CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul prediction
Mexico – Liga MX · Apertura – 13Probabilities
Pred.: Cruz Azul not to loseCorrect score: 1:2Expected goals: 3.20 (CF Pachuca 1.50 · Cruz Azul 1.69)
Other likely scores: 1:1 10% · 2:1 8% · 0:1 7%
Predictions by market
1X2✓ correctCruz Azul not to lose1 34%X 23%2 43%Odds 1.36 · William Hill
Under/Over 2.5✓ correctOver 2.5 goalsUnder 38%Over 62%Odds 1.62 · Pinnacle
BTTS✓ correctBoth teams to scoreNo 37%Yes 63%Odds 1.50 · William Hill
Double chance✓ correctNo draw1X 57%12 77%X2 65%Odds 1.29 · William Hill
First half✓ correctFirst half: Draw1 28%X 38%2 34%Odds 2.49 · Pinnacle
Best odds among 6 bookmakers; our probabilities use all of them, without their margins.
Match preview
Cruz Azul are favourites away from home with a 43% chance to win, against 34% for CF Pachuca and 23% for a draw. At home CF Pachuca score 1.8 goals per game on average, while Cruz Azul score 2.0 away. The model expects about 3.2 goals in total. In their last five league games CF Pachuca have won 1 and Cruz Azul 2. Our pick: Cruz Azul not to lose, likely score 1:2. Over 2.5 goals: 62%, both teams to score: 63%.
Match events
- 11′🟨 Eduardo Dos Santos
- 13′⚽ Gabriel Fernández (Alan Mozo)
- 20′⚽ Francisco Venegas (Rodolfo Pizarro)
- 39′🟨 Carlos Rodriguez
- 45′🟨 Oussama Idrissi
- 48′🟨 Francisco Venegas
- 61′⇄ Ángel Márquez
- 61′⇄ Omar Campos
- 63′🟨 Rodolfo Pizarro
- 67′⇄ Rodolfo Pizarro
- 67′⇄ Oussama Idrissi
- 70′⇄ Alan Mozo
- 70′⇄ Agustín Palavecino
- 75′🟨 Pedro Budib
- 79′⚽ Andrés Montaño
- 79′⇄ Jorge Berlanga
- 79′⇄ Javier Vallejo
- 82′⇄ Carlos Rodriguez
- 85′🟨 Amaury García
- 85′⇄ Francisco Venegas
- 87′• Salomón Rondón
- 90+4′🟨 Luka Romero
Form (last 5)
CF PachucaWDLDL
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| Away | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| Total | 1.6 | 1.3 |
Cruz AzulWLDDW
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.4 | 1.7 |
| Away | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| Total | 2.3 | 1.8 |
Comparison
CF PachucaCruz Azul38%Form62%
38%Attack63%
56%Defence44%
39%Poisson61%
40%Head to head60%
43%Goals57%
42%Total57%
Head to head
| 05.04.2026 | Liga MX | Cruz Azul | 1:2 | CF Pachuca |
| 14.09.2025 | Liga MX | CF Pachuca | 0:1 | Cruz Azul |
| 09.02.2025 | Liga MX | Cruz Azul | 2:1 | CF Pachuca |
| 29.09.2024 | Liga MX | CF Pachuca | 2:4 | Cruz Azul |
| 14.01.2024 | Liga MX | Cruz Azul | 0:1 | CF Pachuca |
| 24.08.2023 | Liga MX | CF Pachuca | 1:0 | Cruz Azul |
| 02.04.2023 | Liga MX | CF Pachuca | 0:2 | Cruz Azul |
| 10.07.2022 | Liga MX | Cruz Azul | 1:2 | CF Pachuca |
| 20.03.2022 | Liga MX | CF Pachuca | 1:0 | Cruz Azul |
| 30.08.2021 | Liga MX | Cruz Azul | 1:1 | CF Pachuca |
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +16 | 27 |
| 2 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 23 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +7 | 23 |
| 4 |  Toluca | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +10 | 22 |
| 5 |  Leon | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 21 |
| 6 |  Atlas | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 21 |
| 7 |  Monterrey | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +6 | 20 |
| 8 |  Club Queretaro | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 |  Santos Laguna | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | +3 | 19 |
| 10 |  Club Tijuana | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +1 | 17 |
| 11 |  U.N.A.M. – Pumas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 |  Atletico San Luis | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 16 |
| 13 |  Puebla | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 16 |
| 14 |  Tigres UANL | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 14 |
| 15 |  Atlante FC | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -5 | 14 |
| 16 | CF Pachuca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | +2 | 13 |
| 17 |  Necaxa | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -11 | 9 |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | -24 | 4 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly. 18+