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Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio prediction

Uruguay – Primera DivisiónUruguay – Primera División · Clausura – 12
Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado
2:1 (0:1)
DanubioDanubio
52%125%X23%2
Our tipDeportivo Maldonado to win52%@1.95✓
  • Under/Over 2.5Under 2.5 · 53%
  • BTTSNo · 50%
  • Expected goals2.57
· Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel, Maldonado

Probabilities

1 · 52%X · 25%2 · 23%
Pred.: Deportivo Maldonado to winExpected goals: 2.57 (Deportivo Maldonado 1.61 · Danubio 0.97)

Correct score

  1. 1:012%
  2. 1:112%
  3. 2:010%
  4. 2:110%Final score
  5. 0:08%
  6. 0:17%

The chance of each exact score, most likely first.

Predictions by market

1X2✓ correctDeportivo Maldonado to win1 52%X 25%2 23%Odds 1.95 · Dafabet · Value · Our chance 54% · +6%
Under/Over 2.5✗ wrongUnder 2.5 goalsUnder 53%Over 47%Odds 1.85 · Bet365
BTTS✗ wrongNot both teams to scoreNo 50%Yes 50%Odds 1.93 · BetVictor
Double chance✓ correctDeportivo Maldonado not to lose1X 77%12 75%X2 48%Odds 1.28 · Betano
First half✗ wrongFirst half: Draw1 38%X 42%2 20%Odds 2.24 · Pinnacle
Under/Over 1.5✓ correctOver 1.5 goalsUnder 27%Over 73%Odds 1.33 · Pinnacle
Under/Over 3.5✓ correctUnder 3.5 goalsUnder 74%Over 26%Odds 1.33 · Bet365
HT/FT✗ wrongDeportivo Maldonado / Deportivo Maldonado1/1 32%X/1 18%X/X 15%Odds 3.10 · Betfair
Correct score✗ wrong1:01:0 12%

Match preview

Deportivo Maldonado are favourites here with a 52% chance to win, against 23% for Danubio and 25% for a draw. At home Deportivo Maldonado score 1.8 goals per game on average, while Danubio score 0.6 away. The model expects about 2.6 goals in total. In their last five league games Deportivo Maldonado have won 3 and Danubio 2. Our pick: Deportivo Maldonado to win, likely score 1:0. Over 2.5 goals: 47%, both teams to score: 50%.

Match events

  • 18′⚽ B. Pereira (B. Tomatis)
  • 28′🟨 Bautista Pereira
  • 46′⇄ S. Tormo
  • 46′⚽ J. M. Ginzo
  • 60′🟨 Santiago Cartagena
  • 63′🟨 J. Millán
  • 70′⇄ E. Cabrera
  • 74′⇄ J. M. Ginzo
  • 74′⇄
  • 78′⇄ B. Pereira
  • 82′⇄ L. Nunez
  • 86′⇄ M. Peralta
  • 86′⇄ J. Millan
  • 86′⇄ B. Tomatis
  • 90′⚽ R. Cesar (A. M. Noble Sequeira)

Line-ups

Deportivo Maldonado3-4-3
Danubio4-3-1-2

Substitutes

  • 34N. ForastieroGK
  • 32H. PetrykDF
  • 15S. GonzalezMF
  • 31F. MarinoDF
  • 11G. LopezFW74′
  • 30L. IbanezMF46′
  • 42J. FernandezDF82′
  • 29E. MozzoneFW
  • 27G. SosaMF74′
  • 23A. VilaMF

CoachJoaquin Boghossian

Substitutes

  • 32K. MartinezGK
  • 2E. VelazquezDF
  • 33D. Garcia
  • 25F. Cabrera
  • 80C. TizonFW86′
  • 8S. RodriguezMF86′
  • 20M. FerreiraMF70′
  • 15E. FigueroaDF78′
  • 30S. FernandezFW
  • 27I. CostantinoFW86′

CoachGustavo Matosas

Form (last 5)

Deportivo Maldonado
WWWDL
Goals +Goals −
Home1.80.6
Away1.41.3
Total1.60.9
Danubio
DLWLW
Goals +Goals −
Home1.01.0
Away0.61.5
Total0.81.2

Comparison

Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio
59%
Form
41%
71%
Attack
29%
50%
Defence
50%
83%
Poisson
17%
62%
Head to head
38%
60%
Goals
40%
64%
Total
35%

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

2WinsDeportivo Maldonado
5Draws
3WinsDanubio

In the last 10 meetings, Danubio won 3, Deportivo Maldonado won 2 and 5 ended in a draw.

