Sunderland vs Leeds prediction
England – Premier League · Regular Season – 8Probabilities
Pred.: Leeds not to loseExpected goals: 2.48 (Sunderland 1.16 · Leeds 1.33)
Correct score
- 1:113%
- 0:111%
- 1:010%
- 1:29%
- 0:08%
- 2:17%
The chance of each exact score, most likely first.
Predictions by market
1X2Leeds not to lose1 33%X 26%2 41%Odds 1.43 · 1xBet
Under/Over 2.5Under 2.5 goalsUnder 55%Over 45%Odds 1.79 · 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to scoreNo 50%Yes 50%Odds 1.81 · Marathonbet
Double chanceNo draw1X 59%12 74%X2 67%Odds 1.38 · 1xBet
First halfFirst half: Draw1 26%X 44%2 30%Odds 2.17 · Pinnacle
Best odds among 6 bookmakers; our probabilities use all of them, without their margins.
Match preview
Leeds are favourites away from home with a 41% chance to win, against 33% for Sunderland and 26% for a draw. At home Sunderland score 0.3 goals per game on average, while Leeds score 1.0 away. The model expects about 2.5 goals in total. In their last five league games Sunderland have won 0 and Leeds 1. Our pick: Leeds not to lose, likely score 0:1. Over 2.5 goals: 45%, both teams to score: 50%.
Form (last 5)
SunderlandDLLLL
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| Away | 1.3 | 2.5 |
| Total | 0.9 | 2.0 |
LeedsDWDLD
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| Away | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Total | 1.3 | 0.9 |
Comparison
SunderlandLeeds14%Form86%
36%Attack64%
29%Defence71%
17%Poisson83%
38%Head to head62%
45%Goals55%
29%Total70%
Head to head
| 31.07.2026 | Premier League – Summer Series | Sunderland | 0:1 | Leeds |
| 03.03.2026 | Premier League | Leeds | 0:1 | Sunderland |
| 28.12.2025 | Premier League | Sunderland | 1:1 | Leeds |
| 17.02.2025 | Championship | Leeds | 2:1 | Sunderland |
| 04.10.2024 | Championship | Sunderland | 2:2 | Leeds |
| 09.04.2024 | Championship | Leeds | 0:0 | Sunderland |
| 12.12.2023 | Championship | Sunderland | 1:0 | Leeds |
| 07.04.2018 | Championship | Leeds | 1:1 | Sunderland |
| 19.08.2017 | Championship | Sunderland | 0:2 | Leeds |
| 04.01.2015 | FA Cup | Sunderland | 1:0 | Leeds |
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +12 | 21 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +18 | 16 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 13 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 12 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 | Leeds | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 |  Everton | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 |  Hull City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 10 |  Ipswich | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 11 |  Newcastle | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 |  Aston Villa | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8 |
| 13 |  Manchester United | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 |  Crystal Palace | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 7 |
| 15 |  Bournemouth | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 |  Tottenham | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 17 |  Coventry | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 |  Fulham | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 5 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly. 18+