Spartak Varna vs Arda Kardzhali prediction
Bulgaria – First League · Regular Season – 13Probabilities
Pred.: Spartak Varna to winCorrect score: 2:1Expected goals: 2.69 (Spartak Varna 1.54 · Arda Kardzhali 1.15)
Other likely scores: 1:1 12% · 1:0 11% · 0:1 8%
Predictions by market
1X2Spartak Varna to win1 46%X 27%2 27%Odds –
Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 goalsUnder 50%Over 50%Odds –
BTTSBoth teams to scoreNo 47%Yes 53%Odds –
Double chanceSpartak Varna not to lose1X 73%12 73%X2 54%Odds –
First halfFirst half: Draw1 35%X 42%2 23%Odds –
Match preview
Spartak Varna are favourites here with a 46% chance to win, against 27% for Arda Kardzhali and 27% for a draw. At home Spartak Varna score 0.8 goals per game on average, while Arda Kardzhali score 1.0 away. The model expects about 2.7 goals in total. In their last five league games Spartak Varna have won 1 and Arda Kardzhali 1. Our pick: Spartak Varna to win, likely score 2:1. Over 2.5 goals: 50%, both teams to score: 53%.
Form (last 5)
Spartak VarnaDDDLW
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Away | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Total | 1.0 | 1.4 |
Arda KardzhaliWLLDL
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| Away | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Total | 1.4 | 1.5 |
Comparison
Spartak VarnaArda Kardzhali60%Form40%
33%Attack67%
81%Defence19%
58%Poisson42%
50%Head to head50%
55%Goals45%
56%Total43%
Head to head
| 27.02.2026 | First League | Arda Kardzhali | 1:0 | Spartak Varna |
| 13.09.2025 | First League | Spartak Varna | 3:0 | Arda Kardzhali |
| 07.02.2025 | First League | Arda Kardzhali | 2:2 | Spartak Varna |
| 16.08.2024 | First League | Spartak Varna | 1:0 | Arda Kardzhali |
| 06.03.2023 | First League | Arda Kardzhali | 2:0 | Spartak Varna |
| 20.08.2022 | First League | Spartak Varna | 1:3 | Arda Kardzhali |
| 04.11.2020 | Cup | Spartak Varna | 1:2 | Arda Kardzhali |
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Levski Sofia | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | +19 | 28 |
| 2 |  CSKA Sofia | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | +18 | 27 |
| 3 |  Ludogorets | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | +14 | 26 |
| 4 |  CSKA 1948 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +8 | 22 |
| 5 |  Botev Plovdiv | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 19 |
| 6 | Arda Kardzhali | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 17 |
| 7 | Spartak Varna | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 13 |
| 8 |  Slavia Sofia | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 |  Botev Vratsa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 9 |
| 10 |  Dunav Ruse | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -8 | 8 |
| 11 |  Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -8 | 8 |
| 12 |  Lokomotiv Sofia | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Septemvri Sofia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 8 |
| 14 |  Cherno More Varna | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -11 | 6 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly. 18+