Pogradeci vs Oriku prediction
Albania – 1st Division · Regular Season – 887%110%X3%2
Our tipPogradeci to win87%@1.12
- Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 · 61%
- BTTSNo · 72%
- Expected goals3.15
Probabilities
Pred.: Pogradeci to winExpected goals: 3.15 (Pogradeci 2.80 · Oriku 0.35)
Correct score
- 2:017%
- 3:016%
- 1:012%
- 4:011%
- 5:06%
- 2:16%
The chance of each exact score, most likely first.
Predictions by market
1X2Pogradeci to win1 87%X 10%2 3%Odds 1.12 · William Hill
Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 goalsUnder 39%Over 61%Odds 1.61 · Pinnacle
BTTSNot both teams to scoreNo 72%Yes 28%Odds 1.30 · William Hill
Double chancePogradeci not to lose1X 97%12 90%X2 13%Odds 1.03 · Betfair
First halfFirst half: Pogradeci1 66%X 30%2 4%Odds 1.50 · Betfair
Under/Over 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUnder 18%Over 82%Odds 1.18 · 1xBet
Under/Over 3.5Under 3.5 goalsUnder 61%Over 39%Odds 1.53 · 1xBet
HT/FTPogradeci / Pogradeci1/1 64%X/1 21%X/X 7%Odds 1.53 · 1xBet
Correct score3:03:0 16%
Match preview
Pogradeci are favourites here with a 87% chance to win, against 3% for Oriku and 10% for a draw. At home Pogradeci score 1.3 goals per game on average, while Oriku score 0.3 away. The model expects about 3.2 goals in total. In their last five league games Pogradeci have won 2 and Oriku 0. Our pick: Pogradeci to win, likely score 3:0. Over 2.5 goals: 61%, both teams to score: 28%.
Form (last 5)
PogradeciWDWDD
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| Away | 1.8 | 0.5 |
| Total | 1.6 | 0.7 |
OrikuLLLLD
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.7 | 2.3 |
| Away | 0.3 | 2.3 |
| Total | 0.4 | 2.3 |
Comparison
PogradeciOriku90%Form10%
82%Attack18%
76%Defence24%
90%Poisson10%
50%Head to head50%
67%Goals33%
75%Total24%
Trends
8Pogradeci are unbeaten in 8 matches
8Oriku have not won in 8 matches
Head to head
Last 9 meetings
4WinsPogradeci1Draws
4WinsOrikuIn the last 9 meetings, Pogradeci won 4, Oriku won 4 and one ended in a draw.
- 2.7Goals per match
- 3 of 9Over 2.5
- 4 of 9Both teams scored
- 03.03.20242nd Division – Group BPogradeci1:0Oriku
- 22.10.20232nd Division – Group BOriku1:1Pogradeci
- 18.10.2023CupOriku2:0Pogradeci
- 14.05.20221st DivisionPogradeci1:2Oriku
- 01.11.2020CupPogradeci9:1Oriku
- 21.12.20191st DivisionPogradeci1:0Oriku
- 28.09.20191st DivisionOriku1:0Pogradeci
- 08.12.20181st DivisionPogradeci2:1Oriku
- 22.09.20181st DivisionOriku1:0Pogradeci
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Besa Kavajë | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +10 | 13 |
| 2 | Pogradeci | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 |  Flamurtari | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 4 |  FK Kukesi | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 5 |  Iliria Fushë-Krujë | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 12 |
| 6 |  Bylis | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | +2 | 11 |
| 7 |  Besëlidhja Lezhë | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 |  Kastrioti Krujë | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Korabi Peshkopi | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 10 |  Sopoti Librazhd | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 |  Burreli | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Oriku | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly.
