Bayern München vs Arsenal prediction

UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League · League Stage – 3
Bayern MünchenBayern München
22:00
ArsenalArsenal
21.10.2026 22:00 · Allianz Arena, Munich

Probabilities

1 · 44%X · 26%2 · 30%
Pred.: Bayern München to winCorrect score: 2:1Expected goals: 3.03 (1.73 – 1.30)

Predictions by market

1X2Bayern München to win1 44%X 26%2 30%Odds 2.00
Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 goalsUnder 42%Over 58%Odds 1.62
BTTSBoth teams to scoreNo 40%Yes 60%Odds 1.53
Double chanceNo draw1X 69%12 74%X2 56%Odds 1.25
First halfFirst half: Draw1 36%X 39%2 25%Odds 2.40

Odds: Bet365

Match preview

Bayern München are favourites here with a 44% chance to win, against 30% for Arsenal and 26% for a draw. The model expects about 3.0 goals in total. In their last five league games Bayern München have won 1 and Arsenal 2. Our pick: Bayern München to win, likely score 2:1. Over 2.5 goals: 58%, both teams to score: 60%.

Form (last 5)

Bayern München
WD
Goals +Goals −
Home5.00.0
Away3.03.0
Total4.01.5
Arsenal
WW
Goals +Goals −
Home3.00.0
Away1.00.0
Total2.00.0

Comparison

40%
Form
60%
67%
Attack
33%
0%
Defence
100%
0%
Poisson
0%
38%
Head to head
62%
43%
Goals
57%
47%
Total
53%

Head to head

26.11.2025UEFA Champions LeagueArsenal3:1Bayern München
17.04.2024UEFA Champions LeagueBayern Munich1:0Arsenal
09.04.2024UEFA Champions LeagueArsenal2:2Bayern Munich
18.07.2019International Champions CupArsenal2:1Bayern Munich
19.07.2017International Champions CupBayern Munich1:1Arsenal
07.03.2017UEFA Champions LeagueArsenal1:5Bayern Munich
15.02.2017UEFA Champions LeagueBayern Munich5:1Arsenal
04.11.2015UEFA Champions LeagueBayern Munich5:1Arsenal
20.10.2015UEFA Champions LeagueArsenal2:0Bayern Munich
11.03.2014UEFA Champions LeagueBayern Munich1:1Arsenal

Injuries and suspensions

  • Bayern München
  • T. Buchmann Missing · Knee Injury
  • J. Musiala Missing · Muscle Injury
  • M. Olise Missing · Red Card
  • Arsenal
  • P. Hincapie Missing · Ankle Injury
  • W. Saliba Missing · Back Injury
  • C. Tzolis Missing · Hamstring Injury

Standings

#TeamPWDLGoals+/-PtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain220010:3+76
2 Barcelona22009:2+76
3 Aston Villa22009:2+76
4 VfB Stuttgart22006:1+56
5 Liverpool22008:4+46
6 Sporting CP22005:1+46
7 Arsenal22004:0+46
8 Real Madrid22006:4+26
9 Real Betis22006:4+26
10 Bayern München21108:3+54
11 Shakhtar Donetsk21104:2+24
12 Como21016:4+23
13 Manchester United21014:2+23
14 Villarreal21015:4+13
15 Atletico Madrid21013:2+13
16 Club Brugge KV21016:603
17 Manchester City21014:403
18 Borussia Dortmund21013:303
19 Lens21013:4-13
20 AEK Athens FC21012:3-13
21 RB Leipzig21012:4-23
22 Sabah FA21012:4-23
23 Feyenoord21014:7-33
24 Bodo/Glimt21011:5-43
25 AS Roma20114:5-11
26 PSV Eindhoven20111:2-11
27 Viking20114:6-21
28 Fenerbahçe20111:7-61
29 Inter20024:6-20
30 FC Porto20022:5-30
31 Slavia Praha20022:5-30
32 Napoli20021:4-30
33 Lask Linz20023:7-40
34 Lille20022:6-40
35 Galatasaray20022:7-50
36 Slovan Bratislava20021:9-80

Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly. 18+