Gori vs Samtredia prediction
Georgia – Erovnuli Liga 2 · Regular Season – 3033%127%X40%2
Our tipSamtredia not to lose67%✗
- Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 · 55%
- BTTSYes · 58%
- Expected goals2.89
Probabilities
Pred.: Samtredia to winExpected goals: 2.89 (Gori 1.39 · Samtredia 1.49)
Correct score
- 1:112%
- 1:29%
- 0:18%
- 2:18%
- 1:08%Final score
- 0:26%
The chance of each exact score, most likely first.
Predictions by market
1X2✗ wrongSamtredia to win1 33%X 27%2 40%Odds –
Under/Over 2.5✗ wrongOver 2.5 goalsUnder 45%Over 55%Odds –
BTTS✗ wrongBoth teams to scoreNo 42%Yes 58%Odds –
Double chance✓ correctNo draw1X 60%12 73%X2 67%Odds –
First half✓ correctFirst half: Draw1 29%X 40%2 31%Odds –
Under/Over 1.5✗ wrongOver 1.5 goalsUnder 22%Over 78%Odds –
Under/Over 3.5✓ correctUnder 3.5 goalsUnder 67%Over 33%Odds –
HT/FT✗ wrongSamtredia / Samtredia2/2 23%1/1 20%X/X 15%
Correct score✗ wrong1:21:2 9%
Match preview
Samtredia are favourites away from home with a 40% chance to win, against 33% for Gori and 27% for a draw. At home Gori score 1.4 goals per game on average, while Samtredia score 1.5 away. The model expects about 2.9 goals in total. In their last five league games Gori have won 1 and Samtredia 3. Our pick: Samtredia to win, likely score 1:2. Over 2.5 goals: 55%, both teams to score: 58%.
Match events
- 45′🟨 A. Koberidze
- 46′⇄ S. Akhalkatsi
- 46′⇄ A. Koberidze
- 46′⇄ A. Sirbiladze
- 57′🟨 G. Gazdeliani
- 59′🟨 E. Barrios
- 60′⇄ D. Gvasalia
- 60′⇄ O. Gagnidze
- 63′⚽ G. Kurmashvili (A. Bafuri)
- 74′⇄ T. Odikadze
- 74′⇄ G. Mandzhgaladze
- 77′🟨 A. Bafuri
- 78′⇄ G. Kurmashvili
- 79′🟨 T. Makatsaria
- 88′⇄ E. Tabatadze
- 90+5′🟨 B. Hamondi
- 90+5′🟨 L. Tsulaia
Line-ups
Gori
SamtrediaSubstitutes
- 5G. Mamulashvili
- 7N. Ninidze
- 12E. Guluashvili
- 18G. Bekadze88′
- 22J. Owusu-Ansa46′
- 25L. Otinashvili
- 27G. Gazdeliani46′
- 38T. Seidu46′
- 26A. Agiabengi78′
Substitutes
- 1S. Samkharadze
- 4L. Kaladze
- 6E. Ayuk
- 9T. Makatsaria74′
- 15G. Kveladze
- 19T. Jangidze
- 26L. Gogitadze60′
- 31L. Tsulaia74′
- 40T. Chikovani60′
Form (last 5)
GoriDLDWL
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Away | 0.7 | 1.2 |
| Total | 1.0 | 1.3 |
SamtrediaWLWWL
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.0 | 1.1 |
| Away | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| Total | 1.8 | 1.4 |
Comparison
GoriSamtredia36%Form64%
30%Attack70%
30%Defence70%
44%Poisson56%
50%Head to head50%
50%Goals50%
40%Total60%
Head to head
Last 3 meetings
1WinsGori1Draws
1WinsSamtrediaIn the last 3 meetings, Gori won 1, Samtredia won 1 and one ended in a draw.
- 2.7Goals per match
- 2 of 3Over 2.5
- 2 of 3Both teams scored
- 15.08.2026Erovnuli Liga 2Samtredia1:0Gori
- 10.05.2026Erovnuli Liga 2Gori2:1Samtredia
- 11.03.2026Erovnuli Liga 2Samtredia2:2Gori
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gareji | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | +7 | 54 |
| 2 |  Shturmi | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +7 | 49 |
| 3 |  Telavi | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | +6 | 47 |
| 4 |  Merani Martvili | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | -6 | 40 |
| 5 | Samtredia | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | +9 | 40 |
| 6 |  Aragvi Dusheti | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | -9 | 39 |
| 7 |  Odishi 1919 | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | -8 | 38 |
| 8 |  Sioni | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -2 | 36 |
| 9 | Gori | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -7 | 33 |
| 10 |  Kolkheti Poti | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | +3 | 32 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly.
