Manchester United vs Bournemouth prediction
Probabilities
Pred.: Manchester United to winCorrect score: 2:1Expected goals: 3.15 (Manchester United 1.86 · Bournemouth 1.28)
Other likely scores: 1:1 10% · 1:0 8% · 2:0 8%
Predictions by market
1X2Manchester United to win1 51%X 22%2 27%Odds 1.91 · 1xBet
Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 goalsUnder 39%Over 61%Odds 1.63 · Pinnacle
BTTSBoth teams to scoreNo 39%Yes 61%Odds 1.57 · Bet365
Double chanceNo draw1X 73%12 78%X2 49%Odds 1.28 · 1xBet
First halfFirst half: Manchester United1 39%X 38%2 23%Odds 2.42 · Betano
Best odds among 10 bookmakers; our probabilities use all of them, without their margins.
Match preview
Manchester United are favourites here with a 51% chance to win, against 27% for Bournemouth and 22% for a draw. At home Manchester United score 2.0 goals per game on average, while Bournemouth score 1.3 away. The model expects about 3.2 goals in total. In their last five league games Manchester United have won 0 and Bournemouth 1. Our pick: Manchester United to win, likely score 2:1. Over 2.5 goals: 61%, both teams to score: 61%.
Form (last 5)
DLDDD
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.0 | 1.3 |
| Away | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| Total | 1.4 | 1.4 |
DDLLW
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| Away | 1.3 | 3.0 |
| Total | 1.3 | 1.9 |
Comparison
44%Form56%
42%Attack58%
63%Defence38%
73%Poisson27%
50%Head to head50%
50%Goals50%
53%Total46%
Head to head
| 20.03.2026 | Premier League | Bournemouth | 2:2 | Manchester United |
| 15.12.2025 | Premier League | Manchester United | 4:4 | Bournemouth |
| 31.07.2025 | Premier League – Summer Series | Manchester United | 4:1 | Bournemouth |
| 27.04.2025 | Premier League | Bournemouth | 1:1 | Manchester United |
| 22.12.2024 | Premier League | Manchester United | 0:3 | Bournemouth |
| 13.04.2024 | Premier League | Bournemouth | 2:2 | Manchester United |
| 09.12.2023 | Premier League | Manchester United | 0:3 | Bournemouth |
| 20.05.2023 | Premier League | Bournemouth | 0:1 | Manchester United |
| 03.01.2023 | Premier League | Manchester United | 3:0 | Bournemouth |
| 04.07.2020 | Premier League | Manchester United | 5:2 | Bournemouth |
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +12 | 21 | |
| 2 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +6 | 18 | |
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +18 | 16 | |
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 13 | |
| 5 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 12 | |
| 6 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +5 | 10 | |
| 7 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 10 | |
| 8 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 10 | |
| 9 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 9 | |
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8 | |
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8 | |
| 13 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | |
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 7 | |
| 15 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 | |
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 | |
| 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -8 | 6 | |
| 18 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 5 | |
| 19 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 | |
| 20 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly. 18+

