Chornomorets vs Karpaty prediction
Ukraine – Premier League · Regular Season – 1015%121%X64%2
Our tipKarpaty to win64%@1.51✗
- Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 · 53%
- BTTSNo · 51%
- Expected goals2.80
Probabilities
Pred.: Karpaty to winExpected goals: 2.80 (Chornomorets 0.83 · Karpaty 1.96)
Correct score
- 0:112%
- 0:212%
- 1:110%
- 1:210%
- 0:38%
- 1:36%
The chance of each exact score, most likely first.
Predictions by market
1X2✗ wrongKarpaty to win1 15%X 21%2 64%Odds 1.51 · 1xBet
Under/Over 2.5✗ wrongOver 2.5 goalsUnder 47%Over 53%Odds 1.78 · 1xBet
BTTS✓ correctNot both teams to scoreNo 51%Yes 49%Odds 1.85 · William Hill
Double chance✓ correctKarpaty not to lose1X 36%12 79%X2 85%Odds 1.12 · 1xBet
First half✗ wrongFirst half: Karpaty1 15%X 39%2 46%Odds 2.06 · 1xBet
Under/Over 1.5✗ wrongOver 1.5 goalsUnder 23%Over 77%Odds 1.25 · Betano
Under/Over 3.5✓ correctUnder 3.5 goalsUnder 69%Over 31%Odds 1.40 · Bet365
HT/FT✗ wrongKarpaty / Karpaty2/2 41%X/2 20%X/X 13%Odds 2.25 · Bet365
Correct score✗ wrong0:10:1 12%
Match preview
Karpaty are favourites away from home with a 64% chance to win, against 15% for Chornomorets and 21% for a draw. At home Chornomorets score 0.8 goals per game on average, while Karpaty score 1.8 away. The model expects about 2.8 goals in total. In their last five league games Chornomorets have won 0 and Karpaty 1. Our pick: Karpaty to win, likely score 0:1. Over 2.5 goals: 53%, both teams to score: 49%.
Match events
- 5′🟨 Oleh Pushkarov
- 5′🟥 Jean Pedroso
- 9′🟨 Moses Jarju
- 11′⇄ J. Sery
- 33′🟨 Timur Stetskov
- 46′⇄ V. Kurko
- 46′⇄ Fellipe Vieira
- 46′⇄ Eriki
- 48′🟨 Moha Moukhliss
- 67′⇄ G. Robakidze
- 67′⇄ D. Miroshnichenko
- 71′🟨 Vladislav Baboglo
- 76′⇄ N. Rusyn
- 82′⇄ A. Khoma
- 90+4′🟨 Roman Vantukh
- 90+2′🟨 Roman Mysak
Line-ups
Chornomorets4-1-4-1
Karpaty4-1-2-3Substitutes
- 35M. KovalGK
- 16N. BaydaGK
- 4M. KratovDF
- 8D. KlyotsMF67′0.0
- 21V. KlymenkoDF
- 13V. FaraseyenkoMF82′0.0
- 17I. KogutMF
- 19M. KogutDF
- 10A. AvagimyanMF46′0.0
- 22S. KorniychukDF
- 23O. GusevDF
CoachRoman Grygorchuk
Substitutes
- 1D. MarchenkoGK
- 36A. ZhylkinGK
- 73R. LyakhDF46′0.0
- 55T. StetskovDF11′0.0
- 30S. GlotsDF
- 22Y. KokodynyakDF
- 14I. CaleroDF67′0.0
- 58V. AntonyukMF
- 10Moha MoukhlissMF46′0.0
- 21B. Iglesias LoisMF
- 19Y. KarabinMF
- 28O. DyedovFW76′0.0
CoachFran Fernandez
Player ratings from our data provider, out of 10.
Form (last 5)
ChornomoretsDLDLL
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Away | 0.3 | 2.0 |
| Total | 0.6 | 1.4 |
KarpatyLWDLD
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| Away | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| Total | 1.9 | 0.9 |
Comparison
ChornomoretsKarpaty29%Form71%
33%Attack67%
46%Defence54%
20%Poisson80%
29%Head to head71%
25%Goals75%
30%Total69%
Head to head
Last 10 meetings
1WinsChornomorets3Draws
6WinsKarpatyIn the last 10 meetings, Karpaty won 6, Chornomorets won 1 and 3 ended in a draw.
- 2.4Goals per match
- 5 of 10Over 2.5
- 3 of 10Both teams scored
- 30.03.2025Premier LeagueKarpaty4:0Chornomorets
- 21.09.2024Premier LeagueChornomorets0:1Karpaty
- 21.08.2024CupKarpaty3:0Chornomorets
- 21.05.2019Premier LeagueChornomorets3:1Karpaty
- 23.04.2019Premier LeagueKarpaty0:0Chornomorets
- 28.10.2018Premier LeagueChornomorets0:5Karpaty
- 29.07.2018Premier LeagueKarpaty1:0Chornomorets
- 05.05.2018Premier LeagueChornomorets1:1Karpaty
- 31.03.2018Premier LeagueKarpaty3:1Chornomorets
- 24.02.2018Premier LeagueChornomorets0:0Karpaty
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Polessya | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +15 | 25 |
| 2 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +15 | 25 |
| 3 |  FC Kharkiv | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 21 |
| 4 |  Dynamo Kyiv | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 19 |
| 5 | Karpaty | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +9 | 16 |
| 6 |  LNZ Cherkasy | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 7 |  Zorya Luhansk | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 15 |
| 8 |  Kolos Kovalivka | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 |  Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 9 |
| 10 |  Bukovyna | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -5 | 9 |
| 11 |  Veres Rivne | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 9 |
| 12 |  Livyi Bereh | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 |  Obolon'-Brovar | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -11 | 7 |
| 14 | Chornomorets | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 |  Kryvbas KR | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 16 |  Kudrivka | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -13 | 5 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly.
