Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City prediction
Australia – A-League · Regular Season – 2Probabilities
Pred.: Melbourne Victory not to loseExpected goals: 2.85 (Melbourne Victory 1.51 · Melbourne City 1.34)
Correct score
- 1:112%
- 1:09%
- 2:19%
- 0:18%
- 1:28%
- 2:07%
The chance of each exact score, most likely first.
Predictions by market
1X2Melbourne Victory not to lose1 42%X 24%2 34%Odds 1.50 · Betano
Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 goalsUnder 46%Over 54%Odds 1.82 · 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to scoreNo 43%Yes 57%Odds 1.67 · Bet365
Double chanceNo draw1X 66%12 76%X2 58%Odds 1.31 · 1xBet
First halfFirst half: Draw1 32%X 41%2 27%Odds 2.32 · Pinnacle
Best odds among 9 bookmakers; our probabilities use all of them, without their margins.
Match preview
Melbourne Victory are favourites here with a 42% chance to win, against 34% for Melbourne City and 24% for a draw. The model expects about 2.9 goals in total. In their last five league games Melbourne Victory have won 0 and Melbourne City 0. Our pick: Melbourne Victory not to lose, likely score 1:0. Over 2.5 goals: 54%, both teams to score: 57%.
Form (last 5)
Melbourne VictoryL
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Away | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Total | 1.0 | 2.0 |
Melbourne CityL
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Away | 1.0 | 3.0 |
| Total | 1.0 | 3.0 |
Comparison
Melbourne VictoryMelbourne City0%Form0%
50%Attack50%
60%Defence40%
0%Poisson0%
50%Head to head50%
50%Goals50%
52%Total47%
Head to head
| 21.02.2026 | A-League | Melbourne City | 1:3 | Melbourne Victory |
| 20.12.2025 | A-League | Melbourne City | 0:1 | Melbourne Victory |
| 08.11.2025 | A-League | Melbourne Victory | 0:2 | Melbourne City |
| 31.05.2025 | A-League | Melbourne City | 1:0 | Melbourne Victory |
| 22.02.2025 | A-League | Melbourne Victory | 2:2 | Melbourne City |
| 21.12.2024 | A-League | Melbourne Victory | 1:1 | Melbourne City |
| 26.10.2024 | A-League | Melbourne City | 1:3 | Melbourne Victory |
| 05.05.2024 | A-League | Melbourne Victory | 1:1 | Melbourne City |
| 06.04.2024 | A-League | Melbourne Victory | 2:1 | Melbourne City |
| 17.02.2024 | A-League | Melbourne City | 0:0 | Melbourne Victory |
Injuries and suspensions
- Melbourne Victory
- L. D'Arrigo Missing · Inactive
- Melbourne City
- A. Lopane Missing · Muscle Injury
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Auckland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 2 |  Wellington Phoenix | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 3 |  Macarthur | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 4 |  Central Coast Mariners | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 |  Newcastle Jets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 |  Sydney | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 |  Western Sydney Wanderers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 |  Adelaide United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Brisbane Roar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Perth Glory | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Melbourne Victory | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Melbourne City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly. 18+