Leioa vs Sodupe prediction
Spain – Tercera División RFEF – Group 4 · Group 4 – 8
56%125%X19%2
Our tipLeioa to win56%✓
- Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 · 53%
- BTTSYes · 52%
- Expected goals2.78
Probabilities
Pred.: Leioa to winExpected goals: 2.78 (Leioa 1.82 · Sodupe 0.97)
Correct score
- 1:011%
- 1:111%
- 2:010%
- 2:110%
- 0:06%
- 3:06%Final score
The chance of each exact score, most likely first.
Predictions by market
1X2✓ correctLeioa to win1 56%X 25%2 19%Odds –
Under/Over 2.5✓ correctOver 2.5 goalsUnder 47%Over 53%Odds –
BTTS✗ wrongBoth teams to scoreNo 48%Yes 52%Odds –
Double chance✓ correctLeioa not to lose1X 81%12 75%X2 44%Odds –
First half✓ correctFirst half: Leioa1 42%X 40%2 18%Odds –
Under/Over 1.5✓ correctOver 1.5 goalsUnder 23%Over 77%Odds –
Under/Over 3.5✓ correctUnder 3.5 goalsUnder 69%Over 31%Odds –
HT/FT✓ correctLeioa / Leioa1/1 36%X/1 17%X/X 15%
Correct score✗ wrong1:01:0 11%
Match preview
Leioa are favourites here with a 56% chance to win, against 19% for Sodupe and 25% for a draw. At home Leioa score 2.3 goals per game on average, while Sodupe score 1.0 away. The model expects about 2.8 goals in total. In their last five league games Leioa have won 3 and Sodupe 2. Our pick: Leioa to win, likely score 1:0. Over 2.5 goals: 53%, both teams to score: 52%.
Match events
- 25′⚽ G. Vivanco
- 69′⚽ H. Fernandez
- 84′⚽ D. R. Lamborena
Form (last 5)
LeioaDWWWD
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| Away | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| Total | 2.6 | 1.1 |
SodupeDLLWW
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Away | 1.0 | 1.7 |
| Total | 0.9 | 1.3 |
Comparison
LeioaSodupe61%Form39%
84%Attack16%
57%Defence43%
83%Poisson17%
0%Head to head0%
0%Goals0%
71%Total28%
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leioa | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | +13 | 16 |
| 2 |  Aurrerá Vitoria | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 16 |
| 3 |  Derio | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 |  San Ignacio | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 14 |
| 5 |  Touring | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Aretxabaleta | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 14 |
| 7 |  Durango | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Alavés III | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 12 |
| 9 |  Real Sociedad III | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 12 |
| 10 |  Eibar III | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
| 11 |  Beasain | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
| 12 | Sodupe | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 |  Pasaia KE | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 14 |  Santurtzi | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 |  Lagun Onak | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 |  Erandio | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -4 | 6 |
| 17 |  R. Union B | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 |  Amurrio Club | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly.
