Atletico Torque vs Atletico-MG prediction
CONMEBOL Sudamericana · Semi-finalsProbabilities
Pred.: Atletico-MG not to loseExpected goals: 2.70 (Atletico Torque 1.25 · Atletico-MG 1.45)
Correct score
- 1:112%
- 0:110%
- 1:29%
- 1:09%
- 2:18%
- 0:27%
The chance of each exact score, most likely first.
Predictions by market
1X2✗ wrongAtletico-MG not to lose1 33%X 25%2 42%Odds 1.36
Under/Over 2.5✗ wrongOver 2.5 goalsUnder 49%Over 51%Odds 1.85
BTTS✗ wrongBoth teams to scoreNo 46%Yes 54%Odds 1.67
Double chance✓ correctNo draw1X 58%12 75%X2 67%Odds 1.33
First half✓ correctFirst half: Draw1 26%X 42%2 32%Odds 2.20
Odds: Bet365
Match preview
Atletico-MG are favourites away from home with a 42% chance to win, against 33% for Atletico Torque and 25% for a draw. At home Atletico Torque score 2.0 goals per game on average, while Atletico-MG score 0.8 away. The model expects about 2.7 goals in total. In their last five league games Atletico Torque have won 3 and Atletico-MG 3. Our pick: Atletico-MG not to lose, likely score 1:2. Over 2.5 goals: 51%, both teams to score: 54%.
Match events
- 40′🟨 Vitor Fernandes Chaves Teixeira
- 53′🟨 Pablo Siles
- 58′🟨 Alan Franco
- 59′⇄ Pablo Siles
- 65′⇄ Kevin Castaño
- 65′⇄ Reinier Jesus Carvalho
- 65′⇄ Victor Hugo Gomes Silva
- 70′⇄ Facundo Silvera
- 70′⇄ Franco Pizzichillo
- 75′• Lyanco Evangelista Silveira Neves Vojnović
- 75′🟥 Alan Franco
- 79′⇄ Bernard Anício Caldeira Duarte
- 82′🟨 Natanael Moreira Milouski
- 82′⇄ Tomás Cuello
- 82′⇄ Salomón Rodríguez
- 82′⇄ Diogo Guzmán
- 89′⚽ Kevin Isaias·Silva (Juan Quintana)
- 90+3′⚽ Gary Kagelmacher (Gonzalo Montes)
Form (last 5)
Atletico TorqueWWLWL
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.0 | 0.3 |
| Away | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| Total | 1.5 | 0.9 |
Atletico-MGWDLWW
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.5 | 0.8 |
| Away | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Total | 1.7 | 1.1 |
Comparison
Atletico TorqueAtletico-MG47%Form53%
35%Attack65%
50%Defence50%
88%Poisson12%
0%Head to head100%
0%Goals100%
55%Total45%
Head to head
| 14.10.2026 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Atletico-MG | 3:0 | Atletico Torque |
Standings
Group B
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico-MG | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 2 |  Cienciano | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 3 |  Juventud | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 4 |  Puerto Cabello | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
Group F
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Torque | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 13 |
| 2 |  Gremio | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 11 |
| 3 |  Deportivo Riestra | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 5 |
| 4 |  Palestino | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly. 18+