AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia prediction
Cyprus – 1. Division · Regular Season – 729%126%X45%2
Our tipOmonia Nicosia to win45%@2.13✗
- Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 · 51%
- BTTSYes · 54%
- Expected goals2.70
Probabilities
Pred.: Omonia Nicosia to winExpected goals: 2.70 (AEK Larnaca 1.18 · Omonia Nicosia 1.52)
Correct score
- 1:112%
- 0:110%
- 1:29%
- 1:08%
- 0:28%
- 2:17%
The chance of each exact score, most likely first.
Predictions by market
1X2✗ wrongOmonia Nicosia to win1 29%X 26%2 45%Odds 2.13 · Dafabet
Under/Over 2.5✗ wrongOver 2.5 goalsUnder 49%Over 51%Odds 1.90 · SBO
BTTS✗ wrongBoth teams to scoreNo 46%Yes 54%Odds 1.73 · Bet365
Double chance✓ correctNo draw1X 55%12 74%X2 71%Odds 1.30 · William Hill
First half✓ correctFirst half: Draw1 24%X 42%2 34%Odds 2.25 · Pinnacle
Under/Over 1.5✓ correctOver 1.5 goalsUnder 25%Over 75%Odds 1.28 · Betano
Under/Over 3.5✓ correctUnder 3.5 goalsUnder 71%Over 29%Odds 1.37 · Pinnacle
HT/FT✗ wrongOmonia Nicosia / Omonia Nicosia2/2 27%1/1 16%X/X 16%Odds 3.40 · Betfair
Correct score✗ wrong0:10:1 10%
Match preview
Omonia Nicosia are favourites away from home with a 45% chance to win, against 29% for AEK Larnaca and 26% for a draw. The model expects about 2.7 goals in total. In their last five league games AEK Larnaca have won 3 and Omonia Nicosia 3. Our pick: Omonia Nicosia to win, likely score 0:1. Over 2.5 goals: 51%, both teams to score: 54%.
Match events
- 18′🟨 Yerson Chacón
- 36′🟨 Jean-Kevin Duverne
- 39′⇄ Loïc Nego
- 45′🟨 Hrvoje Miličević
- 45+4′🟨 Sven Kohler
- 49′⚽ Riad Bajić
- 56′🟨 Muamer Tanković
- 56′🟨 Enric Saborit
- 65′⇄ Yerson Chacón
- 69′⚽ Amor Layouni
- 70′⇄ Mateo Marić
- 70′⇄ Jaden Sean Montnor
- 70′⇄ Loïs Diony
- 74′⇄ Amor Layouni
- 83′⇄ Gus Ledes
- 83′⇄ Riad Bajić
- 86′⇄ Muamer Tanković
- 90+5′🟨 Brian Olivan
- 90+5′🟨 giorgos viktoros
Line-ups
AEK Larnaca
Omonia NicosiaSubstitutes
- 99D. DemetriouGK
- 44Z. AdoniDF
- 37David GerasimouMF
- 2P. IoannouDF
- 25C. KyriakouMF
- 28K. MrabtiMF65′
- 29G. NaoumMF
- 5Brian OlivánDF74′
- 6I. PankovMF83′
- 17K. PileasDF
- 19A. TricăFW83′
- 3M. van der HoornDF
CoachRubén Sellés
Substitutes
- 44G. ViktorosDF39′
- 17F. TănaseMF86′
- 27S. SimičDF
- 28M. OdubajoDF
- 85A. NeophytouFW
- 78Pantelis MichailGK
- 21M. MayambelaFW70′
- 90C. KonstantinidisDF
- 1T. KaminskiGK
- 9A. KakoullisFW70′
- 20L. BrouwersMF70′
- 92C. Panagiotis
CoachH. Berg
Form (last 5)
AEK LarnacaWLWWD
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| Away | 2.3 | 1.0 |
| Total | 1.8 | 0.8 |
Omonia NicosiaWDWWD
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| Away | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| Total | 2.2 | 0.7 |
Comparison
AEK LarnacaOmonia Nicosia48%Form52%
38%Attack62%
50%Defence50%
21%Poisson79%
15%Head to head85%
30%Goals70%
33%Total66%
Head to head
Last 10 meetings
1WinsAEK Larnaca5Draws
4WinsOmonia NicosiaIn the last 10 meetings, Omonia Nicosia won 4, AEK Larnaca won 1 and 5 ended in a draw.
- 2.0Goals per match
- 3 of 10Over 2.5
- 6 of 10Both teams scored
- 10.05.20261. DivisionOmonia Nicosia1:1AEK Larnaca
- 14.04.20261. DivisionAEK Larnaca0:2Omonia Nicosia
- 14.01.2026CupOmonia Nicosia2:1AEK Larnaca
- 15.12.20251. DivisionAEK Larnaca1:1Omonia Nicosia
- 17.09.20251. DivisionOmonia Nicosia1:0AEK Larnaca
- 07.05.2025CupAEK Larnaca2:1Omonia Nicosia
- 30.04.2025CupOmonia Nicosia0:0AEK Larnaca
- 22.04.20251. DivisionAEK Larnaca1:1Omonia Nicosia
- 16.03.20251. DivisionOmonia Nicosia1:1AEK Larnaca
- 03.01.20251. DivisionAEK Larnaca0:3Omonia Nicosia
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK Larnaca | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 2 |  Apollon Limassol | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 |  AEL | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 |
| 4 | Omonia Nicosia | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 12 |
| 5 |  Pafos | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 6 |  Aris | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 |  Apoel Nicosia | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 11 |
| 8 |  Omonia 29is Maiou | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 |  Anorthosis | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -7 | 6 |
| 10 |  Olympiakos | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 |  Omonia Aradippou | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Nea Salamis | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 13 |  Krasava Ypsonas | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4 |
| 14 |  Karmiotissa | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -12 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly.
