Piratas vs Tapatío prediction
Mexico – Liga de Expansión MX · Apertura – 15
74%116%X10%2
Our tipPiratas to win74%@1.30
- Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 · 67%
- BTTSYes · 54%
- Expected goals3.48
Probabilities
Pred.: Piratas to winExpected goals: 3.48 (Piratas 2.60 · Tapatío 0.88)
Correct score
- 2:011%
- 2:19%
- 3:09%
- 1:08%
- 3:18%
- 1:17%
The chance of each exact score, most likely first.
Predictions by market
1X2Piratas to win1 74%X 16%2 10%Odds 1.30 · Betano
Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 goalsUnder 33%Over 67%Odds 1.43 · Pinnacle
BTTSBoth teams to scoreNo 46%Yes 54%Odds 1.75 · William Hill
Double chancePiratas not to lose1X 90%12 84%X2 26%Odds 1.06 · William Hill
First halfFirst half: Piratas1 56%X 32%2 12%Odds 1.70 · Betano
Under/Over 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUnder 14%Over 86%Odds 1.13 · Pinnacle
Under/Over 3.5Under 3.5 goalsUnder 54%Over 46%Odds 1.72 · Pinnacle
HT/FTPiratas / Piratas1/1 51%X/1 19%X/X 9%Odds 1.82 · Betano
Correct score2:12:1 9%
Match preview
Piratas are favourites here with a 74% chance to win, against 10% for Tapatío and 16% for a draw. At home Piratas score 2.3 goals per game on average, while Tapatío score 1.2 away. The model expects about 3.5 goals in total. In their last five league games Piratas have won 3 and Tapatío 1. Our pick: Piratas to win, likely score 2:1. Over 2.5 goals: 67%, both teams to score: 54%.
Form (last 5)
PiratasLWLWW
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.3 | 0.5 |
| Away | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| Total | 1.9 | 1.0 |
TapatíoLLWLL
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.1 | 1.5 |
| Away | 1.2 | 2.5 |
| Total | 1.7 | 1.9 |
Comparison
PiratasTapatío75%Form25%
67%Attack33%
65%Defence35%
87%Poisson13%
0%Head to head0%
0%Goals0%
73%Total26%
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CA La Paz | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +15 | 27 |
| 2 |  Leones Negros UDG | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +12 | 27 |
| 3 |  Monarcas | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +9 | 26 |
| 4 | Piratas | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | +12 | 24 |
| 5 |  Venados FC | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 24 |
| 6 |  Cancún | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +8 | 22 |
| 7 |  Durango | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +4 | 21 |
| 8 |  Tlaxcala | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 19 |
| 9 |  Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | -11 | 19 |
| 10 |  Mineros de Zacatecas | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 18 |
| 11 | Tapatío | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | -3 | 17 |
| 12 |  Correcaminos Uat | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | -3 | 16 |
| 13 |  Dorados | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | -6 | 16 |
| 14 |  CDS Tampico Madero | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 15 |
| 15 |  Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -5 | 14 |
| 16 |  Tepatitlán | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | -31 | 7 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly.
