Al Minaa Basra vs Al-Karma prediction
Iraq – Iraqi League · Regular Season – 1121%126%X53%2
Our tipAl-Karma to win53%@1.75✗
- Under/Over 2.5Under 2.5 · 58%
- BTTSNo · 55%
- Expected goals2.36
Probabilities
Pred.: Al-Karma to winExpected goals: 2.36 (Al Minaa Basra 0.85 · Al-Karma 1.50)
Correct score
- 0:114%
- 1:112%
- 0:211%
- 0:010%
- 1:29%
- 1:08%
The chance of each exact score, most likely first.
Predictions by market
1X2✗ wrongAl-Karma to win1 21%X 26%2 53%Odds 1.75 · Bet365
Under/Over 2.5✗ wrongUnder 2.5 goalsUnder 58%Over 42%Odds 1.65 · Bet365
BTTS✗ wrongNot both teams to scoreNo 55%Yes 45%Odds 1.72 · 1xBet
Double chance✗ wrongAl-Karma not to lose1X 47%12 74%X2 79%Odds 1.17 · Bet365
First half✓ correctFirst half: Draw1 18%X 45%2 37%Odds 2.05 · Bet365
Under/Over 1.5✓ correctOver 1.5 goalsUnder 32%Over 68%Odds –
Under/Over 3.5✓ correctUnder 3.5 goalsUnder 79%Over 21%Odds –
HT/FT✗ wrongAl-Karma / Al-Karma2/2 32%X/2 19%X/X 17%
Correct score✗ wrong0:10:1 14%
Match preview
Al-Karma are favourites away from home with a 53% chance to win, against 21% for Al Minaa Basra and 26% for a draw. At home Al Minaa Basra score 1.5 goals per game on average, while Al-Karma score 1.3 away. The model expects about 2.4 goals in total. In their last five league games Al Minaa Basra have won 1 and Al-Karma 4. Our pick: Al-Karma to win, likely score 0:1. Over 2.5 goals: 42%, both teams to score: 45%.
Match events
- 29′🟥 S. Amadi
- 53′⚽ H. Abdulwahid
- 60′⚽ M. Abu Hasheesh
- 74′⚽ A. Qasim (S. Nateq)
Form (last 5)
Al Minaa BasraDLDWL
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| Away | 0.3 | 1.5 |
| Total | 1.0 | 1.2 |
Al-KarmaWWWWD
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.0 | 0.7 |
| Away | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| Total | 1.7 | 0.7 |
Comparison
Al Minaa BasraAl-Karma28%Form72%
36%Attack64%
33%Defence67%
36%Poisson64%
50%Head to head50%
43%Goals57%
37%Total62%
Head to head
Last 4 meetings
2WinsAl Minaa Basra0Draws
2WinsAl-KarmaIn the last 4 meetings, Al Minaa Basra won 2, Al-Karma won 2 and none ended in a draw.
- 1.8Goals per match
- 0 of 4Over 2.5
- 0 of 4Both teams scored
- 01.03.2026Iraqi LeagueAl Minaa Basra2:0Al-Karma
- 22.11.2025Iraqi LeagueAl-Karma2:0Al Minaa Basra
- 03.05.2025Iraqi LeagueAl-Karma0:1Al Minaa Basra
- 08.02.2025Iraqi LeagueAl Minaa Basra0:2Al-Karma
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Karma | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 24 |
| 2 |  Newroz | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +12 | 22 |
| 3 |  Naft | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +8 | 22 |
| 4 |  Al Shorta | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | +7 | 20 |
| 5 |  Erbil | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 18 |
| 6 |  Al Zawra'a | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 18 |
| 7 |  Al-Jolan SC | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +2 | 17 |
| 8 |  Duhok | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 9 | Al Minaa Basra | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Ghaz Al Shamal | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 |  Al Talaba | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 |  Diyala | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 13 |  Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 14 |  Mosul | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |  Zakho | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 |  Gharraf | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 |  Al Karkh | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 9 |
| 18 |  Al Kahrabaa | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -6 | 8 |
| 19 |  Naft Maysan | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -8 | 8 |
| 20 |  Karbala | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 6 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly.
