Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig prediction

UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League · League Stage – 3
Real MadridReal Madrid
22:00
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
21.10.2026 22:00 · Santiago Bernabéu Stadium, Madrid

Probabilities

1 · 70%X · 18%2 · 12%
Pred.: Real Madrid to winCorrect score: 2:1Expected goals: 3.97 (2.85 – 1.12)

Predictions by market

1X2Real Madrid to win1 70%X 18%2 12%Odds 1.25
Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 goalsUnder 24%Over 76%Odds 1.20
BTTSBoth teams to scoreNo 37%Yes 63%Odds 1.50
Double chanceReal Madrid not to lose1X 88%12 82%X2 30%Odds 1.07
First halfFirst half: Real Madrid1 55%X 30%2 15%Odds 1.53

Odds: Bet365

Match preview

Real Madrid are favourites here with a 70% chance to win, against 12% for RB Leipzig and 18% for a draw. The model expects about 4.0 goals in total. In their last five league games Real Madrid have won 2 and RB Leipzig 1. Our pick: Real Madrid to win, likely score 2:1. Over 2.5 goals: 76%, both teams to score: 63%.

Form (last 5)

Real Madrid
WW
Goals +Goals −
Home2.01.0
Away4.03.0
Total3.02.0
RB Leipzig
LW
Goals +Goals −
Home1.00.0
Away1.04.0
Total1.02.0

Comparison

67%
Form
33%
75%
Attack
25%
50%
Defence
50%
84%
Poisson
16%
64%
Head to head
36%
60%
Goals
40%
66%
Total
33%

Head to head

06.03.2024UEFA Champions LeagueReal Madrid1:1RB Leipzig
13.02.2024UEFA Champions LeagueRB Leipzig0:1Real Madrid
25.10.2022UEFA Champions LeagueRB Leipzig3:2Real Madrid
14.09.2022UEFA Champions LeagueReal Madrid2:0RB Leipzig

Injuries and suspensions

  • Real Madrid
  • R. Asencio Missing · Broken Leg
  • F. Mendy Missing · Hip Injury
  • Rodrygo Missing · Knee Injury
  • RB Leipzig
  • M. Guiu Missing · Hamstring Injury
  • A. Ouedraogo Missing · Shoulder Injury
  • L. Zingerle Missing · Off the roster
  • C. Baumgartner Doubtful · Thigh Injury

Standings

#TeamPWDLGoals+/-PtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain330014:5+99
2 Liverpool330012:7+59
3 VfB Stuttgart32107:2+57
4 Aston Villa22009:2+76
5 Barcelona320111:6+56
6 Manchester City32019:5+46
7 Sporting CP22005:1+46
8 Arsenal22004:0+46
9 Real Madrid22006:4+26
10 Real Betis22006:4+26
11 Borussia Dortmund32015:4+16
12 Bayern München21108:3+54
13 AS Roma31118:5+34
14 Shakhtar Donetsk21104:2+24
15 Atletico Madrid31114:3+14
16 PSV Eindhoven31112:204
17 Como21016:4+23
18 Manchester United21014:2+23
19 Villarreal31028:803
20 Club Brugge KV21016:603
21 Lens21013:4-13
22 Napoli31025:7-23
23 RB Leipzig21012:4-23
24 Feyenoord21014:7-33
25 Sabah FA31023:6-33
26 Bodo/Glimt31024:9-53
27 AEK Athens FC31023:8-53
28 Fenerbahçe30213:9-62
29 Viking20114:6-21
30 Slavia Praha30124:7-31
31 Inter20024:6-20
32 Lask Linz20023:7-40
33 FC Porto30032:6-40
34 Lille20022:6-40
35 Galatasaray20022:7-50
36 Slovan Bratislava30031:13-120

Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly. 18+