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MVV vs Excelsior prediction

Netherlands – KNVB BekerNetherlands – KNVB Beker · Round of 64
MVVMVV
ExcelsiorExcelsior
15%118%X67%2
Our tipExcelsior to win67%@1.44
  • Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 · 70%
  • BTTSYes · 62%
  • Expected goals3.59
· De Geusselt, Maastricht

Probabilities

1 · 15%X · 18%2 · 67%
Pred.: Excelsior to winExpected goals: 3.59 (MVV 1.12 · Excelsior 2.47)

Correct score

  1. 1:29%
  2. 0:28%
  3. 1:38%
  4. 1:18%
  5. 0:37%
  6. 0:17%

The chance of each exact score, most likely first.

Predictions by market

1X2Excelsior to win1 15%X 18%2 67%Odds 1.44 · Betano
Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 goalsUnder 30%Over 70%Odds 1.42 · Betano
BTTSBoth teams to scoreNo 38%Yes 62%Odds 1.57 · Betfair
Double chanceExcelsior not to lose1X 33%12 82%X2 85%Odds 1.14 · Betano
First halfFirst half: Excelsior1 17%X 33%2 50%Odds 1.88 · Betano
Under/Over 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUnder 13%Over 87%Odds 1.13 · Betano
Under/Over 3.5Under 3.5 goalsUnder 52%Over 48%Odds 1.80 · Betfair
HT/FTExcelsior / Excelsior2/2 45%X/2 18%X/X 10%Odds 2.10 · Betano
Correct score1:21:2 9%

Match preview

Excelsior are favourites away from home with a 67% chance to win, against 15% for MVV and 18% for a draw. The model expects about 3.6 goals in total. Our pick: Excelsior to win, likely score 1:2. Over 2.5 goals: 70%, both teams to score: 62%.

Form (last 5)

MVV
WLLLD
Goals +Goals −
Home1.21.8
Away1.52.7
Total1.32.3
Excelsior
LDLLL
Goals +Goals −
Home1.32.5
Away1.81.5
Total1.61.9

From each team's matches this season, all competitions.

Comparison

MVVExcelsior
0%
Form
0%
0%
Attack
0%
0%
Defence
0%
0%
Poisson
0%
7%
Head to head
93%
32%
Goals
68%
19%
Total
80%

Trends

  • 6Excelsior have not won in 6 matches

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

1WinsMVV
3Draws
6WinsExcelsior

In the last 10 meetings, Excelsior won 6, MVV won 1 and 3 ended in a draw.

  • 2.9Goals per match
  • 6 of 10Over 2.5
  • 6 of 10Both teams scored
  1. 04.04.2025Eerste DivisieMVV1:2Excelsior
  2. 18.10.2024Eerste DivisieExcelsior3:2MVV
  3. 19.10.2022KNVB BekerExcelsior5:1MVV
  4. 15.04.2022Eerste DivisieMVV1:1Excelsior
  5. 10.12.2021Eerste DivisieExcelsior2:1MVV
  6. 20.02.2021Eerste DivisieMVV1:0Excelsior
  7. 19.01.2021KNVB BekerMVV2:2Excelsior
  8. 16.10.2020Eerste DivisieExcelsior2:0MVV
  9. 06.03.2020Eerste DivisieExcelsior3:0MVV
  10. 18.10.2019Eerste DivisieMVV0:0Excelsior

Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly.