Falkirk vs Kilmarnock prediction
Scotland – Premiership · Regular Season – 1052%123%X25%2
Our tipFalkirk to win52%@1.91✓
- Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 · 58%
- BTTSYes · 58%
- Expected goals3.00
Probabilities
Pred.: Falkirk to winExpected goals: 3.00 (Falkirk 1.81 · Kilmarnock 1.18)
Correct score
- 1:111%
- 2:110%
- 1:09%
- 2:08%
- 1:26%
- 0:16%
The chance of each exact score, most likely first.
Predictions by market
1X2✓ correctFalkirk to win1 52%X 23%2 25%Odds 1.91 · Betfair
Under/Over 2.5✓ correctOver 2.5 goalsUnder 42%Over 58%Odds 1.68 · Pinnacle
BTTS✗ wrongBoth teams to scoreNo 42%Yes 58%Odds 1.62 · Bet365
Double chance✓ correctNo draw1X 75%12 77%X2 48%Odds 1.26 · Betano
First half✓ correctFirst half: Falkirk1 39%X 39%2 22%Odds 2.42 · Pinnacle
Under/Over 1.5✓ correctOver 1.5 goalsUnder 20%Over 80%Odds –
Under/Over 3.5✓ correctUnder 3.5 goalsUnder 65%Over 35%Odds –
HT/FT✓ correctFalkirk / Falkirk1/1 32%X/1 17%2/2 14%
Correct score✗ wrong2:12:1 10%
Match preview
Falkirk are favourites here with a 52% chance to win, against 25% for Kilmarnock and 23% for a draw. At home Falkirk score 1.0 goals per game on average, while Kilmarnock score 1.3 away. The model expects about 3.0 goals in total. In their last five league games Falkirk have won 2 and Kilmarnock 2. Our pick: Falkirk to win, likely score 2:1. Over 2.5 goals: 58%, both teams to score: 58%.
Match events
- 29′⚽ Cathal McCarthy
- 38′⚽ Jacob Murrell (Ryan Strain)
- 46′🟨 George Stanger
- 62′⇄ Greg Kiltie
- 67′⇄ Erik Ring
- 67′⇄ Aaron Tshibola
- 68′🟨 Jamie Brandon
- 68′⚽ George Stanger
- 76′⇄ Cathal McCarthy
- 76′⇄ Joe Hugill
- 84′⇄ Owen Eames
- 84′⇄ Jacob Murrell
- 84′⇄ Ethan Ross
- 86′⇄ Finley Frank Barbrook
- 90+1′⇄ Deniss Meļņiks
Line-ups
Falkirk4-2-3-1
Kilmarnock4-2-3-1Substitutes
- 1N. HogarthGK
- 17S. TanserDF
- 27C. McLeodMF84′6.5
- 14F. YeatsMF86′6.4
- 99C. FodreyMF84′6.9
- 4J. McMillanDF
- 10C. SibbaldMF91′0.0
- 7Ben ParkinsonFW84′6.7
- 9R. MacIverFW
CoachJ. McGlynn
Substitutes
- 29D. DanielsFW76′6.4
- 5M. O'HaraMF67′5.8
- 7R. McKenzieMF
- 20N. CleșcencoFW67′6.3
- 19J. MeierDF
- 6R. DeasDF
- 58N. MantlGK
- 3Michael-John Kamson-KamaraDF76′6.0
- 27I. OwenFW62′6.1
CoachN. McCann
Player ratings from our data provider, out of 10.
Form (last 5)
FalkirkDWDLW
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Total | 1.0 | 1.3 |
KilmarnockDWDLW
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.0 | 2.6 |
| Away | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| Total | 1.1 | 2.2 |
Comparison
FalkirkKilmarnock50%Form50%
54%Attack46%
50%Defence50%
43%Poisson57%
60%Head to head40%
55%Goals45%
52%Total48%
Head to head
Last 6 meetings
4WinsFalkirk0Draws
2WinsKilmarnockIn the last 6 meetings, Falkirk won 4, Kilmarnock won 2 and none ended in a draw.
- 3.8Goals per match
- 5 of 6Over 2.5
- 4 of 6Both teams scored
- 28.02.2026PremiershipFalkirk5:1Kilmarnock
- 20.12.2025PremiershipKilmarnock0:1Falkirk
- 01.11.2025PremiershipFalkirk3:1Kilmarnock
- 24.06.2022Friendlies ClubsFalkirk1:4Kilmarnock
- 04.09.2021Challenge CupKilmarnock3:1Falkirk
- 06.10.2020League CupFalkirk3:0Kilmarnock
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +19 | 27 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 23 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Dundee Utd | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 5 |  Dundee | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 |  ST Mirren | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 13 |
| 7 | Falkirk | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 |  ST Johnstone | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 12 |
| 9 |  Aberdeen | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 |  Motherwell | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 8 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -13 | 8 |
| 12 |  Hibernian | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 7 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly.
