Universidad Catolica vs Aucas prediction
Ecuador – Liga Pro · Championship Group – 553%125%X22%2
Our tipUniversidad Catolica to win53%@1.85
- Under/Over 2.5Under 2.5 · 53%
- BTTSNo · 51%
- Expected goals2.56
Probabilities
Pred.: Universidad Catolica to winExpected goals: 2.56 (Universidad Catolica 1.62 · Aucas 0.94)
Correct score
- 1:012%
- 1:112%
- 2:010%
- 2:110%
- 0:08%
- 0:17%
The chance of each exact score, most likely first.
Predictions by market
1X2Universidad Catolica to win1 53%X 25%2 22%Odds 1.85 · William Hill
Under/Over 2.5Under 2.5 goalsUnder 53%Over 47%Odds 1.90 · Bet365
BTTSNot both teams to scoreNo 51%Yes 49%Odds 1.91 · Bet365
Double chanceUniversidad Catolica not to lose1X 78%12 75%X2 47%Odds 1.25 · William Hill
First halfFirst half: Draw1 39%X 42%2 19%Odds 2.25 · Bet365
Under/Over 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUnder 27%Over 73%Odds 1.31 · Pinnacle
Under/Over 3.5Under 3.5 goalsUnder 74%Over 26%Odds 1.33 · Bet365
HT/FTUniversidad Catolica / Universidad Catolica1/1 33%X/1 18%X/X 15%Odds 2.88 · Bet365
Correct score1:01:0 12%
Match preview
Universidad Catolica are favourites here with a 53% chance to win, against 22% for Aucas and 25% for a draw. At home Universidad Catolica score 2.3 goals per game on average, while Aucas score 0.9 away. The model expects about 2.6 goals in total. In their last five league games Universidad Catolica have won 1 and Aucas 0. Our pick: Universidad Catolica to win, likely score 1:0. Over 2.5 goals: 47%, both teams to score: 49%.
Form (last 5)
Universidad CatolicaWLLDD
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.3 | 0.9 |
| Away | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Total | 1.6 | 0.9 |
AucasDLLDL
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| Away | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Total | 1.1 | 1.1 |
Comparison
Universidad CatolicaAucas71%Form29%
57%Attack43%
64%Defence36%
63%Poisson37%
50%Head to head50%
59%Goals41%
60%Total39%
Head to head
Last 10 meetings
2WinsUniversidad Catolica4Draws
4WinsAucasIn the last 10 meetings, Aucas won 4, Universidad Catolica won 2 and 4 ended in a draw.
- 3.7Goals per match
- 8 of 10Over 2.5
- 9 of 10Both teams scored
- 03.09.2026Liga ProUniversidad Catolica1:1Aucas
- 09.05.2026Liga ProAucas2:1Universidad Catolica
- 03.08.2025Liga ProUniversidad Catolica6:2Aucas
- 16.04.2025Liga ProAucas2:1Universidad Catolica
- 07.03.2025CONMEBOL SudamericanaUniversidad Catolica0:0Aucas
- 09.11.2024Liga ProUniversidad Catolica3:2Aucas
- 19.05.2024Liga ProAucas2:2Universidad Catolica
- 17.08.2023Liga ProUniversidad Catolica2:2Aucas
- 19.03.2023Liga ProAucas4:1Universidad Catolica
- 05.09.2022Liga ProUniversidad Catolica1:2Aucas
Standings
Liga Pro: Regular season
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | +40 | 74 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +24 | 51 |
| 3 |  Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | +8 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | +5 | 50 |
| 5 |  LDU de Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | +7 | 46 |
| 6 |  Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | +7 | 44 |
| 7 |  Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 |  Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -1 | 39 |
| 9 |  Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -3 | 39 |
| 10 |  Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 39 |
| 11 |  Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | -3 | 38 |
| 12 |  Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -12 | 36 |
| 13 |  Orense SC | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | -11 | 33 |
| 14 |  Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | -14 | 32 |
| 15 |  Delfin SC | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | -12 | 28 |
| 16 |  Manta FC | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | -25 | 21 |
Liga Pro: Championship Group
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 33 | 25 | 3 | 5 | +40 | 78 |
| 2 | Macara | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | +12 | 63 |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | +22 | 53 |
| 4 | LDU de Quito | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | +8 | 53 |
| 5 | Aucas | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | -1 | 51 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | +10 | 48 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly.
