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Elche vs Valencia prediction

Spain – La LigaSpain – La Liga · Regular Season – 11
42%126%X32%2
Our tipNo draw74%@1.35
  • Under/Over 2.5Under 2.5 · 51%
  • BTTSYes · 54%
  • Expected goals2.64
· Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche

Probabilities

1 · 42%X · 26%2 · 32%
Pred.: Elche to winExpected goals: 2.64 (Elche 1.44 · Valencia 1.21)

Correct score

  1. 1:112%
  2. 1:010%
  3. 2:19%
  4. 0:19%
  5. 1:27%
  6. 2:07%

The chance of each exact score, most likely first.

Predictions by market

1X2Elche to win1 42%X 26%2 32%Odds 2.55 · 1xBet · Value · Our chance 43% · +10%
Under/Over 2.5Under 2.5 goalsUnder 51%Over 49%Odds 1.93 · 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to scoreNo 46%Yes 54%Odds 1.73 · William Hill
Double chanceNo draw1X 68%12 74%X2 58%Odds 1.35 · 1xBet
First halfFirst half: Draw1 32%X 42%2 26%Odds 2.21 · Pinnacle
Under/Over 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUnder 26%Over 74%Odds 1.31 · Pinnacle
Under/Over 3.5Under 3.5 goalsUnder 73%Over 27%Odds 1.35 · Betano
HT/FTElche / Elche1/1 25%2/2 18%X/X 16%Odds 4.00 · Bet365
Correct score1:01:0 10%

Match preview

Elche are favourites here with a 42% chance to win, against 32% for Valencia and 26% for a draw. At home Elche score 1.0 goals per game on average, while Valencia score 1.0 away. The model expects about 2.6 goals in total. In their last five league games Elche have won 2 and Valencia 1. Our pick: Elche to win, likely score 1:0. Over 2.5 goals: 49%, both teams to score: 54%.

Form (last 5)

Elche
LWDDW
Goals +Goals −
Home1.02.8
Away1.71.0
Total1.41.7
Valencia
WLDDL
Goals +Goals −
Home0.51.8
Away1.01.5
Total0.71.7

Comparison

ElcheValencia
62%
Form
38%
57%
Attack
43%
64%
Defence
36%
30%
Poisson
70%
38%
Head to head
62%
40%
Goals
60%
48%
Total
51%

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

2WinsElche
2Draws
6WinsValencia

In the last 10 meetings, Valencia won 6, Elche won 2 and 2 ended in a draw.

  • 2.5Goals per match
  • 5 of 10Over 2.5
  • 5 of 10Both teams scored
  1. 11.04.2026La LigaElche1:0Valencia
  2. 10.01.2026La LigaValencia1:1Elche
  3. 23.04.2023La LigaElche0:2Valencia
  4. 15.10.2022La LigaValencia2:2Elche
  5. 19.03.2022La LigaElche0:1Valencia
  6. 11.12.2021La LigaValencia2:1Elche
  7. 30.01.2021La LigaValencia1:0Elche
  8. 23.10.2020La LigaElche2:1Valencia
  9. 20.03.2015La LigaElche0:4Valencia
  10. 25.10.2014La LigaValencia3:1Elche

Standings

#TeamPWDLGoals+/-PtsForm
1 Barcelona1090140:11+2927
2 Atletico Madrid1081120:8+1225
3 Real Madrid1080225:10+1524
4 Real Betis1062216:14+220
5 Real Sociedad1061319:18+119
6 Sevilla1052316:16017
7 Alaves1033414:11+312
8 Athletic Club933312:9+312
9 Celta Vigo1026210:7+312
10 Villarreal1033415:14+112
11 Deportivo La Coruna1025313:13011
12 Osasuna1032510:20-1011
13 Racing Santander1032515:26-1111
14 Levante1024416:19-310
15 Elche1024414:17-310
16 Rayo Vallecano923412:20-89
17 Getafe102355:15-109
18 Espanyol1022612:14-28
19 Valencia101367:17-106
20 Malaga100557:19-125

Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly.