Pakhtakor vs Neftchi prediction
Uzbekistan – Super League · Regular Season – 2544%124%X32%2
Our tipPakhtakor to win44%@2.17✗
- Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 · 59%
- BTTSYes · 61%
- Expected goals3.07
Probabilities
Pred.: Pakhtakor to winExpected goals: 3.07 (Pakhtakor 1.67 · Neftchi 1.40)
Correct score
- 1:111%
- 2:19%
- 1:08%
- 1:28%
- 2:07%
- 0:17%
The chance of each exact score, most likely first.
Predictions by market
1X2✗ wrongPakhtakor to win1 44%X 24%2 32%Odds 2.17 · 1xBet
Under/Over 2.5✓ correctOver 2.5 goalsUnder 41%Over 59%Odds 1.62 · Bet365
BTTS✓ correctBoth teams to scoreNo 39%Yes 61%Odds 1.48 · Marathonbet
Double chance✓ correctNo draw1X 68%12 76%X2 56%Odds 1.30 · William Hill
First half✗ wrongFirst half: Draw1 34%X 39%2 27%Odds 2.41 · Pinnacle
Under/Over 1.5✓ correctOver 1.5 goalsUnder 19%Over 81%Odds –
Under/Over 3.5✗ wrongUnder 3.5 goalsUnder 63%Over 37%Odds –
HT/FT✗ wrongPakhtakor / Pakhtakor1/1 26%2/2 19%X/1 15%
Correct score✗ wrong2:12:1 9%
Match preview
Pakhtakor are favourites here with a 44% chance to win, against 32% for Neftchi and 24% for a draw. At home Pakhtakor score 2.0 goals per game on average, while Neftchi score 2.2 away. The model expects about 3.1 goals in total. In their last five league games Pakhtakor have won 4 and Neftchi 3. Our pick: Pakhtakor to win, likely score 2:1. Over 2.5 goals: 59%, both teams to score: 61%.
Match events
- 23′⚽ D. Khamdamov
- 31′⇄ Z. Marusic
- 44′🟨 S. Nasrullaev
- 46′⇄ N. Abduganiyev
- 46′⇄ M. Ubaydullaev
- 56′⚽ S. Perica (A. Odilov)
- 66′⚽ K. Kouao (I. Alibaev)
- 70′⇄ K. Kouao
- 70′⇄ V. Jovovic
- 75′🟨 Z. Tahseen
- 76′⇄ D. Khamdamov
- 76′⇄ B. Resan
- 78′⇄ Z. Tahseen
- 80′🟨 I. Alibaev
- 83′⇄ D. Saitov
- 88′🟥 D. Abdullaev
- 89′⚽ J. Iskanderov
Form (last 5)
PakhtakorWWWWD
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.0 | 1.1 |
| Away | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Total | 1.8 | 0.9 |
NeftchiLWWDW
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.5 | 0.7 |
| Away | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| Total | 2.3 | 0.9 |
Comparison
PakhtakorNeftchi57%Form43%
52%Attack48%
73%Defence27%
44%Poisson56%
60%Head to head40%
70%Goals30%
59%Total40%
Head to head
Last 10 meetings
4WinsPakhtakor1Draws
5WinsNeftchiIn the last 10 meetings, Neftchi won 5, Pakhtakor won 4 and one ended in a draw.
- 1.9Goals per match
- 4 of 10Over 2.5
- 3 of 10Both teams scored
- 29.08.2026CupNeftchi1:0Pakhtakor
- 09.04.2026Super LeagueNeftchi0:1Pakhtakor
- 15.03.2026Super CupNeftchi1:0Pakhtakor
- 13.09.2025Super LeaguePakhtakor2:1Neftchi
- 19.04.2025Super LeagueNeftchi0:4Pakhtakor
- 13.09.2024Super LeaguePakhtakor0:0Neftchi
- 01.07.2024Super LeagueNeftchi0:2Pakhtakor
- 05.08.2023Super LeaguePakhtakor0:1Neftchi
- 18.06.2023Friendlies ClubsPakhtakor1:2Neftchi
- 10.03.2023Super LeagueNeftchi2:1Pakhtakor
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | +37 | 58 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | +19 | 53 |
| 3 |  Navbahor | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | +19 | 49 |
| 4 |  Olmaliq | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | +4 | 42 |
| 5 |  Nasaf | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | +14 | 41 |
| 6 |  Buxoro | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | +5 | 41 |
| 7 |  Lokomotiv | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | +9 | 40 |
| 8 |  Qizilqum | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | -6 | 34 |
| 9 |  Andijan | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | -3 | 31 |
| 10 |  Dinamo Samarqand | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 31 |
| 11 |  Sogdiana | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 |  Surkhon | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | -9 | 29 |
| 13 |  Bunyodkor | 25 | 8 | 2 | 15 | -15 | 26 |
| 14 |  Kokand-1912 | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -11 | 23 |
| 15 |  Xorazm | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -15 | 23 |
| 16 |  Mash'al | 25 | 1 | 1 | 23 | -38 | 4 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly.
