AC Milan vs Inter prediction
Italy – Serie A · Regular Season – 1032%124%X44%2
Our tipInter to win44%@2.17
- Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 · 60%
- BTTSYes · 62%
- Expected goals3.10
Probabilities
Pred.: Inter to winExpected goals: 3.10 (AC Milan 1.40 · Inter 1.70)
Correct score
- 1:111%
- 1:29%
- 0:18%
- 2:18%
- 0:27%
- 2:26%
The chance of each exact score, most likely first.
Predictions by market
1X2Inter to win1 32%X 24%2 44%Odds 2.17 · 1xBet
Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 goalsUnder 40%Over 60%Odds 1.70 · 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to scoreNo 38%Yes 62%Odds 1.57 · Betfair
Double chanceNo draw1X 56%12 76%X2 68%Odds 1.32 · 1xBet
First halfFirst half: Draw1 27%X 38%2 35%Odds 2.45 · Pinnacle
Under/Over 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUnder 18%Over 82%Odds 1.21 · Betano
Under/Over 3.5Under 3.5 goalsUnder 62%Over 38%Odds 1.53 · Betano
HT/FTInter / Inter2/2 27%1/1 19%X/2 14%Odds 3.30 · Betano
Correct score1:21:2 9%
Match preview
Inter are favourites away from home with a 44% chance to win, against 32% for AC Milan and 24% for a draw. At home AC Milan score 2.7 goals per game on average, while Inter score 2.0 away. The model expects about 3.1 goals in total. In their last five league games AC Milan have won 3 and Inter 4. Our pick: Inter to win, likely score 1:2. Over 2.5 goals: 60%, both teams to score: 62%.
Form (last 5)
AC MilanDWDWW
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.7 | 0.7 |
| Away | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Total | 2.0 | 0.9 |
InterWDWWW
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.4 | 1.4 |
| Away | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| Total | 2.9 | 1.3 |
Comparison
AC MilanInter46%Form54%
42%Attack58%
58%Defence42%
65%Poisson35%
85%Head to head15%
78%Goals22%
62%Total37%
Head to head
Last 10 meetings
5WinsAC Milan3Draws
2WinsInterIn the last 10 meetings, AC Milan won 5, Inter won 2 and 3 ended in a draw.
- 2.8Goals per match
- 5 of 10Over 2.5
- 7 of 10Both teams scored
- 05.08.2026Friendlies ClubsAC Milan1:1Inter
- 08.03.2026Serie AAC Milan1:0Inter
- 23.11.2025Serie AInter0:1AC Milan
- 23.04.2025Coppa ItaliaInter0:3AC Milan
- 02.04.2025Coppa ItaliaAC Milan1:1Inter
- 02.02.2025Serie AAC Milan1:1Inter
- 06.01.2025Super CupInter2:3AC Milan
- 22.09.2024Serie AInter1:2AC Milan
- 22.04.2024Serie AAC Milan1:2Inter
- 16.09.2023Serie AInter5:1AC Milan
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | +15 | 25 |
| 2 | Inter | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | +13 | 22 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +15 | 21 |
| 4 |  Como | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +9 | 18 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 14 |
| 8 |  Torino | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 |  Cagliari | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 13 |
| 10 |  Napoli | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 11 |
| 11 |  Atalanta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |  Lecce | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 9 |
| 13 |  Bologna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 |  Sassuolo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 8 |
| 15 |  Monza | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 |  Genoa | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 7 |
| 17 |  Udinese | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 |  Fiorentina | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 4 |
| 19 |  Parma | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 4 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -11 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly.
