Sturm Graz vs Ried prediction
Austria – Bundesliga · Regular Season – 1060%120%X20%2
Our tipSturm Graz to win60%@1.59✗
- Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 · 67%
- BTTSYes · 63%
- Expected goals3.43
Probabilities
Pred.: Sturm Graz to winExpected goals: 3.43 (Sturm Graz 2.21 · Ried 1.22)
Correct score
- 2:110%
- 1:19%
- 2:08%
- 1:07%
- 3:17%
- 2:26%Final score
The chance of each exact score, most likely first.
Predictions by market
1X2✗ wrongSturm Graz to win1 60%X 20%2 20%Odds 1.59 · Dafabet
Under/Over 2.5✓ correctOver 2.5 goalsUnder 33%Over 67%Odds 1.48 · Bet365
BTTS✓ correctBoth teams to scoreNo 37%Yes 63%Odds 1.50 · Bet365
Double chance✗ wrongNo draw1X 80%12 80%X2 40%Odds 1.22 · Bet365
First half✗ wrongFirst half: Sturm Graz1 45%X 35%2 20%Odds 2.10 · Bet365
Under/Over 1.5✓ correctOver 1.5 goalsUnder 14%Over 86%Odds 1.13 · Pinnacle
Under/Over 3.5✗ wrongUnder 3.5 goalsUnder 55%Over 45%Odds 1.79 · Pinnacle
HT/FT✗ wrongSturm Graz / Sturm Graz1/1 39%X/1 17%X/X 11%Odds 2.50 · Bet365
Correct score✗ wrong2:12:1 10%
Match preview
Sturm Graz are favourites here with a 60% chance to win, against 20% for Ried and 20% for a draw. At home Sturm Graz score 2.5 goals per game on average, while Ried score 1.5 away. The model expects about 3.4 goals in total. In their last five league games Sturm Graz have won 3 and Ried 3. Our pick: Sturm Graz to win, likely score 2:1. Over 2.5 goals: 67%, both teams to score: 63%.
Match events
- 25′🟨 Luka Capan
- 31′⚽ Simon Seidl
- 45′• Arjan Malić
- 45+2′🟥 Arjan Malić
- 45+4′🟨 Jon Gorenc Stanković
- 45+5′⚽ Philipp Pomer
- 47′🟨 Fabian Hubert Rossdorfer
- 55′⚽ Isaac Thelin (Fabian Hubert Rossdorfer)
- 63′⇄ Lukas Malicsek
- 64′⇄ Jussef Nasrawe
- 67′⇄ Luis Balbo
- 67′⇄ Simon Seidl
- 78′⇄ Oumar Diakité
- 78′⇄ Jon Gorenc Stanković
- 80′⇄ Isaac Thelin
- 80′⇄ J. Rhodes
- 87′⇄ Luka Capan
- 89′⇄ Valmir Matoshi
- 90+2′⚽ Belmin Beganovic (Jacob Peter Hödl)
- 90+2′🟨 Szymon Wlodarczyk
Form (last 5)
Sturm GrazLWLWW
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.5 | 0.8 |
| Away | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Total | 1.8 | 1.1 |
RiedLDWWW
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| Away | 1.5 | 2.3 |
| Total | 1.8 | 1.7 |
Comparison
Sturm GrazRied47%Form53%
48%Attack52%
50%Defence50%
76%Poisson24%
93%Head to head7%
71%Goals29%
64%Total35%
Head to head
Last 10 meetings
7WinsSturm Graz2Draws
1WinsRiedIn the last 10 meetings, Sturm Graz won 7, Ried won 1 and 2 ended in a draw.
- 2.7Goals per match
- 6 of 10Over 2.5
- 7 of 10Both teams scored
- 08.02.2026BundesligaSturm Graz1:0Ried
- 16.08.2025BundesligaRied1:3Sturm Graz
- 28.08.2024CupRied1:3Sturm Graz
- 30.10.2022BundesligaSturm Graz2:1Ried
- 06.08.2022BundesligaRied1:1Sturm Graz
- 06.03.2022BundesligaRied2:2Sturm Graz
- 27.10.2021CupSturm Graz1:2Ried
- 17.10.2021BundesligaSturm Graz1:0Ried
- 09.02.2021BundesligaSturm Graz2:1Ried
- 24.10.2020BundesligaRied0:2Sturm Graz
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rapid Vienna | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +22 | 27 |
| 2 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 24 |
| 3 |  Lask Linz | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +12 | 19 |
| 4 | Sturm Graz | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 18 |
| 5 | Ried | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 6 |  TSV Hartberg | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 14 |
| 7 |  WSG Wattens | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 8 |  Grazer AK | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -15 | 10 |
| 9 |  SCR Altach | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -6 | 9 |
| 10 |  Austria Lustenau | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 8 |
| 11 |  Austria Vienna | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -10 | 7 |
| 12 |  Wolfsberger AC | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -12 | 5 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly.
