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Motherwell vs ST Mirren prediction

Scotland – PremiershipScotland – Premiership · Regular Season – 12
49%126%X25%2
Our tipMotherwell to win49%
  • Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 · 58%
  • BTTSYes · 59%
  • Expected goals3.01
· Fir Park, Motherwell

Probabilities

1 · 49%X · 26%2 · 25%
Pred.: Motherwell to winExpected goals: 3.01 (Motherwell 1.76 · ST Mirren 1.25)

Correct score

  1. 1:111%
  2. 2:110%
  3. 1:09%
  4. 2:08%
  5. 1:27%
  6. 0:16%

The chance of each exact score, most likely first.

Predictions by market

1X2Motherwell to win1 49%X 26%2 25%Odds –
Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 goalsUnder 42%Over 58%Odds –
BTTSBoth teams to scoreNo 41%Yes 59%Odds –
Double chanceMotherwell not to lose1X 75%12 74%X2 51%Odds –
First halfFirst half: Draw1 37%X 39%2 24%Odds –

Match preview

Motherwell are favourites here with a 49% chance to win, against 25% for ST Mirren and 26% for a draw. At home Motherwell score 0.8 goals per game on average, while ST Mirren score 0.8 away. The model expects about 3.0 goals in total. In their last five league games Motherwell have won 0 and ST Mirren 0. Our pick: Motherwell to win, likely score 2:1. Over 2.5 goals: 58%, both teams to score: 59%.

Form (last 5)

Motherwell
LLLLL
Goals +Goals −
Home0.81.5
Away1.62.0
Total1.21.8
ST Mirren
LLLLL
Goals +Goals −
Home1.32.0
Away0.81.8
Total1.01.9

Comparison

MotherwellST Mirren
0%
Form
0%
60%
Attack
40%
54%
Defence
46%
51%
Poisson
49%
62%
Head to head
38%
61%
Goals
39%
57%
Total
42%

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

4WinsMotherwell
5Draws
1WinsST Mirren

In the last 10 meetings, Motherwell won 4, ST Mirren won 1 and 5 ended in a draw.

  • 2.8Goals per match
  • 5 of 10Over 2.5
  • 5 of 10Both teams scored
  1. 30.08.2026PremiershipST Mirren3:3Motherwell
  2. 21.02.2026PremiershipST Mirren0:5Motherwell
  3. 03.01.2026PremiershipMotherwell2:0ST Mirren
  4. 01.11.2025League CupMotherwell1:4ST Mirren
  5. 09.08.2025PremiershipST Mirren0:0Motherwell
  6. 15.03.2025PremiershipMotherwell2:2ST Mirren
  7. 07.12.2024PremiershipST Mirren0:1Motherwell
  8. 28.09.2024PremiershipMotherwell2:1ST Mirren
  9. 30.03.2024PremiershipMotherwell1:1ST Mirren
  10. 16.12.2023PremiershipST Mirren0:0Motherwell

Standings

#TeamPWDLGoals+/-PtsForm
1 Celtic980123:5+1824
2 Rangers962113:7+620
3 Heart Of Midlothian951320:15+516
4 Dundee942313:10+314
5 ST Johnstone933311:11012
6 Dundee Utd933311:12-112
7 Aberdeen932410:10011
8 ST Mirren93159:17-810
9 Falkirk92349:12-39
10 Motherwell922511:16-58
11 Kilmarnock922510:20-108
12 Hibernian92169:14-57

Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly.