Lille vs Lens prediction
France – Ligue 1 · Regular Season – 940%125%X35%2
Our tipNo draw75%@1.33
- Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 · 57%
- BTTSYes · 60%
- Expected goals2.97
Probabilities
Pred.: Lille to winExpected goals: 2.97 (Lille 1.54 · Lens 1.43)
Correct score
- 1:111%
- 2:19%
- 1:28%
- 1:08%
- 0:17%
- 2:26%
The chance of each exact score, most likely first.
Predictions by market
1X2Lille to win1 40%X 25%2 35%Odds 2.45 · 1xBet
Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 goalsUnder 43%Over 57%Odds 1.75 · 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to scoreNo 40%Yes 60%Odds 1.62 · Bet365
Double chanceNo draw1X 65%12 75%X2 60%Odds 1.33 · 1xBet
First halfFirst half: Draw1 31%X 40%2 29%Odds 2.38 · Pinnacle
Under/Over 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUnder 20%Over 80%Odds 1.23 · Betano
Under/Over 3.5Under 3.5 goalsUnder 65%Over 35%Odds 1.47 · 1xBet
HT/FTLille / Lille1/1 23%2/2 21%X/1 14%Odds 3.64 · Marathonbet
Correct score2:12:1 9%
Match preview
Lille are favourites here with a 40% chance to win, against 35% for Lens and 25% for a draw. At home Lille score 1.5 goals per game on average, while Lens score 1.8 away. The model expects about 3.0 goals in total. In their last five league games Lille have won 3 and Lens 2. Our pick: Lille to win, likely score 2:1. Over 2.5 goals: 57%, both teams to score: 60%.
Form (last 5)
LilleWWLWD
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| Away | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| Total | 1.4 | 0.7 |
LensLDLWW
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| Away | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| Total | 2.0 | 1.6 |
Comparison
LilleLens59%Form41%
43%Attack57%
70%Defence30%
64%Poisson36%
80%Head to head20%
67%Goals33%
63%Total36%
Head to head
Last 10 meetings
5WinsLille3Draws
2WinsLensIn the last 10 meetings, Lille won 5, Lens won 2 and 3 ended in a draw.
- 2.4Goals per match
- 5 of 10Over 2.5
- 5 of 10Both teams scored
- 04.04.2026Ligue 1Lille3:0Lens
- 20.09.2025Ligue 1Lens3:0Lille
- 30.03.2025Ligue 1Lille1:0Lens
- 26.10.2024Ligue 1Lens0:2Lille
- 29.03.2024Ligue 1Lille2:1Lens
- 08.10.2023Ligue 1Lens1:1Lille
- 04.03.2023Ligue 1Lens1:1Lille
- 09.10.2022Ligue 1Lille1:0Lens
- 16.04.2022Ligue 1Lille1:2Lens
- 04.01.2022Coupe de FranceLens2:2Lille
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lyon | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 14 |
| 2 |  Paris Saint Germain | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 3 | Lille | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 5 |  Monaco | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 | Lens | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 |  Rennes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |  Lorient | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Marseille | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 11 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 13 |  Auxerre | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 9 |
| 14 |  Strasbourg | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 |  Angers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 |  Le Mans | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -11 | 4 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 2 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly.
