Guadalajara Chivas vs Necaxa prediction
Mexico – Liga MX · Apertura – 13Probabilities
Pred.: Guadalajara Chivas to winExpected goals: 3.46 (Guadalajara Chivas 2.34 · Necaxa 1.13)
Correct score
- 2:110%
- 2:09%
- 1:18%
- 3:18%
- 1:07%Final score
- 3:07%
The chance of each exact score, most likely first.
Predictions by market
1X2✓ correctGuadalajara Chivas to win1 63%X 21%2 16%Odds 1.33
Under/Over 2.5✗ wrongOver 2.5 goalsUnder 33%Over 67%Odds 1.36
BTTS✗ wrongBoth teams to scoreNo 39%Yes 61%Odds 1.57
Double chance✓ correctGuadalajara Chivas not to lose1X 84%12 79%X2 38%Odds 1.10
First half✗ wrongFirst half: Guadalajara Chivas1 48%X 34%2 18%Odds 1.73
Odds: Bet365
Match preview
Guadalajara Chivas are favourites here with a 63% chance to win, against 16% for Necaxa and 21% for a draw. At home Guadalajara Chivas score 1.7 goals per game on average, while Necaxa score 1.4 away. The model expects about 3.5 goals in total. In their last five league games Guadalajara Chivas have won 1 and Necaxa 0. Our pick: Guadalajara Chivas to win, likely score 2:1. Over 2.5 goals: 67%, both teams to score: 61%.
Match events
- 14′🟨 Miguel Rodriguez
- 45′⇄ Leonel Calderón Oviedo
- 45′⇄ Emilio Martínez
- 45′⇄ Jordan Carrillo
- 54′⇄ Miguel Rodriguez
- 54′⇄ Juan Valencia
- 61′⇄ Diego Campillo
- 61′⇄ Richard Ledezma
- 72′⇄ Efrain Alvarez
- 77′⚽ Agustin Oliveros
- 78′⇄ Lorenzo Faravelli
- 84′⇄ Diego Ochoa
Form (last 5)
Guadalajara ChivasWDLDD
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| Away | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| Total | 1.6 | 1.0 |
NecaxaLLLDL
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.1 | 2.0 |
| Away | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| Total | 1.3 | 2.1 |
Comparison
Guadalajara ChivasNecaxa86%Form14%
54%Attack46%
68%Defence32%
66%Poisson34%
50%Head to head50%
53%Goals47%
62%Total37%
Head to head
| 23.04.2026 | Liga MX | Necaxa | 0:0 | Guadalajara Chivas |
| 24.09.2025 | Liga MX | Guadalajara Chivas | 3:1 | Necaxa |
| 18.01.2025 | Liga MX | Necaxa | 3:2 | Guadalajara Chivas |
| 23.10.2024 | Liga MX | Guadalajara Chivas | 3:2 | Necaxa |
| 21.02.2024 | Liga MX | Necaxa | 1:0 | Guadalajara Chivas |
| 14.07.2023 | Liga MX | Guadalajara Chivas | 2:0 | Necaxa |
| 09.04.2023 | Liga MX | Guadalajara Chivas | 1:0 | Necaxa |
| 20.08.2022 | Liga MX | Necaxa | 0:4 | Guadalajara Chivas |
| 30.04.2022 | Liga MX | Necaxa | 0:1 | Guadalajara Chivas |
| 30.12.2021 | Friendlies Clubs | Necaxa | 2:3 | Guadalajara Chivas |
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +16 | 27 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 23 |
| 3 |  Cruz Azul | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +7 | 23 |
| 4 |  Toluca | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +10 | 22 |
| 5 |  Leon | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 21 |
| 6 |  Atlas | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 21 |
| 7 |  Monterrey | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +6 | 20 |
| 8 |  Club Queretaro | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 |  Santos Laguna | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | +3 | 19 |
| 10 |  Club Tijuana | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +1 | 17 |
| 11 |  U.N.A.M. – Pumas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 |  Atletico San Luis | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 16 |
| 13 |  Puebla | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 16 |
| 14 |  Tigres UANL | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 14 |
| 15 |  Atlante FC | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -5 | 14 |
| 16 |  CF Pachuca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | +2 | 13 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -11 | 9 |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | -24 | 4 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly. 18+