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VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05 prediction

Germany – DFB PokalGermany – DFB Pokal · Round of 32
· Vonovia Ruhrstadion, Bochum

Probabilities

1 · 19%X · 20%2 · 61%
Pred.: FSV Mainz 05 to winExpected goals: 3.16 (VfL Bochum 1.07 · FSV Mainz 05 2.09)

Correct score

  1. 1:210%
  2. 1:19%
  3. 0:29%
  4. 0:19%
  5. 1:37%
  6. 0:36%

The chance of each exact score, most likely first.

Predictions by market

1X2FSV Mainz 05 to win1 19%X 20%2 61%Odds 1.63 · 1xBet
Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 goalsUnder 39%Over 61%Odds 1.59 · Marathonbet
BTTSBoth teams to scoreNo 43%Yes 57%Odds 1.62 · Bet365
Double chanceFSV Mainz 05 not to lose1X 39%12 80%X2 81%Odds 1.18 · BetVictor
First halfFirst half: FSV Mainz 051 18%X 37%2 45%Odds 2.14 · 1xBet

Best odds among 6 bookmakers; our probabilities use all of them, without their margins.

Match preview

FSV Mainz 05 are favourites away from home with a 61% chance to win, against 19% for VfL Bochum and 20% for a draw. The model expects about 3.2 goals in total. In their last five league games VfL Bochum have won 1 and FSV Mainz 05 1. Our pick: FSV Mainz 05 to win, likely score 1:2. Over 2.5 goals: 61%, both teams to score: 57%.

Form (last 5)

VfL Bochum
W
Goals +Goals −
Home0.00.0
Away2.01.0
Total2.01.0
FSV Mainz 05
W
Goals +Goals −
Home0.00.0
Away9.00.0
Total9.00.0

Comparison

VfL BochumFSV Mainz 05
50%
Form
50%
18%
Attack
82%
0%
Defence
100%
0%
Poisson
0%
7%
Head to head
93%
25%
Goals
75%
25%
Total
75%

Head to head

10.05.2025BundesligaVfL Bochum1:4FSV Mainz 05
11.01.2025BundesligaFSV Mainz 052:0VfL Bochum
16.03.2024BundesligaFSV Mainz 052:0Vfl Bochum
27.10.2023BundesligaVfl Bochum2:2FSV Mainz 05
28.01.2023BundesligaFSV Mainz 055:2Vfl Bochum
06.08.2022BundesligaVfl Bochum1:2FSV Mainz 05
18.01.2022DFB PokalVfl Bochum3:1FSV Mainz 05
15.01.2022BundesligaFSV Mainz 051:0Vfl Bochum
21.08.2021BundesligaVfl Bochum2:0FSV Mainz 05
23.12.2020DFB PokalFSV Mainz 052:2Vfl Bochum

Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly. 18+