AEL vs Aris prediction
Cyprus – 1. Division · Regular Season – 7Probabilities
Pred.: Aris not to loseCorrect score: 1:2Expected goals: 2.70 (AEL 1.35 · Aris 1.36)
Other likely scores: 1:1 12% · 0:1 9% · 1:0 9%
Predictions by market
1X2Aris not to lose1 37%X 25%2 38%Odds 1.47 · Betano
Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 goalsUnder 49%Over 51%Odds 1.88 · Marathonbet
BTTSBoth teams to scoreNo 45%Yes 55%Odds 1.69 · Marathonbet
Double chanceNo draw1X 62%12 75%X2 63%Odds 1.33 · Bet365
First halfFirst half: Draw1 29%X 42%2 29%Odds 2.20 · Bet365
Best odds among 6 bookmakers; our probabilities use all of them, without their margins.
Match preview
Aris are favourites away from home with a 38% chance to win, against 37% for AEL and 25% for a draw. The model expects about 2.7 goals in total. In their last five league games AEL have won 4 and Aris 2. Our pick: Aris not to lose, likely score 1:2. Over 2.5 goals: 51%, both teams to score: 55%.
Form (last 5)
AELLWWWW
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.0 | 0.7 |
| Away | 1.3 | 2.0 |
| Total | 1.7 | 1.3 |
ArisLWDWD
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| Total | 1.2 | 1.3 |
Comparison
AELAris60%Form40%
62%Attack38%
43%Defence57%
50%Poisson50%
40%Head to head60%
20%Goals80%
45%Total54%
Head to head
| 01.02.2026 | 1. Division | AEL | 2:1 | Aris |
| 21.01.2026 | Cup | Aris | 0:1 | AEL |
| 19.10.2025 | 1. Division | Aris | 4:0 | AEL |
| 23.02.2025 | 1. Division | Aris | 4:0 | AEL |
| 24.11.2024 | 1. Division | AEL | 0:3 | Aris |
| 18.02.2024 | 1. Division | Aris | 4:0 | AEL |
| 04.12.2023 | 1. Division | AEL | 0:4 | Aris |
| 11.12.2022 | 1. Division | AEL | 0:0 | Aris |
| 28.08.2022 | 1. Division | Aris | 2:1 | AEL |
| 31.01.2022 | 1. Division | Aris | 1:2 | AEL |
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEL | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 15 |
| 2 |  AEK Larnaca | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 |  Omonia Nicosia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +9 | 12 |
| 4 |  Apollon Limassol | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 12 |
| 5 |  Pafos | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 6 | Aris | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 |  Apoel Nicosia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 8 |
| 8 |  Omonia 29is Maiou | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Omonia Aradippou | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 10 |  Olympiakos | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 |  Nea Salamis | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 12 |  Krasava Ypsonas | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -9 | 3 |
| 13 |  Anorthosis | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -9 | 3 |
| 14 |  Karmiotissa | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -7 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly. 18+