Surkhon vs Nasaf prediction
Uzbekistan – Super League · Regular Season – 2624%133%X43%2
Our tipNasaf not to lose76%
- Under/Over 2.5Under 2.5 · 72%
- BTTSNo · 65%
- Expected goals1.85
Probabilities
Pred.: Nasaf to winExpected goals: 1.85 (Surkhon 0.77 · Nasaf 1.07)
Correct score
- 0:117%
- 0:016%
- 1:113%
- 1:012%
- 0:29%
- 1:27%
The chance of each exact score, most likely first.
Predictions by market
1X2Nasaf to win1 24%X 33%2 43%Odds –
Under/Over 2.5Under 2.5 goalsUnder 72%Over 28%Odds –
BTTSNot both teams to scoreNo 65%Yes 35%Odds –
Double chanceNasaf not to lose1X 57%12 67%X2 76%Odds –
First halfFirst half: Draw1 19%X 52%2 29%Odds –
Under/Over 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUnder 45%Over 55%Odds –
Under/Over 3.5Under 3.5 goalsUnder 88%Over 12%Odds –
HT/FTDraw / DrawX/X 24%2/2 24%X/2 18%
Correct score0:10:1 17%
Match preview
Nasaf are favourites away from home with a 43% chance to win, against 24% for Surkhon and 33% for a draw. At home Surkhon score 0.8 goals per game on average, while Nasaf score 1.4 away. The model expects about 1.9 goals in total. In their last five league games Surkhon have won 1 and Nasaf 4. Our pick: Nasaf to win, likely score 0:1. Over 2.5 goals: 28%, both teams to score: 35%.
Form (last 5)
SurkhonLWDDD
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| Away | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Total | 0.8 | 1.1 |
NasafWWWDW
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| Away | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Total | 1.5 | 0.9 |
Comparison
SurkhonNasaf32%Form68%
15%Attack85%
60%Defence40%
30%Poisson70%
29%Head to head71%
38%Goals63%
34%Total66%
Head to head
Last 10 meetings
1WinsSurkhon1Draws
8WinsNasafIn the last 10 meetings, Nasaf won 8, Surkhon won 1 and one ended in a draw.
- 2.2Goals per match
- 4 of 10Over 2.5
- 5 of 10Both teams scored
- 20.03.2026Super LeagueNasaf0:1Surkhon
- 23.08.2025Super LeagueSurkhon1:2Nasaf
- 13.04.2025Super LeagueNasaf1:0Surkhon
- 18.10.2024Super LeagueNasaf1:1Surkhon
- 20.05.2024Super LeagueSurkhon0:1Nasaf
- 29.08.2023Super LeagueSurkhon1:2Nasaf
- 03.05.2023CupNasaf1:0Surkhon
- 09.04.2023Super LeagueNasaf3:2Surkhon
- 10.09.2022Super LeagueSurkhon0:2Nasaf
- 23.08.2022CupSurkhon1:2Nasaf
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Neftchi | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | +37 | 58 |
| 2 |  Pakhtakor | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | +19 | 53 |
| 3 |  Navbahor | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | +19 | 49 |
| 4 |  Olmaliq | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | +4 | 42 |
| 5 | Nasaf | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | +14 | 41 |
| 6 |  Buxoro | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | +5 | 41 |
| 7 |  Lokomotiv | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | +9 | 40 |
| 8 |  Qizilqum | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | -6 | 34 |
| 9 |  Andijan | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | -3 | 31 |
| 10 |  Dinamo Samarqand | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 31 |
| 11 |  Sogdiana | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 | Surkhon | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | -9 | 29 |
| 13 |  Bunyodkor | 25 | 8 | 2 | 15 | -15 | 26 |
| 14 |  Kokand-1912 | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -11 | 23 |
| 15 |  Xorazm | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -15 | 23 |
| 16 |  Mash'al | 25 | 1 | 1 | 23 | -38 | 4 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly.
