Paredes vs Trofense prediction
Portugal – Liga 3 · Regular Season – 767%120%X13%2
Our tipParedes to win67%@1.47✓
- Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 · 54%
- BTTSNo · 53%
- Expected goals2.83
Probabilities
Pred.: Paredes to winExpected goals: 2.83 (Paredes 2.06 · Trofense 0.77)
Correct score
- 2:013%
- 1:012%
- 2:110%
- 1:19%
- 3:09%
- 3:17%
The chance of each exact score, most likely first.
Predictions by market
1X2✓ correctParedes to win1 67%X 20%2 13%Odds 1.47 · Pinnacle
Under/Over 2.5✓ correctOver 2.5 goalsUnder 46%Over 54%Odds 1.91 · Pinnacle · Value · Our chance 56% · +6%
BTTS✓ correctNot both teams to scoreNo 53%Yes 47%Odds 1.80 · William Hill
Double chance✓ correctParedes not to lose1X 87%12 80%X2 33%Odds 1.12 · Betano
First half✓ correctFirst half: Paredes1 49%X 38%2 13%Odds 2.03 · Pinnacle
Under/Over 1.5✓ correctOver 1.5 goalsUnder 23%Over 77%Odds –
Under/Over 3.5✗ wrongUnder 3.5 goalsUnder 69%Over 31%Odds –
HT/FT✓ correctParedes / Paredes1/1 44%X/1 20%X/X 13%
Correct score✗ wrong2:02:0 13%
Match preview
Paredes are favourites here with a 67% chance to win, against 13% for Trofense and 20% for a draw. At home Paredes score 2.0 goals per game on average, while Trofense score 0.7 away. The model expects about 2.8 goals in total. In their last five league games Paredes have won 3 and Trofense 1. Our pick: Paredes to win, likely score 2:0. Over 2.5 goals: 54%, both teams to score: 47%.
Match events
- 8′⚽ Erik (P. Araujo)
- 20′⚽ D. Rodrigues (F. Almara)
- 30′🟨 B. Val
- 42′⚽ Miguel (F. Almara)
- 62′⇄ B. Val
- 62′⇄ Erik
- 62′⇄ F. Almara
- 62′⇄ Kiki
- 62′⇄ Kevyn Santos
- 72′⚽ Miguel (Vasco Rocha)
- 73′⇄ S. Ufala
- 75′⇄ P. Araujo
- 75′⇄ Miguel
- 85′⇄ Matheus Claudino
- 85′⇄ A. Gomes
Line-ups
Paredes
TrofenseSubstitutes
- 16T. Goncalves
- 23Z. Macedo75′
- 26D. Santos Outeiro
- 5Ze Oliveira
- 21D. Veiga
- 29Vasco Rocha62′
- 78Ruca75′
- 30F. Canario62′
- 84J. Yuk62′
CoachAgostinho Bento
Substitutes
- 1R. Moura
- 4J. P. Meneses do Vale
- 83W. Oliveira
- 8P. Teixeira73′
- 28D. Nunes85′
- 39Kaua Souza62′
- 25Samuca
- 19Weliton85′
- 23Juninho62′
CoachCristiano Brito
Form (last 5)
ParedesWLWWD
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.0 | 1.3 |
| Away | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| Total | 1.8 | 1.2 |
TrofenseLWDLD
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.7 | 1.7 |
| Away | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| Total | 0.7 | 1.5 |
Comparison
ParedesTrofense67%Form33%
67%Attack33%
57%Defence43%
70%Poisson30%
25%Head to head75%
0%Goals100%
57%Total42%
Head to head
Last 6 meetings
1WinsParedes3Draws
2WinsTrofenseIn the last 6 meetings, Trofense won 2, Paredes won 1 and 3 ended in a draw.
- 1.2Goals per match
- 1 of 6Over 2.5
- 1 of 6Both teams scored
- 07.12.2025Liga 3Trofense0:0Paredes
- 23.08.2025Liga 3Paredes0:0Trofense
- 11.04.2021Campeonato de Portugal Prio – Group CParedes0:1Trofense
- 10.01.2021Campeonato de Portugal Prio – Group CTrofense0:0Paredes
- 02.02.2020Campeonato de Portugal Prio – Group BParedes0:1Trofense
- 31.08.2019Campeonato de Portugal Prio – Group BTrofense1:4Paredes
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 2 |  AD Marco 09 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 3 |  Fafe | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 4 |  Leça | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 5 |  São João Ver | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 |  Vianense | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 |  Varzim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 |  Pacos Ferreira | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 9 |  Guimaraes B | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Trofense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 5 |
| 1 |  CF Os Belenenses | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +11 | 17 |
| 2 |  Atlético CP | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 14 |
| 3 |  Oliveirense | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 4 |  União Santarém | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 5 |  Mafra | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 |  Louletano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 7 |  Caldas | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 8 |  SC Covilha | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 9 |  Lusitano Évora 1911 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 |  Vitória de Sernache | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly.
