Llantwit Major vs Newport City prediction
Wales – FAW Championship · South – 13Probabilities
Pred.: Newport City to winExpected goals: 3.17 (Llantwit Major 1.19 · Newport City 1.98)
Correct score
- 1:210%
- 1:110%
- 0:19%
- 0:28%
- 1:37%
- 2:16%
The chance of each exact score, most likely first.
Predictions by market
1X2Newport City to win1 24%X 23%2 53%Odds –
Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 goalsUnder 39%Over 61%Odds –
BTTSBoth teams to scoreNo 40%Yes 60%Odds –
Double chanceNo draw1X 47%12 77%X2 76%Odds –
First halfFirst half: Newport City1 21%X 37%2 42%Odds –
Match preview
Newport City are favourites away from home with a 53% chance to win, against 24% for Llantwit Major and 23% for a draw. At home Llantwit Major score 0.8 goals per game on average, while Newport City score 2.2 away. The model expects about 3.2 goals in total. In their last five league games Llantwit Major have won 2 and Newport City 0. Our pick: Newport City to win, likely score 1:2. Over 2.5 goals: 61%, both teams to score: 60%.
Form (last 5)
Llantwit MajorDWWLD
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| Away | 1.0 | 3.2 |
| Total | 0.9 | 2.3 |
Newport CityLLDDL
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| Away | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| Total | 1.5 | 1.1 |
Comparison
Llantwit MajorNewport City80%Form20%
70%Attack30%
46%Defence54%
20%Poisson80%
38%Head to head62%
50%Goals50%
50%Total49%
Head to head
| 20.02.2026 | FAW Championship | Newport City | 2:1 | Llantwit Major |
| 08.11.2025 | FAW Championship | Llantwit Major | 2:2 | Newport City |
| 28.03.2025 | FAW Championship | Newport City | 2:1 | Llantwit Major |
| 12.10.2024 | FAW Championship | Llantwit Major | 1:1 | Newport City |
| 20.07.2024 | League Cup | Llantwit Major | 2:0 | Newport City |
Standings
South
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea University | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 |  Pontypridd Town | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 3 |  Aberystwyth Town | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 19 |
| 4 |  Caerau (Ely) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 |  Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 6 |  Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 16 |
| 7 |  Carmarthen Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 |  Trethomas Bluebirds | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 9 |  Treowen Stars | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 |  Afan Lido | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 |  Caerphilly Athletic | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 12 |  Pontardawe Town | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 |  Cardiff Draconians | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 | Newport City | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 8 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -13 | 8 |
| 16 |  llanelli AFC | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -24 | 2 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly. 18+