Molde vs Fredrikstad prediction
Norway – Eliteserien · Regular Season – 1269%117%X14%2
Our tipMolde to win69%@1.43
- Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 · 69%
- BTTSYes · 60%
- Expected goals3.57
Probabilities
Pred.: Molde to winExpected goals: 3.57 (Molde 2.50 · Fredrikstad 1.07)
Correct score
- 2:19%
- 2:09%
- 3:18%
- 1:18%
- 3:07%
- 1:07%
The chance of each exact score, most likely first.
Predictions by market
1X2Molde to win1 69%X 17%2 14%Odds 1.43 · 1xBet
Under/Over 2.5Over 2.5 goalsUnder 31%Over 69%Odds 1.42 · Betano
BTTSBoth teams to scoreNo 40%Yes 60%Odds 1.57 · William Hill
Double chanceMolde not to lose1X 86%12 83%X2 31%Odds 1.13 · Betano
First halfFirst half: Molde1 51%X 33%2 16%Odds 1.83 · Pinnacle
Under/Over 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUnder 13%Over 87%Odds 1.13 · Pinnacle
Under/Over 3.5Under 3.5 goalsUnder 52%Over 48%Odds 1.82 · Pinnacle
HT/FTMolde / Molde1/1 46%X/1 19%X/X 9%Odds 2.00 · Bet365
Correct score2:12:1 9%
Match preview
Molde are favourites here with a 69% chance to win, against 14% for Fredrikstad and 17% for a draw. At home Molde score 2.5 goals per game on average, while Fredrikstad score 1.2 away. The model expects about 3.6 goals in total. In their last five league games Molde have won 3 and Fredrikstad 0. Our pick: Molde to win, likely score 2:1. Over 2.5 goals: 69%, both teams to score: 60%.
Match events
- 2′🟨 Caleb Sery
- 8′⚽ Bryan Fiabema (Sondre Sørløkk)
- 11′⚽ Kristian Lonebu (Sander Hestetun Kilen)
- 17′⚽ Kristian Lonebu (Mathias Lovik)
- 35′⚽ Emil Breivik (Martin Linnes)
- 53′🟨 Samuel Holm
- 59′⇄ Samuel Holm
- 59′⇄ Bryan Fiabema
- 60′⚽ Kristian Lonebu (Sondre Granaas)
- 63′⚽ Kristian Lonebu (Emil Breivik)
- 64′⇄ Sander Hestetun Kilen
- 64′⇄ Kristian Lonebu
- 67′⇄ Solomon Owusu
- 67′⇄ Gabriel Wesseh
- 70′🟨 Martin Linnes
Form (last 5)
MoldeWWLDW
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.5 | 1.2 |
| Away | 2.0 | 1.9 |
| Total | 2.3 | 1.5 |
FredrikstadLDDDL
| Goals + | Goals − | |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Away | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| Total | 1.2 | 1.6 |
Comparison
MoldeFredrikstad77%Form23%
73%Attack27%
57%Defence43%
74%Poisson26%
38%Head to head62%
56%Goals44%
62%Total37%
Head to head
Last 5 meetings
1WinsMolde2Draws
2WinsFredrikstadIn the last 5 meetings, Fredrikstad won 2, Molde won 1 and 2 ended in a draw.
- 3.2Goals per match
- 3 of 5Over 2.5
- 3 of 5Both teams scored
- 13.09.2025EliteserienMolde1:2Fredrikstad
- 12.07.2025EliteserienFredrikstad4:2Molde
- 07.12.2024NM CupenFredrikstad0:0Molde
- 14.09.2024EliteserienMolde6:1Fredrikstad
- 13.07.2024EliteserienFredrikstad0:0Molde
Injuries and suspensions
- Molde
- S. Diop Missing · Inactive
- S. Hansen Missing · Injury
- E. Hestad Missing · Leg Injury
- V. Hoff Missing · Knee Injury
- M. Kikkenborg Missing · Achilles Tendon Injury
- H. Stenevik Missing · Injury
- Fredrikstad
- D. Eid Missing · Yellow Cards
- S. Kvile Missing · Knee Injury
- J. Nysveen Doubtful · Injury
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 23 | 18 | 2 | 3 | +37 | 56 |
| 2 |  Bodo/Glimt | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | +37 | 56 |
| 3 | Molde | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | +17 | 40 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | +15 | 40 |
| 5 |  Tromso | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | +11 | 40 |
| 6 |  Lillestrom | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | +1 | 36 |
| 7 |  Brann | 23 | 9 | 2 | 12 | +3 | 29 |
| 8 |  Valerenga | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | -7 | 29 |
| 9 | Fredrikstad | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | -8 | 29 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | -9 | 29 |
| 11 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | -6 | 28 |
| 12 |  Ham-Kam | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -18 | 26 |
| 13 |  Sandefjord | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | -8 | 24 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | -12 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | -24 | 19 |
| 16 |  Start | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | -29 | 16 |
Predictions are statistical estimates and do not guarantee results. Bet responsibly.
