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FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils prediction

Latvia – VirsligaLatvia – Virsliga · Regular Season – 34
FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
0:1 (0:0)
BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils
21%124%X55%2
Our tipBFC Daugavpils to win55%@1.67✓
  • Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 · 51%
  • BTTSYes · 52%
  • Expected goals2.73
· Olympic Sports Center of Zemgale, Jelgava

Probabilities

1 · 21%X · 24%2 · 55%
Pred.: BFC Daugavpils to winExpected goals: 2.73 (FS Jelgava 0.98 · BFC Daugavpils 1.75)

Correct score

  1. 0:111%Final score
  2. 1:111%
  3. 0:210%
  4. 1:210%
  5. 0:07%
  6. 1:06%

The chance of each exact score, most likely first.

Predictions by market

1X2✓ correctBFC Daugavpils to win1 21%X 24%2 55%Odds 1.67 · Betano
Under/Over 2.5✗ wrongOver 2.5 goalsUnder 49%Over 51%Odds 1.85 · Bet365
BTTS✗ wrongBoth teams to scoreNo 48%Yes 52%Odds 1.75 · Betfair
Double chance✓ correctBFC Daugavpils not to lose1X 45%12 76%X2 79%Odds 1.22 · Bet365
First half✓ correctFirst half: Draw1 19%X 41%2 40%Odds 2.34 · Pinnacle
Under/Over 1.5✗ wrongOver 1.5 goalsUnder 24%Over 76%Odds 1.22 · Betfair
Under/Over 3.5✓ correctUnder 3.5 goalsUnder 71%Over 29%Odds 1.40 · Betfair
HT/FT✗ wrongBFC Daugavpils / BFC Daugavpils2/2 34%X/2 18%X/X 15%Odds 2.88 · Bet365
Correct score✓ correct0:10:1 11%

Match preview

BFC Daugavpils are favourites away from home with a 55% chance to win, against 21% for FS Jelgava and 24% for a draw. At home FS Jelgava score 0.8 goals per game on average, while BFC Daugavpils score 1.2 away. The model expects about 2.7 goals in total. In their last five league games FS Jelgava have won 0 and BFC Daugavpils 2. Our pick: BFC Daugavpils to win, likely score 0:1. Over 2.5 goals: 51%, both teams to score: 52%.

Match events

  • 24′🟨 Ziad Ouled-Haj-M'Hand
  • 43′🟨 Gļebs Mihaļcovs
  • 45+1′🟨 eseme william mukwelle
  • 78′⚽ A. Traore
  • 81′⇄ A. Dreimanis
  • 87′⇄ M. Pudil

Line-ups

FS Jelgava5-4-1
BFC Daugavpils4-2-3-1

Substitutes

  • 16T. LeitisGK
  • 21G. KacanovsDF
  • 19A. PetersonsDF
  • 28A. DeklavsMF
  • 2K. Bernans
  • 9R. BecersFW81′0.0
  • 7A. JanovskisFW
  • 20G. PatikaFW
  • 18E. SmaukstelisFW87′

CoachAleksandrs Basovs

Substitutes

  • 58V. RazumejevsGK
  • 77R. AizupsDF
  • 66K. BujanovsDF
  • 33D. CucursDF
  • 6N. BarkovskisMF
  • 8R. SkrebelsMF
  • 27M. KopilovsFW
  • 3D. AyebadiepreyeFW

CoachKirils Kurbatov

Player ratings from our data provider, out of 10.

Form (last 5)

FS Jelgava
LDLLL
Goals +Goals −
Home0.81.6
Away1.21.8
Total1.01.7
BFC Daugavpils
DLDWW
Goals +Goals −
Home1.20.8
Away1.21.4
Total1.21.1

Comparison

FS JelgavaBFC Daugavpils
11%
Form
89%
25%
Attack
75%
36%
Defence
64%
32%
Poisson
68%
15%
Head to head
85%
25%
Goals
75%
24%
Total
76%

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

1WinsFS Jelgava
3Draws
6WinsBFC Daugavpils

In the last 10 meetings, BFC Daugavpils won 6, FS Jelgava won 1 and 3 ended in a draw.

  • 1.8Goals per match
  • 3 of 10Over 2.5
  • 3 of 10Both teams scored
  1. 01.08.2026VirsligaBFC Daugavpils2:1FS Jelgava
  2. 31.05.2026VirsligaFS Jelgava1:1BFC Daugavpils
  3. 16.04.2026VirsligaBFC Daugavpils1:0FS Jelgava
  4. 18.10.2025VirsligaFS Jelgava0:0BFC Daugavpils
  5. 27.07.2025VirsligaBFC Daugavpils2:0FS Jelgava
  6. 25.05.2025VirsligaBFC Daugavpils1:0FS Jelgava
  7. 10.04.2025VirsligaFS Jelgava4:1BFC Daugavpils
  8. 01.09.2024VirsligaFS Jelgava0:0BFC Daugavpils
  9. 21.06.2024VirsligaBFC Daugavpils3:0FS Jelgava
  10. 03.05.2024VirsligaBFC Daugavpils1:0FS Jelgava

Standings

#TeamPWDLGoals+/-PtsForm
1 Rīgas FS34275284:24+6086
2 Riga34257295:33+6282
3 Auda34207757:35+2267
4 BFC Daugavpils341391240:37+348
5 FK Liepaja341381346:46047
6 Super Nova341151832:50-1838
7 FS Jelgava34881834:57-2332
8 Grobiņa346111727:61-3429
9 Tukums345101944:65-2125
10 Ogre United34462434:85-5118

Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly.