Juventud vs Penarol prediction

Uruguay – Primera División · Clausura – 12

Juventud

0:0 (0:0)

Penarol

26%127%X47%2

Our tipPenarol to win47%@2.06✗

Under/Over 2.5Under 2.5 · 56%
BTTSNo · 52%
Expected goals2.43

24.10.2026 00:00 · Estadio Centenario, Montevideo

Probabilities

1 · 26%X · 27%2 · 47%

Pred.: Penarol to winExpected goals: 2.43 (Juventud 1.00 · Penarol 1.43)

Correct score

0:113%
1:113%
1:29%
0:29%
0:09%Final score
1:09%

The chance of each exact score, most likely first.

Predictions by market

1X2✗ wrongPenarol to win1 26%X 27%2 47%Odds 2.06 · Dafabet

Under/Over 2.5✓ correctUnder 2.5 goalsUnder 56%Over 44%Odds 1.73 · Betfair

BTTS✓ correctNot both teams to scoreNo 52%Yes 48%Odds 1.85 · William Hill

Double chance✓ correctPenarol not to lose1X 53%12 73%X2 74%Odds 1.29 · Betano

First half✓ correctFirst half: Draw1 22%X 44%2 34%Odds 2.17 · Pinnacle

Match preview

Penarol are favourites away from home with a 47% chance to win, against 26% for Juventud and 27% for a draw. At home Juventud score 1.1 goals per game on average, while Penarol score 1.4 away. The model expects about 2.4 goals in total. In their last five league games Juventud have won 2 and Penarol 2. Our pick: Penarol to win, likely score 0:1. Over 2.5 goals: 44%, both teams to score: 48%.

Match events

45+1′🟨 Patricio Ezequiel Pernicone
60′⇄ Thiago Espinosa
60′⇄ Javier Cabrera
60′⇄ Ignacio alegre
66′⇄ Gastón Pereiro
66′⇄ Ramiro Miguel Peralta
69′⇄ Maximiliano Olivera
76′⇄ Bruno Larregui
76′⇄ Abel Hernández
79′🟨 Brian Barboza
81′🟨 Emanuel Cecchini
89′🟨 Roberto Fernández
90′🟨 kevin rolon
90+1′🟥 Brian Barboza
90+5′🟨 Agustin Nicolas Alaniz Sani

Form (last 5)

Juventud

WDDWL

	Goals +	Goals −
Home	1.1	1.1
Away	1.1	1.4
Total	1.1	1.2

Penarol

WDWDL

	Goals +	Goals −
Home	1.9	1.1
Away	1.4	0.6
Total	1.6	0.8

Comparison

JuventudPenarol

50%

Form

50%

Attack

50%

57%

Defence

43%

25%

Poisson

75%

25%

Head to head

75%

33%

Goals

67%

40%

Total

60%

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

1WinsJuventud

4Draws

5WinsPenarol

In the last 10 meetings, Penarol won 5, Juventud won 1 and 4 ended in a draw.

2.0Goals per match
2 of 10Over 2.5
4 of 10Both teams scored

21.04.2026Primera DivisiónPenarol2:2Juventud
21.09.2025Primera División – ClausuraPenarol1:0Juventud
27.03.2025Primera División – AperturaJuventud0:2Penarol
21.09.2019Primera División – ClausuraJuventud1:1Penarol
18.08.2019Primera División – ClausuraPenarol0:0Juventud
03.03.2019Primera División – AperturaPenarol4:1Juventud
11.11.2017Primera División – ClausuraPenarol1:0Juventud
08.04.2017Primera División – AperturaJuventud0:2Penarol
25.09.2016Primera División – AperturaJuventud1:0Penarol
04.06.2016Primera División – ClausuraJuventud1:1Penarol

Standings

Primera: Tabla Anual

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts
1	Penarol	34	19	8	7	51:27	+24	64
2	Deportivo Maldonado	33	17	8	8	52:31	+21	59
3	Club Nacional	33	18	4	11	51:40	+11	58
4	Atletico Torque	33	17	6	10	54:39	+15	57
5	Racing Montevideo	33	15	11	7	39:27	+12	56
6	Liverpool Montevideo	33	14	11	8	44:31	+13	53
7	Wanderers	33	14	8	11	41:42	-1	50
8	Albion FC	33	12	7	14	44:43	+1	43
9	Juventud	34	10	11	13	37:41	-4	41
10	Central Espanol	33	10	8	15	32:44	-12	38
11	Boston River	33	10	7	16	33:43	-10	37
12	Cerro	33	10	7	16	27:48	-21	37
13	Defensor Sporting	33	8	11	14	30:40	-10	35
14	Cerro Largo	33	8	10	15	30:38	-8	34
15	Danubio	33	6	14	13	27:41	-14	32
16	Progreso	33	9	5	19	30:47	-17	32

Primera: Promedios

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts
1	Penarol	71	43	14	14	117:61	+56	143
2	Club Nacional	70	42	14	14	127:73	+54	137
3	Deportivo Maldonado	33	17	8	8	52:31	+21	59
4	Liverpool Montevideo	70	32	22	16	95:68	+27	118
5	Racing Montevideo	70	29	22	19	78:65	+13	109
6	Atletico Torque	70	30	16	24	108:90	+18	106
7	Juventud	71	28	18	25	82:80	+2	102
8	Defensor Sporting	70	26	18	26	72:78	-6	96
9	Boston River	70	24	20	26	83:82	+1	92
10	Albion FC	33	12	7	14	44:43	+1	43
11	Cerro Largo	70	20	23	27	71:79	-8	83
12	Cerro	70	22	18	30	60:90	-30	83
13	Wanderers	70	20	21	29	66:89	-23	81
14	Central Espanol	33	10	8	15	32:44	-12	38
15	Danubio	70	16	27	27	68:82	-14	75
16	Progreso	70	19	14	37	68:107	-39	71

Primera: Torneo Intermedio

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts
1	Penarol	7	5	1	1	12:3	+9	16
2	Cerro Largo	7	3	2	2	7:5	+2	11
3	Racing Montevideo	7	2	4	1	4:3	+1	10
4	Liverpool Montevideo	7	2	3	2	5:5	0	9
5	Central Espanol	7	2	3	2	4:4	0	9
6	Cerro	7	3	0	4	6:10	-4	9
7	Defensor Sporting	7	1	3	3	6:9	-3	6
8	Boston River	7	1	2	4	5:10	-5	5
1	Wanderers	7	4	3	0	12:4	+8	15
2	Club Nacional	7	4	1	2	8:8	0	13
3	Deportivo Maldonado	7	3	3	1	12:6	+6	12
4	Atletico Torque	7	4	0	3	11:11	0	12
5	Juventud	7	2	2	3	8:11	-3	8
6	Albion FC	7	1	3	3	6:8	-2	6
7	Progreso	7	2	0	5	6:11	-5	6
8	Danubio	7	0	4	3	5:9	-4	4

Primera: Apertura

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts
1	Racing Montevideo	15	9	4	2	23:14	+9	31
2	Deportivo Maldonado	15	9	2	4	24:16	+8	29
3	Albion FC	15	8	4	3	26:16	+10	28
4	Penarol	15	8	3	4	23:16	+7	27
5	Central Espanol	15	7	3	5	23:22	+1	24
6	Atletico Torque	15	6	5	4	22:16	+6	23
7	Club Nacional	15	7	1	7	26:21	+5	22
8	Defensor Sporting	15	5	6	4	13:11	+2	21
9	Liverpool Montevideo	15	5	5	5	20:18	+2	20
10	Wanderers	15	6	2	7	16:21	-5	20
11	Danubio	15	4	6	5	17:21	-4	18
12	Cerro Largo	15	5	2	8	16:19	-3	17
13	Boston River	15	5	2	8	14:20	-6	17
14	Juventud	15	4	3	8	17:22	-5	15
15	Progreso	15	2	4	9	12:23	-11	10
16	Cerro	15	2	4	9	8:24	-16	10

Primera: Clausura

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts
1	Liverpool Montevideo	11	7	3	1	19:8	+11	24
2	Club Nacional	11	7	2	2	17:11	+6	23
3	Atletico Torque	11	7	1	3	21:12	+9	22
4	Penarol	12	6	4	2	16:8	+8	21
5	Deportivo Maldonado	11	5	3	3	16:9	+7	18
6	Juventud	12	4	6	2	12:8	+4	18
7	Cerro	11	5	3	3	13:14	-1	18
8	Progreso	11	5	1	5	12:13	-1	16
9	Racing Montevideo	11	4	3	4	12:10	+2	15
10	Boston River	11	4	3	4	14:13	+1	15
11	Wanderers	11	4	3	4	13:17	-4	15
12	Danubio	11	2	4	5	5:11	-6	10
13	Albion FC	11	3	0	8	12:19	-7	9
14	Defensor Sporting	11	2	2	7	11:20	-9	8
15	Cerro Largo	11	0	6	5	7:14	-7	6
16	Central Espanol	11	1	2	8	5:18	-13	5

Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly.