Tepatitlán vs Cancún prediction
Mexico – Liga de Expansión MX · Apertura – 1420%120%X60%2
Our tipCancún to win60%@1.67✓
- Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 · 63%
- BTTSYes · 60%
- Expected goals3.24
Probabilities
Pred.: Cancún to winExpected goals: 3.24 (Tepatitlán 1.13 · Cancún 2.11)
Correct score
- 1:210%
- 1:19%
- 0:29%
- 0:18%
- 1:37%
- 0:36%
The chance of each exact score, most likely first.
Predictions by market
1X2✓ correctCancún to win1 20%X 20%2 60%Odds 1.67 · Bet365
Under/Over 2.5✓ correctOver 2.5 goalsUnder 37%Over 63%Odds 1.57 · Bet365
BTTS✗ wrongBoth teams to scoreNo 40%Yes 60%Odds 1.60 · William Hill
Double chance✓ correctCancún not to lose1X 40%12 80%X2 80%Odds 1.18 · William Hill
First half✓ correctFirst half: Cancún1 19%X 36%2 45%Odds 2.24 · Pinnacle
Under/Over 1.5✓ correctOver 1.5 goalsUnder 17%Over 83%Odds –
Under/Over 3.5✗ wrongUnder 3.5 goalsUnder 59%Over 41%Odds –
HT/FT✓ correctCancún / Cancún2/2 39%X/2 18%1/1 11%
Correct score✗ wrong1:21:2 10%
Match preview
Cancún are favourites away from home with a 60% chance to win, against 20% for Tepatitlán and 20% for a draw. At home Tepatitlán score 1.1 goals per game on average, while Cancún score 1.3 away. The model expects about 3.2 goals in total. In their last five league games Tepatitlán have won 1 and Cancún 2. Our pick: Cancún to win, likely score 1:2. Over 2.5 goals: 63%, both teams to score: 60%.
Match events
- 15′⚽ T. Gigena (F. Melendre)
- 27′⚽ J. Rodriguez (K. Campos)
- 46′⇄ A. Cardenas
- 57′🟨 R. Reyes
- 59′🟨 F. Sanguinetti
- 59′🟨 J. Cruz
- 59′🟨 J. Cruz
- 59′🟥 J. Cruz
- 64′⚽ J. Rodriguez (F. Melendre)
- 68′⇄ C. Vela
- 68′⇄ T. Gigena
- 74′⇄ A. Tamay
- 74′⇄ J. Sanchez
- 74′⇄ L. Egurrola
- 78′⇄ J. Hernandez
- 78′⇄ F. Sanguinetti
- 80′🟨 G. Olvera
- 82′⚽ J. Rodriguez (F. Melendre)
- 84′🟨 F. Melendre
- 84′⇄ F. Melendre
- 84′⇄ R. Reyes
- 89′🟨 G. Preciado
Form (last 5)
TepatitlánLWDLL
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.1 | 2.1 |
| Away | 0.3 | 3.7 |
| Total | 0.8 | 2.8 |
CancúnWLWDD
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.0 | 0.7 |
| Away | 1.3 | 2.2 |
| Total | 1.7 | 1.4 |
Comparison
TepatitlánCancún33%Form67%
38%Attack62%
41%Defence59%
36%Poisson64%
15%Head to head85%
31%Goals69%
32%Total67%
Head to head
Last 10 meetings
3WinsTepatitlán3Draws
4WinsCancúnIn the last 10 meetings, Cancún won 4, Tepatitlán won 3 and 3 ended in a draw.
- 2.7Goals per match
- 6 of 10Over 2.5
- 6 of 10Both teams scored
- 29.03.2026Liga de Expansión MXCancún2:2Tepatitlán
- 18.10.2025Liga de Expansión MXTepatitlán1:2Cancún
- 18.01.2025Liga de Expansión MXTepatitlán1:1Cancún
- 04.08.2024Liga de Expansión MXCancún2:0Tepatitlán
- 19.03.2024Liga de Expansión MXCancún2:0Tepatitlán
- 31.08.2023Liga de Expansión MXTepatitlán3:0Cancún
- 21.03.2023Liga de Expansión MXTepatitlán1:0Cancún
- 12.10.2022Liga de Expansión MXCancún1:2Tepatitlán
- 22.04.2022Liga de Expansión MXCancún2:2Tepatitlán
- 08.02.2022Liga de Expansión MXCancún2:1Tepatitlán
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CA La Paz | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +13 | 24 |
| 2 |  Leones Negros UDG | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +10 | 24 |
| 3 |  Monarcas | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +8 | 23 |
| 4 | Cancún | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +8 | 22 |
| 5 |  Piratas | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +7 | 21 |
| 6 |  Venados FC | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +5 | 21 |
| 7 |  Durango | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +5 | 21 |
| 8 |  Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | -11 | 19 |
| 9 |  Mineros de Zacatecas | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +3 | 18 |
| 10 |  Tapatío | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -2 | 17 |
| 11 |  Dorados | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 |  Correcaminos Uat | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 13 |  Tlaxcala | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 16 |
| 14 |  CDS Tampico Madero | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 15 |
| 15 |  Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -5 | 14 |
| 16 | Tepatitlán | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | -31 | 7 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly.
