Sassuolo vs Fiorentina prediction
Italy – Serie A · Regular Season – 1036%124%X40%2
Our tipNo draw76%@1.32
- Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 · 61%
- BTTSYes · 63%
- Expected goals3.16
Probabilities
Pred.: Fiorentina to winExpected goals: 3.16 (Sassuolo 1.53 · Fiorentina 1.63)
Correct score
- 1:111%
- 1:29%
- 2:18%
- 0:17%
- 2:27%
- 1:06%
The chance of each exact score, most likely first.
Predictions by market
1X2Fiorentina to win1 36%X 24%2 40%Odds 2.44 · 1xBet
Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 goalsUnder 39%Over 61%Odds 1.69 · 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to scoreNo 37%Yes 63%Odds 1.55 · William Hill
Double chanceNo draw1X 60%12 76%X2 64%Odds 1.32 · 1xBet
First halfFirst half: Draw1 30%X 38%2 32%Odds 2.45 · Pinnacle
Under/Over 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUnder 18%Over 82%Odds 1.21 · Betano
Under/Over 3.5Under 3.5 goalsUnder 61%Over 39%Odds 1.55 · Betano
HT/FTFiorentina / Fiorentina2/2 24%1/1 21%X/X 13%Odds 3.80 · Betano
Correct score1:21:2 9%
Match preview
Fiorentina are favourites away from home with a 40% chance to win, against 36% for Sassuolo and 24% for a draw. At home Sassuolo score 2.0 goals per game on average, while Fiorentina score 1.5 away. The model expects about 3.2 goals in total. In their last five league games Sassuolo have won 1 and Fiorentina 1. Our pick: Fiorentina to win, likely score 1:2. Over 2.5 goals: 61%, both teams to score: 63%.
Form (last 5)
SassuoloWLDLL
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.0 | 1.3 |
| Away | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| Total | 1.5 | 2.0 |
FiorentinaWDLLL
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.8 | 2.3 |
| Away | 1.5 | 2.5 |
| Total | 1.1 | 2.4 |
Comparison
SassuoloFiorentina50%Form50%
47%Attack53%
48%Defence52%
70%Poisson30%
50%Head to head50%
40%Goals60%
50%Total49%
Head to head
Last 10 meetings
4WinsSassuolo3Draws
3WinsFiorentinaIn the last 10 meetings, Sassuolo won 4, Fiorentina won 3 and 3 ended in a draw.
- 3.1Goals per match
- 7 of 10Over 2.5
- 8 of 10Both teams scored
- 26.04.2026Serie AFiorentina0:0Sassuolo
- 06.12.2025Serie ASassuolo3:1Fiorentina
- 28.04.2024Serie AFiorentina5:1Sassuolo
- 06.01.2024Serie ASassuolo1:0Fiorentina
- 02.06.2023Serie ASassuolo1:3Fiorentina
- 07.01.2023Serie AFiorentina2:1Sassuolo
- 26.02.2022Serie ASassuolo2:1Fiorentina
- 19.12.2021Serie AFiorentina2:2Sassuolo
- 17.04.2021Serie ASassuolo3:1Fiorentina
- 16.12.2020Serie AFiorentina1:1Sassuolo
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | +15 | 25 |
| 2 |  Inter | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | +13 | 22 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +15 | 21 |
| 4 |  Como | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +9 | 18 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 14 |
| 8 |  Torino | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 |  Cagliari | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 13 |
| 10 |  Napoli | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 11 |
| 11 |  Atalanta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |  Lecce | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 9 |
| 13 |  Bologna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Sassuolo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 8 |
| 15 |  Monza | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 |  Genoa | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 7 |
| 17 |  Udinese | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 4 |
| 19 |  Parma | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 4 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -11 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly.
