Rathfriland not to lose, likely score 2:1. Over 2.5 goals: 56%, both teams to score: 59%.
Form (last 5)
RathfrilandWLWWW
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.8 | 1.7 |
| Away | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| Total | 1.0 | 1.9 |
Moyola ParkDWLWL
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.0 | 1.9 |
| Away | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| Total | 1.2 | 2.0 |
Comparison
RathfrilandMoyola Park63%Form37%
58%Attack42%
64%Defence36%
41%Poisson59%
20%Head to head80%
47%Goals53%
48%Total51%
Head to head
| 18.04.2026 | Premier Intermediate League | Rathfriland | 0:1 | Moyola Park |
| 10.03.2026 | Premier Intermediate League | Moyola Park | 2:1 | Rathfriland |
| 15.03.2025 | Premier Intermediate League | Moyola Park | 0:3 | Rathfriland |
| 08.03.2025 | Premier Intermediate League | Rathfriland | 2:3 | Moyola Park |
| 16.03.2024 | Premier Intermediate League | Moyola Park | 2:1 | Rathfriland |
| 07.10.2023 | Premier Intermediate League | Rathfriland | 3:0 | Moyola Park |
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Annagh United | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +13 | 25 |
| 2 |  Glenavon FC | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +16 | 24 |
| 3 |  Newington Youth | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 23 |
| 4 |  Queen's University | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +12 | 20 |
| 5 |  Institute | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +5 | 20 |
| 6 |  Newry City AFC | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 19 |
| 7 |  Warrenpoint Town | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 18 |
| 8 |  Ballinamallard United | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 18 |
| 9 |  H&W Welders | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 16 |
| 10 |  Ards | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 11 |  Loughgall | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -6 | 14 |
| 12 | Moyola Park | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 14 |
| 13 | Rathfriland | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 |  Dundela | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 |  Strabane Athletic | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -10 | 10 |
| 16 |  Armagh City | 12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -11 | 5 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly. 18+