Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec prediction
Poland – I Liga · Regular Season – 1349%123%X28%2
Our tipPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki to win49%@2.15
- Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 · 62%
- BTTSYes · 62%
- Expected goals3.19
Probabilities
Pred.: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki to winExpected goals: 3.19 (Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1.84 · Stal Mielec 1.35)
Correct score
- 1:110%
- 2:19%
- 1:08%
- 2:07%
- 1:27%
- 2:26%
The chance of each exact score, most likely first.
Predictions by market
1X2Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki to win1 49%X 23%2 28%Odds 2.15 · Betano · Value · Our chance 55% · +18%
Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 goalsUnder 38%Over 62%Odds 1.57 · Bet365
BTTSBoth teams to scoreNo 38%Yes 62%Odds 1.50 · Bet365
Double chanceNo draw1X 72%12 77%X2 51%Odds 1.29 · William Hill
First halfFirst half: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki1 38%X 37%2 25%Odds 2.65 · Betano
Under/Over 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUnder 17%Over 83%Odds 1.18 · Betano
Under/Over 3.5Under 3.5 goalsUnder 60%Over 40%Odds 1.57 · Betano
HT/FTPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki / Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki1/1 31%2/2 16%X/1 15%Odds 3.45 · Betano
Correct score2:12:1 9%
Match preview
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki are favourites here with a 49% chance to win, against 28% for Stal Mielec and 23% for a draw. At home Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki score 1.2 goals per game on average, while Stal Mielec score 0.6 away. The model expects about 3.2 goals in total. In their last five league games Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki have won 2 and Stal Mielec 1. Our pick: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki to win, likely score 2:1. Over 2.5 goals: 62%, both teams to score: 62%.
Form (last 5)
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiLWWLL
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.2 | 0.7 |
| Away | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| Total | 1.6 | 0.9 |
Stal MielecLLWLD
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.9 | 1.4 |
| Away | 0.6 | 3.4 |
| Total | 1.3 | 2.3 |
Comparison
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiStal Mielec60%Form40%
67%Attack33%
68%Defence32%
89%Poisson11%
50%Head to head50%
50%Goals50%
64%Total36%
Head to head
Last 2 meetings
1WinsPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki0Draws
1WinsStal MielecIn the last 2 meetings, Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki won 1, Stal Mielec won 1 and none ended in a draw.
- 3.0Goals per match
- 2 of 2Over 2.5
- 2 of 2Both teams scored
- 06.04.2026I LigaPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki1:2Stal Mielec
- 19.09.2025I LigaStal Mielec1:2Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +8 | 21 |
| 2 |  Ruch Chorzów | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 21 |
| 3 |  Polonia Warszawa | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 21 |
| 4 |  ŁKS Łódź | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 21 |
| 5 |  Nieciecza | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 20 |
| 6 |  Lechia Gdansk | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | +3 | 19 |
| 7 |  Miedz Legnica | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +7 | 18 |
| 8 |  Warta Poznań | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | +3 | 18 |
| 9 |  Polonia Bytom | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 18 |
| 10 |  Stal Rzeszów | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 17 |
| 11 |  Pogoń Siedlce | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 |  Arka Gdynia | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 14 |
| 13 |  Podbeskidzie | 12 | 2 | 8 | 2 | -1 | 14 |
| 14 |  Chrobry Głogów | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 15 | Stal Mielec | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -11 | 13 |
| 16 |  Puszcza Niepołomice | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -4 | 12 |
| 17 |  Odra Opole | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 12 |
| 18 |  Unia Skierniewice | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -7 | 11 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly.
