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Shakhtar Donetsk vs Zorya Luhansk prediction

Ukraine – Premier LeagueUkraine – Premier League · Regular Season – 10
Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk
Zorya LuhanskZorya Luhansk
· Arena Lviv, Lviv

Probabilities

1 · 70%X · 18%2 · 12%
Pred.: Shakhtar Donetsk to winExpected goals: 3.04 (Shakhtar Donetsk 2.23 · Zorya Luhansk 0.81)

Correct score

  1. 2:012%
  2. 1:011%
  3. 2:110%
  4. 3:09%
  5. 1:19%
  6. 3:17%

The chance of each exact score, most likely first.

Predictions by market

1X2Shakhtar Donetsk to win1 70%X 18%2 12%Odds 1.39 · 1xBet
Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 goalsUnder 41%Over 59%Odds 1.60 · Bet365
BTTSNot both teams to scoreNo 51%Yes 49%Odds 1.95 · William Hill
Double chanceShakhtar Donetsk not to lose1X 88%12 82%X2 30%Odds 1.09 · Betano
First halfFirst half: Shakhtar Donetsk1 51%X 36%2 13%Odds 1.81 · Marathonbet

Best odds among 8 bookmakers; our probabilities use all of them, without their margins.

Match preview

Shakhtar Donetsk are favourites here with a 70% chance to win, against 12% for Zorya Luhansk and 18% for a draw. At home Shakhtar Donetsk score 2.4 goals per game on average, while Zorya Luhansk score 1.8 away. The model expects about 3.0 goals in total. In their last five league games Shakhtar Donetsk have won 5 and Zorya Luhansk 2. Our pick: Shakhtar Donetsk to win, likely score 2:0. Over 2.5 goals: 59%, both teams to score: 49%.

Form (last 5)

Shakhtar Donetsk
WWWWW
Goals +Goals −
Home2.40.8
Away2.00.3
Total2.20.6
Zorya Luhansk
DDLWW
Goals +Goals −
Home1.01.8
Away1.81.0
Total1.31.4

Comparison

Shakhtar DonetskZorya Luhansk
65%
Form
35%
63%
Attack
37%
75%
Defence
25%
56%
Poisson
44%
93%
Head to head
7%
78%
Goals
22%
71%
Total
28%

Trends

  • 3Shakhtar Donetsk have kept 3 clean sheets in a row

  • 4Shakhtar Donetsk have won their last 4 home matches

Head to head

23.04.2026Premier LeagueZorya Luhansk1:2Shakhtar Donetsk
22.09.2025Premier LeagueShakhtar Donetsk1:0Zorya Luhansk
09.05.2025Premier LeagueZorya Luhansk0:0Shakhtar Donetsk
10.11.2024Premier LeagueShakhtar Donetsk3:1Zorya Luhansk
30.10.2024CupShakhtar Donetsk1:0Zorya Luhansk
22.04.2024Premier LeagueShakhtar Donetsk2:1Zorya Luhansk
18.04.2024Premier LeagueZorya Luhansk1:3Shakhtar Donetsk
24.05.2023Premier LeagueZorya Luhansk0:3Shakhtar Donetsk
13.11.2022Premier LeagueShakhtar Donetsk2:2Zorya Luhansk
23.04.2022Premier LeagueZorya Luhansk–Shakhtar Donetsk

Standings

#TeamPWDLGoals+/-PtsForm
1 Shakhtar Donetsk980120:5+1524
2 Polessya971120:8+1222
3 FC Kharkiv860216:6+1018
4 Dynamo Kyiv851211:8+316
5 Karpaty943217:8+915
6 LNZ Cherkasy942310:9+114
7 Zorya Luhansk942312:13-114
8 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi92349:12-39
9 Veres Rivne92346:11-59
10 Kolos Kovalivka822410:13-38
11 Bukovyna91537:12-58
12 Livyi Bereh81436:8-27
13 Obolon'-Brovar81434:12-87
14 Chornomorets81255:11-65
15 Kudrivka912610:21-115
16 Kryvbas KR71247:13-65

Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly. 18+