Puebla vs Monterrey prediction
Mexico – Liga MX · Apertura – 13Probabilities
Pred.: Monterrey to winCorrect score: 1:2Expected goals: 2.80 (Puebla 1.15 · Monterrey 1.65)
Other likely scores: 1:1 11% · 0:1 10% · 0:2 8%
Predictions by market
1X2✓ correctMonterrey to win1 27%X 24%2 49%Odds 1.88 · Pinnacle
Under/Over 2.5✓ correctOver 2.5 goalsUnder 47%Over 53%Odds 1.81 · Pinnacle
BTTS✓ correctBoth teams to scoreNo 45%Yes 55%Odds 1.65 · Marathonbet
Double chance✓ correctNo draw1X 51%12 76%X2 73%Odds 1.25 · William Hill
First half✗ wrongFirst half: Draw1 23%X 41%2 36%Odds 2.38 · Bet365
Best odds among 6 bookmakers; our probabilities use all of them, without their margins.
Match preview
Monterrey are favourites away from home with a 49% chance to win, against 27% for Puebla and 24% for a draw. At home Puebla score 1.2 goals per game on average, while Monterrey score 1.2 away. The model expects about 2.8 goals in total. In their last five league games Puebla have won 0 and Monterrey 2. Our pick: Monterrey to win, likely score 1:2. Over 2.5 goals: 53%, both teams to score: 55%.
Match events
- 17′⚽ Diego Rossi (Lucas Ocampos)
- 31′⚽ Hugo Cuypers
- 34′⚽ Lucas Ocampos (Óliver Torres)
- 45′⇄ Heriberto Jurado
- 45′⇄ Carlos Salcedo
- 45′⇄ Mathías Adrián Tomás Borges
- 56′⇄ Eduardo Mustre
- 57′⇄ Orbelín Pineda
- 57′⇄ Hugo Cuypers
- 58′⇄ Diego Rossi
- 61′⚽ Roberto de la Rosa (Óliver Torres)
- 65′⇄ Alonso Ramirez
- 66′⚽ Facundo Almada (Juan Pablo Vargas)
- 76′⇄ Lucas Ocampos
- 79′⇄ Iker Moreno
- 90′🟨 Lucas Orellano
- 90+1′🟨 Ricardo Chávez
Form (last 5)
PueblaLDLDD
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Away | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| Total | 1.0 | 1.1 |
MonterreyDWLDW
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| Away | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Total | 1.7 | 1.5 |
Comparison
PueblaMonterrey27%Form73%
25%Attack75%
60%Defence40%
57%Poisson43%
7%Head to head93%
31%Goals69%
34%Total65%
Head to head
| 22.04.2026 | Liga MX | Monterrey | 2:1 | Puebla |
| 30.08.2025 | Liga MX | Puebla | 2:4 | Monterrey |
| 13.01.2025 | Liga MX | Monterrey | 1:1 | Puebla |
| 17.08.2024 | Liga MX | Puebla | 1:2 | Monterrey |
| 14.01.2024 | Liga MX | Monterrey | 2:0 | Puebla |
| 04.10.2023 | Liga MX | Puebla | 1:1 | Monterrey |
| 28.01.2023 | Liga MX | Puebla | 1:2 | Monterrey |
| 27.07.2022 | Liga MX | Monterrey | 1:0 | Puebla |
| 19.02.2022 | Liga MX | Puebla | 1:0 | Monterrey |
| 26.07.2021 | Liga MX | Monterrey | 1:1 | Puebla |
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +13 | 24 |
| 2 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 23 |
| 3 |  Toluca | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +10 | 21 |
| 4 |  Leon | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 21 |
| 5 |  Atlas | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 21 |
| 6 |  Cruz Azul | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 |  Club Queretaro | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 20 |
| 8 | Monterrey | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 17 |
| 9 |  Santos Laguna | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | +1 | 16 |
| 10 |  Club Tijuana | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 16 |
| 11 |  U.N.A.M. – Pumas | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Puebla | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 16 |
| 13 |  Atletico San Luis | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 16 |
| 14 |  Tigres UANL | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 14 |
| 15 |  Atlante FC | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -5 | 14 |
| 16 |  CF Pachuca | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | +3 | 13 |
| 17 |  Necaxa | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -11 | 9 |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | -24 | 4 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly. 18+