  • 2.6Goals per match
  • 6 of 10Over 2.5
  • 7 of 10Both teams scored
  1. 18.05.2026Primera DivisiónDeportivo Maldonado3:1Danubio
  2. 19.04.2026Primera DivisiónDanubio1:1Deportivo Maldonado
  3. 02.12.2024Primera División – ClausuraDeportivo Maldonado3:1Danubio
  4. 03.06.2024Primera División – AperturaDanubio1:1Deportivo Maldonado
  5. 06.11.2023Primera División – ClausuraDeportivo Maldonado1:2Danubio
  6. 25.03.2023Primera División – AperturaDanubio4:0Deportivo Maldonado
  7. 07.08.2022Primera División – ClausuraDanubio0:0Deportivo Maldonado
  8. 15.02.2022Primera División – AperturaDeportivo Maldonado1:2Danubio
  9. 23.03.2021Primera División – ClausuraDanubio2:2Deportivo Maldonado
  10. 06.10.2020Primera División – AperturaDeportivo Maldonado0:0Danubio

Standings

Primera: Tabla Anual

#TeamPWDLGoals+/-PtsForm
1 Penarol34198751:27+2464
2 Deportivo Maldonado34188854:32+2262
3 Atletico Torque341861057:40+1760
4 Club Nacional341841251:41+1058
5 Racing Montevideo341512742:30+1257
6 Liverpool Montevideo341511845:31+1456
7 Wanderers341481241:43-250
8 Albion FC341371447:44+346
9 Juventud3410111337:41-441
10 Central Espanol341081633:47-1438
11 Cerro Largo349101532:38-637
12 Boston River341071733:45-1237
13 Cerro341071728:51-2337
14 Defensor Sporting348121433:43-1036
15 Progreso341051931:47-1635
16 Danubio346141428:43-1532

Primera: Promedios

#TeamPWDLGoals+/-PtsForm
1 Penarol71431414117:61+56143
2 Club Nacional71421415127:74+53137
3 Deportivo Maldonado34188854:32+2262
4 Liverpool Montevideo7133221696:68+28121
5 Racing Montevideo7129231981:68+13110
6 Atletico Torque71311624111:91+20109
7 Juventud7128182582:80+2102
8 Defensor Sporting7126192675:81-697
9 Albion FC341371447:44+346
10 Boston River7124202783:84-192
11 Cerro Largo7121232773:79-686
12 Cerro7122183161:93-3283
13 Wanderers7120213066:90-2481
14 Central Espanol341081633:47-1438
15 Danubio7116272869:84-1575
16 Progreso7120143769:107-3874

Primera: Torneo Intermedio

#TeamPWDLGoals+/-PtsForm
1 Penarol751112:3+916
2 Cerro Largo73227:5+211
3 Racing Montevideo72414:3+110
4 Liverpool Montevideo72325:509
5 Central Espanol72324:409
6 Cerro73046:10-49
7 Defensor Sporting71336:9-36
8 Boston River71245:10-55
1 Wanderers743012:4+815
2 Club Nacional74128:8013
3 Deportivo Maldonado733112:6+612
4 Atletico Torque740311:11012
5 Juventud72238:11-38
6 Albion FC71336:8-26
7 Progreso72056:11-56
8 Danubio70435:9-44

Primera: Apertura

#TeamPWDLGoals+/-PtsForm
1 Racing Montevideo1594223:14+931
2 Deportivo Maldonado1592424:16+829
3 Albion FC1584326:16+1028
4 Penarol1583423:16+727
5 Central Espanol1573523:22+124
6 Atletico Torque1565422:16+623
7 Club Nacional1571726:21+522
8 Defensor Sporting1556413:11+221
9 Liverpool Montevideo1555520:18+220
10 Wanderers1562716:21-520
11 Danubio1546517:21-418
12 Cerro Largo1552816:19-317
13 Boston River1552814:20-617
14 Juventud1543817:22-515
15 Progreso1524912:23-1110
16 Cerro152498:24-1610

Primera: Clausura

#TeamPWDLGoals+/-PtsForm
1 Liverpool Montevideo1283120:8+1227
2 Atletico Torque1281324:13+1125
3 Club Nacional1272317:12+523
4 Deportivo Maldonado1263318:10+821
5 Penarol1264216:8+821
6 Progreso1261513:13019
7 Juventud1246212:8+418
8 Cerro1253414:17-318
9 Racing Montevideo1244415:13+216
10 Boston River1243514:15-115
11 Wanderers1243513:18-515
12 Albion FC1240815:20-512
13 Danubio122466:13-710
14 Cerro Largo121659:14-59
15 Defensor Sporting1223714:23-99
16 Central Espanol121296:21-155

Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly.