FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen prediction

Germany – BundesligaGermany – Bundesliga · Regular Season – 7
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
16:30
Werder BremenWerder Bremen
24.10.2026 16:30 · Mewa Arena, Mainz

Probabilities

1 · 50%X · 24%2 · 26%
Pred.: FSV Mainz 05 to winCorrect score: 2:1Expected goals: 3.18 (1.96 – 1.22)

Predictions by market

1X2FSV Mainz 05 to win1 50%X 24%2 26%Odds 1.67
Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 goalsUnder 38%Over 62%Odds 1.53
BTTSBoth teams to scoreNo 39%Yes 61%Odds 1.53
Double chanceNo draw1X 74%12 76%X2 50%Odds 1.22
First halfFirst half: FSV Mainz 051 41%X 37%2 22%Odds 2.20

Odds: Bet365

Match preview

FSV Mainz 05 are favourites here with a 50% chance to win, against 26% for Werder Bremen and 24% for a draw. At home FSV Mainz 05 score 1.3 goals per game on average, while Werder Bremen score 1.3 away. The model expects about 3.2 goals in total. In their last five league games FSV Mainz 05 have won 3 and Werder Bremen 2. Our pick: FSV Mainz 05 to win, likely score 2:1. Over 2.5 goals: 62%, both teams to score: 61%.

Form (last 5)

FSV Mainz 05
WLWLW
Goals +Goals −
Home1.32.3
Away3.31.0
Total2.31.7
Werder Bremen
WDWDD
Goals +Goals −
Home2.71.7
Away1.32.3
Total2.02.0

Comparison

50%
Form
50%
56%
Attack
44%
44%
Defence
56%
38%
Poisson
62%
29%
Head to head
71%
44%
Goals
56%
43%
Total
56%

Head to head

15.03.2026BundesligaWerder Bremen0:2FSV Mainz 05
01.11.2025BundesligaFSV Mainz 051:1Werder Bremen
31.01.2025BundesligaWerder Bremen1:0FSV Mainz 05
15.09.2024BundesligaFSV Mainz 051:2Werder Bremen
03.02.2024BundesligaFSV Mainz 050:1Werder Bremen
02.09.2023BundesligaWerder Bremen4:0FSV Mainz 05
08.04.2023BundesligaFSV Mainz 052:2Werder Bremen
15.10.2022BundesligaWerder Bremen0:2FSV Mainz 05
21.04.2021BundesligaWerder Bremen0:1FSV Mainz 05
19.12.2020BundesligaFSV Mainz 050:1Werder Bremen

Standings

#TeamPWDLGoals+/-PtsForm
1 Bayern München642022:5+1714
2 Borussia Dortmund642011:4+714
3 SC Freiburg641115:6+913
4 Bayer Leverkusen641116:9+713
5 FSV Mainz 05631214:10+410
6 SV Elversberg631212:11+110
7 RB Leipzig630316:11+59
8 Werder Bremen623112:1209
9 Hamburger SV63036:15-99
10 FC Augsburg622216:12+48
11 Eintracht Frankfurt622210:16-68
12 1. FC Köln62138:11-37
13 VfB Stuttgart62048:10-26
14 1899 Hoffenheim620411:14-36
15 FC Schalke 0461234:7-35
16 SC Paderborn 0761235:9-45
17 Union Berlin61235:17-125
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach60068:20-120

Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly. 18+