St. Pauli II vs Weiche Flensburg prediction
20%119%X61%2
Our tipWeiche Flensburg to win61%@1.61✗
- Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 · 73%
- BTTSYes · 68%
- Expected goals3.82
Probabilities
Pred.: Weiche Flensburg to winExpected goals: 3.82 (St. Pauli II 1.36 · Weiche Flensburg 2.45)
Correct score
- 1:29%
- 1:17%
- 1:37%
- 0:27%
- 2:26%
- 0:35%
The chance of each exact score, most likely first.
Predictions by market
1X2✗ wrongWeiche Flensburg to win1 20%X 19%2 61%Odds 1.61 · Dafabet
Under/Over 2.5✓ correctOver 2.5 goalsUnder 27%Over 73%Odds 1.35 · Betano
BTTS✗ wrongBoth teams to scoreNo 32%Yes 68%Odds 1.42 · Betano
Double chance✓ correctNo draw1X 39%12 81%X2 80%Odds 1.20 · William Hill
First half✗ wrongFirst half: Weiche Flensburg1 20%X 33%2 47%Odds 2.05 · Betano
Under/Over 1.5✓ correctOver 1.5 goalsUnder 11%Over 89%Odds 1.11 · Betano
Under/Over 3.5✗ wrongOver 3.5 goalsUnder 47%Over 53%Odds 1.93 · Pinnacle
HT/FT✗ wrongWeiche Flensburg / Weiche Flensburg2/2 40%X/2 17%1/1 11%Odds 2.35 · Betano
Correct score✗ wrong1:21:2 9%
Match preview
Weiche Flensburg are favourites away from home with a 61% chance to win, against 20% for St. Pauli II and 19% for a draw. At home St. Pauli II score 2.0 goals per game on average, while Weiche Flensburg score 3.0 away. The model expects about 3.8 goals in total. In their last five league games St. Pauli II have won 1 and Weiche Flensburg 4. Our pick: Weiche Flensburg to win, likely score 1:2. Over 2.5 goals: 73%, both teams to score: 68%.
Match events
- 6′⚽ E. Ahlstrand
- 24′⚽ T. Hara
- 55′⚽ J. Wardius
Form (last 5)
WLLLL
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.0 | 1.7 |
| Away | 1.7 | 2.7 |
| Total | 1.8 | 2.2 |
LWWWW
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.1 | 1.1 |
| Away | 3.0 | 0.9 |
| Total | 3.1 | 1.0 |
Comparison
20%Form80%
33%Attack67%
27%Defence73%
23%Poisson77%
50%Head to head50%
45%Goals55%
33%Total67%
Head to head
Last 10 meetings
4Draws
In the last 10 meetings, St. Pauli II won 4, Weiche Flensburg won 2 and 4 ended in a draw.
- 3.1Goals per match
- 6 of 10Over 2.5
- 6 of 10Both teams scored
- 21.03.2026Regionalliga – Nord
Weiche Flensburg1:1
St. Pauli II - 21.09.2025Regionalliga – Nord
St. Pauli II1:3
Weiche Flensburg - 03.05.2025Regionalliga – Nord
Weiche Flensburg0:1
St. Pauli II - 20.10.2024Regionalliga – Nord
St. Pauli II2:2
Weiche Flensburg - 17.03.2024Regionalliga – Nord
St. Pauli II0:0
Weiche Flensburg - 23.09.2023Regionalliga – Nord
Weiche Flensburg0:5
St. Pauli II - 06.04.2023Regionalliga – Nord
Weiche Flensburg0:1
St. Pauli II - 11.09.2022Regionalliga – Nord
St. Pauli II1:4
Weiche Flensburg - 23.02.2022Regionalliga – Nord
Weiche Flensburg3:3
St. Pauli II - 10.10.2021Regionalliga – Nord
St. Pauli II2:1
Weiche Flensburg
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | +26 | 34 | |
| 2 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | +15 | 33 | |
| 3 | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | +26 | 31 | |
| 4 | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +22 | 31 | |
| 5 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | +24 | 28 | |
| 6 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 24 | |
| 7 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 20 | |
| 8 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 19 | |
| 9 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | -3 | 18 | |
| 10 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -9 | 17 | |
| 11 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 15 | |
| 12 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -14 | 15 | |
| 13 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -14 | 14 | |
| 14 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | -2 | 13 | |
| 15 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 13 | |
| 16 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | -12 | 13 | |
| 17 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -25 | 12 | |
| 18 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -14 | 11 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly.

