Aston Villa vs Manchester City prediction

England – Premier LeagueEngland – Premier League · Regular Season – 8
Aston VillaAston Villa
14:30
Manchester CityManchester City
24.10.2026 14:30 · Villa Park, Birmingham

Probabilities

1 · 20%X · 24%2 · 56%
Pred.: Manchester City to winCorrect score: 1:2Expected goals: 3.14 (1.13 – 2.01)

Predictions by market

1X2Manchester City to win1 20%X 24%2 56%Odds 1.70
Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 goalsUnder 39%Over 61%Odds 1.50
BTTSBoth teams to scoreNo 41%Yes 59%Odds 1.53
Double chanceManchester City not to lose1X 44%12 76%X2 80%Odds 1.18
First halfFirst half: Manchester City1 20%X 37%2 43%Odds 2.20

Odds: Bet365

Match preview

Manchester City are favourites away from home with a 56% chance to win, against 20% for Aston Villa and 24% for a draw. At home Aston Villa score 1.0 goals per game on average, while Manchester City score 2.7 away. The model expects about 3.1 goals in total. In their last five league games Aston Villa have won 2 and Manchester City 5. Our pick: Manchester City to win, likely score 1:2. Over 2.5 goals: 61%, both teams to score: 59%.

Form (last 5)

Aston Villa
DLWDW
Goals +Goals −
Home1.01.7
Away1.01.5
Total1.01.6
Manchester City
WWWWW
Goals +Goals −
Home2.81.5
Away2.70.3
Total2.71.0

Comparison

35%
Form
65%
35%
Attack
65%
45%
Defence
55%
6%
Poisson
94%
60%
Head to head
40%
47%
Goals
53%
38%
Total
62%

Head to head

24.05.2026Premier LeagueManchester City1:2Aston Villa
26.10.2025Premier LeagueAston Villa1:0Manchester City
22.04.2025Premier LeagueManchester City2:1Aston Villa
21.12.2024Premier LeagueAston Villa2:1Manchester City
03.04.2024Premier LeagueManchester City4:1Aston Villa
06.12.2023Premier LeagueAston Villa1:0Manchester City
12.02.2023Premier LeagueManchester City3:1Aston Villa
03.09.2022Premier LeagueAston Villa1:1Manchester City
22.05.2022Premier LeagueManchester City3:2Aston Villa
01.12.2021Premier LeagueAston Villa1:2Manchester City

Standings

#TeamPWDLGoals+/-PtsForm
1 Manchester City770019:7+1221
2 Arsenal760111:5+618
3 Brighton751123:5+1816
4 Chelsea741217:13+413
5 Liverpool73319:8+112
6 Brentford724113:8+510
7 Leeds72419:6+310
8 Everton72418:7+110
9 Hull City72328:7+19
10 Ipswich730411:15-49
11 Newcastle722310:14-48
12 Aston Villa72237:11-48
13 Manchester United714210:1007
14 Crystal Palace72149:17-87
15 Bournemouth71339:13-46
16 Tottenham71336:10-46
17 Coventry72056:14-86
18 Fulham71247:10-35
19 Nottingham Forest71245:9-45
20 Sunderland71156:14-84

Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly. 18+