Nazarenos vs Sertanense prediction
Portugal – Campeonato de Portugal Prio – Group C · Group C – 7
36%129%X35%2
Our tipNo draw71%
- Under/Over 2.5Under 2.5 · 57%
- BTTSNo · 51%
- Expected goals2.40
Probabilities
Pred.: Nazarenos to winExpected goals: 2.40 (Nazarenos 1.25 · Sertanense 1.15)
Correct score
- 1:113%
- 1:011%
- 0:110%
- 0:09%
- 2:18%
- 1:28%
The chance of each exact score, most likely first.
Predictions by market
1X2Nazarenos to win1 36%X 29%2 35%Odds –
Under/Over 2.5Under 2.5 goalsUnder 57%Over 43%Odds –
BTTSNot both teams to scoreNo 51%Yes 49%Odds –
Double chanceNo draw1X 65%12 71%X2 64%Odds –
First halfFirst half: Draw1 29%X 45%2 26%Odds –
Under/Over 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUnder 31%Over 69%Odds –
Under/Over 3.5Under 3.5 goalsUnder 78%Over 22%Odds –
HT/FTNazarenos / Nazarenos1/1 21%2/2 19%X/X 18%
Correct score1:01:0 11%
Match preview
Nazarenos are favourites here with a 36% chance to win, against 35% for Sertanense and 29% for a draw. At home Nazarenos score 0.3 goals per game on average, while Sertanense score 0.3 away. The model expects about 2.4 goals in total. In their last five league games Nazarenos have won 1 and Sertanense 0. Our pick: Nazarenos to win, likely score 1:0. Over 2.5 goals: 43%, both teams to score: 49%.
Form (last 5)
NazarenosLLLWD
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.3 | 1.7 |
| Away | 1.3 | 2.3 |
| Total | 0.8 | 2.0 |
SertanenseLDLDD
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.3 | 2.0 |
| Away | 0.3 | 1.0 |
| Total | 0.8 | 1.5 |
Comparison
NazarenosSertanense57%Form43%
50%Attack50%
47%Defence53%
36%Poisson64%
0%Head to head0%
0%Goals0%
47%Total52%
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Oliveira Hospital | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 |  Mortágua | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 |  O Elvas | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |  Os Marialvas | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 13 |
| 5 |  UD da Serra | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 |  Benfica Castelo Branco | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 7 |  Atlético Malveira | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 |  Naval 1893 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |  AD Nogueirense | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -2 | 7 |
| 10 |  FC Alverca II | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 11 |  Fátima | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Sertanense | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -4 | 4 |
| 13 | Nazarenos | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 4 |
| 14 |  Fazendense | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly.
